Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida A&M
Southwestern Athletic
2025-26
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -9.3 313
Results Rating -8.6 300
Consistency 0.12 23
Pace 69.8 138
Improvement +4.7 42

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 342 D D F D+ C-
Defense C- 223 D C+ B- D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 200 C- 56% 251 -1.3 234
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 58 D 34% 316 +0.1 171
Three Pointers 38% 232 D 30% 314 -3.3 290
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 243 D -4.0 316
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 321
Second Chance C- 28.1% 245 F+ 0.87 351 D 0.25 318
Opponents' Steals F+ 11.8% 348
Other Turnovers F+ 9.1% 346
Turnovers F 20.9% 354
Freethrows C- 0.29 239 D 69% 293 D+ 0.20 260
Total Offense D- -7.8 342

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots D 40% 309 B- 9.5% 104
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 29% 120 B- 3.4% 65
Three Pointers C+ 85% 164 F 2.4% 363
Total D+ 51% 285 C+ 5.3% 161


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 83 C- 60% 221 +3.0 280
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 220 D+ 40% 270 -0.1 179
Three Pointers 38% 260 D- 37% 330 +0.7 230
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 257 D +3.0 302
1st FG Attempt D 1.09 298
Second Chance C- 31.2% 225 B 0.94 52 C+ 0.29 127
Turnovers from Steals B- 10.9% 72
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 160
Turnovers B- 18.2% 83
Freethrows D+ 0.33 269 D- 76% 339 D 0.25 296
Total Defense C- -1.5 223

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 179 C 10.4% 196
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 247 D- 1.5% 344
Three Pointers C+ 82% 123 C- 0.6% 229
Total C 55% 179 C- 4.9% 221

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 205 16.6 51
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 219 0.24 357
Consistency 0.12 183 0.10 25
Improvement +1.0 138 +3.7 29

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 313 313 313
Results Rating Rank 300 300 300
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 11 - 7
Conference Finish 2 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 413 - 913 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 48 @South Florida L 67 - 102 2% -15  17% 0 - 1 F -20 F+ -9 F B+ F D- -7 D- C- A-
 Sat, Nov 8 148 Kennesaw St. L 72 - 92 26% -9  10% 0 - 2 F -22 F -15 F D+ B- D+ -5 F A C+
 Tue, Nov 11 53 @Central Florida L 60 - 97 3% -22  0% 0 - 3 F -23 F -14 D+ F F D -6 F F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 29 @Georgia L 57 - 87 1% -20  1% 0 - 4 D- -12 F -18 D+ F+ F A- +8 A+ D- B+
 Tue, Dec 2 295 @Jacksonville L 82 - 85 OT 34% +0  42% 0 - 5 D+ -8 C +0 A+ F+ F D- -8 D- C- F
 Wed, Dec 17 295 Jacksonville W 72 - 65 56% +9  99% 1 - 5 C- -4 D+ -3 C- F B C -0 D- A+ B-
 Fri, Dec 19 229 @Tarleton St. L 54 - 78 21% -14  19% 1 - 6 F -25 F -25 F F F B- +2 C- F A+
 Sun, Dec 21 43 @TCU L 56 - 80 2% -5  43% 1 - 7 D+ -8 D -6 C+ F A+ D+ -4 C C B
 Sun, Dec 28 139 @Georgia Tech L 65 - 89 11% -17  0% 1 - 8 F -20 F -10 D F B- D- -8 F F A+
 Sat, Jan 3 248 @Bethune-Cookman L 83 - 87 25% -4  4% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D+ -6 B +6 C+ C+ C F -12 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 10 278 Southern W 67 - 59 52% +4  81% 2 - 9 1 - 1 C- -2 F -11 F+ D+ F A +9 C+ A+ A
 Mon, Jan 12 307 Grambling St. W 91 - 84 61% +3  69% 3 - 9 2 - 1 D+ -5 A +12 A A F F -17 F F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 320 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 71 - 67 42% +1  65% 4 - 9 3 - 1 C- -3 D -4 C+ C- F C+ +1 C+ F B-
 Mon, Jan 19 365 @Mississippi Valley W 62 - 48 83% +13  99% 5 - 9 4 - 1 D+ -6 F -15 F D F A +11 A- A F+
 Sat, Jan 24 351 Alcorn St. W 66 - 58 78% -0  42% 6 - 9 5 - 1 D -9 F -13 C B- F B +4 C- B+ A+
 Mon, Jan 26 346 Jackson St. L 65 - 66 75% +3  85% 6 - 10 5 - 2 F+ -17 F -11 F+ F B- D- -7 C F C-
 Sat, Jan 31 311 @Alabama A&M L 65 - 72 38% -8  0% 6 - 11 5 - 3 D- -13 D- -7 D- D- F D- -7 D B- C
 Mon, Feb 2 324 @Alabama St. L 66 - 79 43% -3  32% 6 - 12 5 - 4 F -21 F -13 F+ F F D- -7 F A A+
 Sat, Feb 7 317 Texas Southern L 57 - 62 63% -4  14% 6 - 13 5 - 5 F+ -18 F -19 F F F C+ +0 F+ A A+
 Mon, Feb 9 299 Prairie View W 100 - 96 58% +13  94% 7 - 13 6 - 5 D+ -7 C+ +2 A+ B F F -10 F D+ A
 Sat, Feb 14 346 @Jackson St. L 60 - 80 54% -12  0% 7 - 14 6 - 6 F -30 F -21 F F D- F+ -10 F C D+
 Mon, Feb 16 351 @Alcorn St. W 86 - 78 58% +10  94% 8 - 14 7 - 6 C- -3 B- +5 F+ A+ B F+ -8 C F D-
 Thu, Feb 19 311 Alabama A&M L 61 - 63 61% -1  17% 8 - 15 7 - 7 D- -14 F -15 D F F+ C+ +0 F+ C A
 Sat, Feb 21 324 Alabama St. W 76 - 63 66% +5  77% 9 - 15 8 - 7 C -1 D+ -4 C+ F+ D- B- +3 C A- D-
 Thu, Feb 26 278 @Southern W 82 - 71 30% +4  48% 10 - 15 9 - 7 B- +7 B- +4 C- A B B- +3 B- B F
 Sat, Feb 28 307 @Grambling St. W 66 - 59 38% +7  96% 11 - 15 10 - 7 C +1 D -5 D B- F B+ +6 B+ B D+
 Thu, Mar 5 248 Bethune-Cookman W 81 - 77 45% +0  51% 12 - 15 11 - 7 C- -4 C +1 F A+ B+ D -5 D C- A-
 Wed, Mar 11 346 Jackson St. W 70 - 60 65% +0  34% 13 - 15 C- -3 F -13 F C- F A +9 B C+ A+
 Fri, Mar 13 278 Southern L 70 - 73 41% -4  16% 13 - 16 D -10 F -11 D F F C+ +1 D- B+ C+
Totals 13 - 16 11 - 7 -9 D- -8 C- D C- C- -1 D D D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- C- D D D 38% 49% 38% C- D C- F+ D F C- D D+ C- C- D+ D- D 42% 19% 38% D+ D C- B C+ B- D+ D- D
0.97 56% 34% 30% -4 0 0.93 28% 0.9 .25 21% .29 69% .20 1.11 60% 40% 37% +3 0 1.09 31% 0.9 .29 18% .33 76% .22
Nov
3		 South Florida F+ B- F F F 42% 17% 40% B+ F C- A+ B+ F A+ C A+ D- B- A+ F D- 55% 2% 43% F+ D- F A C- A- F F F
0.84 59% 11% 14% -16 +1 0.71 28% 1.3 .35 26% .44 69% .30 1.27 54% 0% 41% +1 +4 1.12 49% 0.9 .46 19% .61 85% .52
Nov
8		 Kennesaw St. F F F F F 49% 20% 31% C+ F C F D+ B- A D B+ D+ F C- F F 47% 15% 38% C- F A+ F A C+ F+ D+ F+
0.89 41% 25% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 15% .48 73% .35 1.14 72% 38% 40% +10 +1 1.25 15% 1.5 .22 17% .42 71% .30
Nov
11		 Central Florida F D+ C- F+ D 42% 16% 42% B+ D+ F+ F F F A F C- D B- A+ F F 56% 16% 28% F F F C+ F A+ B- C B-
0.81 52% 38% 29% -6 +1 0.92 18% 0.3 .05 21% .38 55% .21 1.30 56% 22% 69% +11 +2 1.28 47% 1.1 .53 21% .27 75% .21
Nov
17		 Georgia F F B+ D+ D+ 39% 20% 41% C+ D+ B F F+ F B- F D+ A- F F A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% D+ A+ F A D- B+ F F F
0.75 44% 44% 32% -6 0 0.91 36% 0.5 .17 33% .27 57% .16 1.14 82% 60% 5% -6 +2 0.94 53% 0.9 .47 17% .55 83% .46
Dec
2		 Jacksonville C A+ F A+ A+ 33% 28% 39% F+ A+ F A+ F+ F F F F D- C- A+ F+ D 39% 12% 49% F+ D- D C+ C- F C- B C
1.11 83% 20% 62% +20 -1 1.39 8% 2.0 .16 23% .11 50% .05 1.15 57% 14% 38% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.0 .33 12% .29 68% .20
Dec
17		 Jacksonville D+ B+ B- D+ C 39% 31% 31% F+ C- D+ F F B A+ F B+ C B+ A+ F D 49% 11% 40% F D- A A+ A+ B- C- D D+
1.10 68% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.08 27% 0.4 .10 12% .51 59% .30 1.00 48% 0% 47% -1 +2 1.04 23% 0.6 .13 18% .30 75% .23
Dec
19		 Tarleton St. F F+ F F F 43% 13% 45% B+ F F D F F B F D+ B- A F F C+ 61% 20% 18% F C- D+ F F A+ F C+ F+
0.70 50% 17% 19% -16 +1 0.72 23% 1.0 .23 30% .44 63% .27 1.00 43% 50% 44% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.3 .46 26% .40 74% .29
Dec
21		 TCU D F+ A+ D+ B 32% 34% 34% F C+ F F F A+ C+ F F+ D+ D- A+ D C 36% 16% 48% C C F+ A- C B D- F F
0.86 47% 56% 31% +1 -2 1.00 13% 0.5 .06 15% .27 47% .13 1.23 67% 13% 38% +2 0 1.06 42% 0.9 .39 17% .41 86% .35
Dec
28		 Georgia Tech F C- C+ F D+ 25% 27% 48% D D C F F B- D F F D- F D- F F 67% 16% 18% F F F C+ F A+ F D- F
0.88 53% 38% 28% -6 -2 0.87 30% 0.6 .18 15% .25 38% .10 1.20 70% 43% 63% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.1 .48 27% .41 77% .31
Jan
3		 Bethune-Cookman B B D A- B 35% 29% 35% F C+ F A+ C+ C B A+ A F F F+ B+ F 41% 24% 35% C+ F A- D- B- F F F F
1.16 61% 33% 39% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.6 .39 15% .36 82% .30 1.21 80% 42% 29% +7 0 1.16 22% 1.2 .26 14% .55 76% .42
Jan
10		 Southern F C+ F F+ F 38% 14% 48% B- F+ B F D+ F B+ A A A C+ F A+ C+ 32% 29% 39% B- C+ C- A+ A+ A F B- F
1.00 63% 17% 30% -4 +1 0.95 38% 0.8 .31 27% .41 85% .35 0.88 54% 58% 19% -4 -2 0.90 31% 0.5 .15 21% .51 67% .34
Jan
12		 Grambling St. A A+ A+ C- A+ 28% 21% 51% F+ A B- A+ A F A+ A A+ F D C+ D- F 50% 18% 32% F+ F C F F F+ F F F
1.26 77% 70% 33% +12 -1 1.23 37% 1.3 .48 23% .47 81% .38 1.16 60% 33% 38% +2 +1 1.08 28% 1.4 .40 17% .43 85% .36
Jan
17		 Arkansas Pine Bluff D A+ F C- C+ 38% 19% 43% C- C+ C- C- C- F A+ F B+ C+ D- B- B+ C+ 33% 28% 40% B- C+ A F F B- D- F F
1.08 81% 13% 33% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 24% .48 67% .32 1.02 64% 33% 29% -2 -1 0.95 18% 2.0 .36 20% .36 84% .30
Jan
19		 Mississippi Valley F C D- F F 33% 20% 47% D+ F C F D F F B+ D- A A C A+ A- 15% 45% 40% A A- B A+ A F+ C+ C C+
0.96 60% 33% 29% -4 0 0.93 37% 1.1 .40 30% .33 80% .26 0.75 43% 38% 21% -10 -5 0.72 20% 0.5 .10 17% .26 71% .19
Jan
24		 Alcorn St. F B- F C C- 53% 10% 38% B C D+ A+ B- F D F F+ B B+ F A+ C+ 52% 19% 29% F C- C- A+ B+ A+ D D D-
0.99 67% 25% 33% +3 +2 1.13 33% 1.4 .48 29% .30 64% .19 0.87 48% 67% 21% -5 +1 0.94 26% 0.6 .16 26% .30 73% .22
Jan
26		 Jackson St. F A+ F F D 25% 29% 46% F F+ D- F F B- D+ F F D- F A+ D D+ 21% 40% 40% A+ C F D- F C- F B F
1.05 92% 21% 27% -1 -2 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 15% .32 53% .17 1.06 67% 24% 35% -3 -4 0.88 38% 1.1 .41 18% .41 71% .29
Jan
31		 Alabama A&M D- F F A+ D 41% 27% 32% D D- B+ F D- F A+ B- A+ D- B A+ F D- 32% 23% 45% C- D F+ A+ B- C F F F
1.04 41% 27% 54% 0 -1 1.00 38% 0.6 .24 21% .48 75% .36 1.15 50% 20% 45% +1 -1 1.02 31% 0.7 .22 16% .44 91% .40
Feb
2		 Alabama St. F F A+ D F 47% 14% 39% B- F+ F F F F D B D+ D- B- F F F 35% 25% 39% C+ F D+ A+ A A+ C- F+ D+
0.91 43% 57% 32% -6 +1 0.94 24% 0.9 .21 23% .32 78% .25 1.09 50% 54% 50% +11 -1 1.22 31% 0.5 .14 23% .29 75% .22
Feb
7		 Texas Southern F F D+ D F 30% 26% 44% F F A- F F F A D B C+ A+ F F F+ 46% 26% 28% D+ F+ D A+ A A+ A F B+
0.89 46% 36% 32% -6 -1 0.88 41% 0.3 .12 25% .44 67% .29 0.97 38% 67% 46% +3 0 1.09 30% 0.6 .17 23% .20 80% .16
Feb
9		 Prairie View C+ B+ F A+ A+ 47% 27% 25% D+ A+ B- B- B F A+ F B F F+ A+ F F 52% 22% 26% F F C D- D+ A F A F
1.16 65% 20% 71% +13 0 1.27 39% 1.2 .45 27% .46 66% .30 1.12 64% 25% 43% +4 +1 1.11 24% 1.1 .27 21% .59 68% .40
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Jackson St. F F F F F 31% 29% 40% F F F F F D- A+ A+ A+ F+ D- F D- F 52% 26% 22% F F F A+ C D+ D D D-
0.86 50% 23% 22% -14 -2 0.71 20% 0.9 .17 19% .48 89% .43 1.15 62% 46% 36% +5 0 1.12 38% 0.7 .26 17% .33 79% .26
Feb
16		 Alcorn St. B- D F B D- 35% 24% 41% F+ F+ C A+ A+ B A+ D+ A+ F+ C+ C+ B C 46% 29% 25% C C D+ F F D- F F F
1.20 56% 27% 37% -1 -1 0.98 36% 1.7 .61 15% .50 70% .35 1.09 54% 33% 31% -4 0 0.92 27% 1.8 .47 15% .38 87% .33
Feb
19		 Alabama A&M F D- F B D 31% 16% 53% D+ D D+ F F F+ F C- F C+ D B- F F+ 45% 27% 27% D+ F+ A+ F C A A- F C+
0.97 53% 25% 38% 0 0 1.02 28% 0.6 .17 19% .14 71% .10 1.00 60% 33% 42% +3 0 1.07 13% 2.0 .25 21% .28 86% .24
Feb
21		 Alabama St. D+ A+ B- F B- 40% 21% 38% D+ C+ C+ F F+ D- A+ F B B- A B- F C- 34% 30% 36% B+ C A+ D A- D- F A+ C-
1.09 79% 40% 28% +5 0 1.13 34% 0.8 .26 20% .50 61% .30 0.90 41% 33% 39% -5 -2 0.90 17% 1.0 .17 14% .40 50% .20
Feb
26		 Southern B- C- B C D+ 52% 14% 34% A- C- B+ A+ A B B+ C- B B- A+ C D- B 34% 21% 45% D+ B- A- D+ B F F B F
1.17 58% 43% 35% +1 +2 1.08 38% 1.4 .52 16% .40 75% .30 1.01 33% 36% 38% -6 0 0.89 24% 1.1 .26 10% .44 64% .28
Feb
28		 Grambling St. D C- A+ F C- 38% 32% 30% F D B- C B- F F B- F B+ A+ B+ D- B+ 33% 29% 39% A- B+ D+ A+ B D+ A- F B-
0.98 58% 56% 20% -1 -1 0.98 38% 1.0 .38 24% .23 75% .17 0.87 31% 29% 37% -10 -1 0.80 30% 0.8 .23 19% .24 85% .20
Mar
5		 Bethune-Cookman C F F F F 58% 8% 34% A F A A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ D D A+ B+ C- 65% 21% 15% F D B F C- A- F F F
1.13 45% 0% 24% -16 +3 0.76 42% 1.4 .58 13% .43 85% .37 1.07 65% 20% 29% -1 +2 1.04 24% 1.3 .31 22% .59 76% .45
Mar
11		 Jackson St. F F F F+ F 53% 11% 36% A- F B+ F C- F C A+ B A A+ B+ C+ B 29% 29% 42% B- B F A+ C+ A+ F A+ F
1.00 48% 20% 29% -10 +2 0.87 44% 0.8 .36 23% .35 84% .30 0.86 38% 31% 32% -9 -2 0.80 41% 0.6 .26 29% .46 61% .28
Mar
13		 Southern F D+ F A- D 45% 23% 32% C D F D- F F C+ A+ A C+ F+ F A F 36% 32% 32% B D- D+ A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ A+
0.98 57% 27% 40% 0 0 1.02 21% 1.0 .21 25% .37 90% .34 1.02 65% 50% 28% +3 -2 1.05 32% 0.8 .24 17% .17 50% .08



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%