Pre-tourney Rankings
Elon
Colonial Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#318
Expected Predictive Rating-7.8#306
Pace68.4#174
Improvement-1.6#257

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#261
First Shot-2.8#262
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#204
Layup/Dunks-2.4#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#145
Freethrows-0.9#240
Improvement-4.4#347

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#344
First Shot-6.4#353
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks-7.2#356
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#187
Freethrows-0.3#214
Improvement+2.8#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 30 - 61 - 11
Quad 410 - 811 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 32   @ Wake Forest L 78-101 2%     0 - 1 -8.0 +5.0 -11.3
  Nov 09, 2023 186   East Tennessee St. W 79-76 30%     1 - 1 -0.7 +2.4 -3.2
  Nov 12, 2023 232   @ North Dakota L 68-85 22%     1 - 2 -17.9 -7.4 -10.4
  Nov 17, 2023 361   IUPUI W 86-72 78%     2 - 2 -3.4 +12.5 -14.7
  Nov 18, 2023 341   Holy Cross W 83-69 64%     3 - 2 +1.0 +7.2 -5.1
  Nov 19, 2023 184   @ Winthrop L 70-78 16%     3 - 3 -6.4 +1.1 -8.1
  Nov 27, 2023 273   Presbyterian W 82-79 47%     4 - 3 -5.4 -4.8 -1.0
  Dec 03, 2023 238   @ Radford L 72-82 22%     4 - 4 -11.2 +2.4 -14.4
  Dec 10, 2023 154   @ UNC Greensboro L 73-82 12%     4 - 5 -5.7 -3.3 -1.9
  Dec 22, 2023 51   @ South Carolina L 43-70 3%     4 - 6 -14.2 -19.8 +3.0
  Dec 29, 2023 299   Valparaiso W 82-78 54%     5 - 6 -6.3 +4.1 -10.3
  Jan 04, 2024 313   @ William & Mary L 70-77 39%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -13.3 -0.9 -13.0
  Jan 06, 2024 347   N.C. A&T W 77-59 74%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +2.0 +1.5 +1.6
  Jan 11, 2024 100   @ College of Charleston L 62-80 7%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -10.2 -10.5 +0.6
  Jan 13, 2024 136   Drexel L 69-89 21%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -20.7 +5.9 -29.6
  Jan 18, 2024 130   UNC Wilmington L 70-82 20%     6 - 10 1 - 4 -12.1 -1.5 -11.5
  Jan 20, 2024 250   Northeastern L 72-84 42%     6 - 11 1 - 5 -19.1 -3.5 -15.9
  Jan 25, 2024 309   @ Campbell L 68-78 37%     6 - 12 1 - 6 -15.7 -5.6 -10.6
  Jan 27, 2024 338   @ Hampton W 80-74 51%     7 - 12 2 - 6 -3.6 +9.1 -12.3
  Feb 01, 2024 309   Campbell L 67-69 57%     7 - 13 2 - 7 -12.9 -12.3 -0.6
  Feb 03, 2024 347   @ N.C. A&T W 69-65 56%     8 - 13 3 - 7 -6.8 -1.3 -5.1
  Feb 08, 2024 174   Stony Brook L 64-79 28%     8 - 14 3 - 8 -18.2 -8.8 -10.0
  Feb 12, 2024 150   @ Towson L 55-80 12%     8 - 15 3 - 9 -21.3 -8.2 -15.6
  Feb 15, 2024 181   Delaware W 73-67 29%     9 - 15 4 - 9 +2.4 -0.4 +2.9
  Feb 17, 2024 130   @ UNC Wilmington W 73-72 10%     10 - 15 5 - 9 +6.1 +7.4 -1.2
  Feb 22, 2024 250   @ Northeastern L 58-61 24%     10 - 16 5 - 10 -4.9 -10.2 +5.0
  Feb 24, 2024 122   @ Hofstra L 64-87 9%     10 - 17 5 - 11 -17.5 -4.0 -14.1
  Feb 29, 2024 313   William & Mary W 76-71 59%     11 - 17 6 - 11 -6.5 +5.7 -11.6
  Mar 02, 2024 200   Monmouth L 70-85 33%     11 - 18 6 - 12 -19.7 -7.9 -11.4
  Mar 08, 2024 338   Hampton L 55-56 61%     11 - 19 -13.2 -18.3 +5.1
Projected Record 11 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%