Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville St.
Conference USA
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#207
Expected Predictive Rating-4.9#260
Pace63.0#326
Improvement-1.5#254

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#250
First Shot-5.4#318
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#30
Layup/Dunks+0.5#147
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#98
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#332
Freethrows-1.6#289
Improvement+2.2#70

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#161
First Shot-0.3#179
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#113
Layups/Dunks-3.6#303
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#45
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#61
Freethrows-1.6#285
Improvement-3.7#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 35 - 55 - 8
Quad 46 - 1011 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2023 283   Utah Tech L 79-81 OT 73%     0 - 1 -10.9 -1.6 -9.2
  Nov 14, 2023 129   @ West Virginia L 57-70 24%     0 - 2 -7.9 -9.6 +0.7
  Nov 18, 2023 247   @ North Alabama L 59-61 47%     0 - 3 -3.6 -19.7 +16.2
  Nov 22, 2023 351   @ Incarnate Word L 66-67 80%     0 - 4 -12.4 -9.0 -3.5
  Nov 24, 2023 241   @ Texas San Antonio W 77-62 46%     1 - 4 +13.6 +5.6 +8.9
  Nov 26, 2023 351   Incarnate Word W 67-65 86%     2 - 4 -12.0 -6.1 -5.7
  Nov 30, 2023 220   South Alabama W 70-52 62%     3 - 4 +12.4 +10.6 +6.0
  Dec 03, 2023 186   East Tennessee St. L 59-61 55%     3 - 5 -5.7 -5.3 -0.6
  Dec 08, 2023 205   Illinois-Chicago L 49-55 60%     3 - 6 -10.9 -18.1 +6.5
  Dec 14, 2023 19   @ Wisconsin L 60-75 5%     3 - 7 +1.6 -2.2 +2.7
  Dec 18, 2023 134   @ Tarleton St. W 65-62 24%     4 - 7 +7.9 -0.3 +8.4
  Dec 21, 2023 193   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 90-60 37%     5 - 7 +30.9 +11.6 +17.6
  Jan 06, 2024 278   Florida International W 70-63 72%     6 - 7 1 - 0 -1.5 -3.8 +2.6
  Jan 10, 2024 148   @ Liberty W 61-51 27%     7 - 7 2 - 0 +13.8 -2.0 +17.2
  Jan 13, 2024 127   @ Western Kentucky L 69-80 23%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -5.8 -1.4 -4.2
  Jan 20, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech L 57-74 32%     7 - 9 2 - 2 -14.5 -6.4 -10.3
  Jan 24, 2024 265   @ Middle Tennessee L 67-75 52%     7 - 10 2 - 3 -10.8 -3.1 -8.0
  Jan 27, 2024 148   Liberty W 73-62 46%     8 - 10 3 - 3 +9.6 +10.7 +0.7
  Feb 01, 2024 171   @ UTEP L 71-79 33%     8 - 11 3 - 4 -6.0 -0.9 -4.6
  Feb 03, 2024 280   @ New Mexico St. L 65-67 54%     8 - 12 3 - 5 -5.4 +2.2 -7.8
  Feb 08, 2024 138   Sam Houston St. W 79-68 44%     9 - 12 4 - 5 +10.2 +9.4 +1.2
  Feb 10, 2024 127   Western Kentucky L 59-70 41%     9 - 13 4 - 6 -11.0 -15.6 +5.2
  Feb 15, 2024 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 58-63 17%     9 - 14 4 - 7 +2.7 -3.3 +5.4
  Feb 21, 2024 265   Middle Tennessee W 76-68 71%     10 - 14 5 - 7 +0.0 +5.5 -5.1
  Feb 24, 2024 278   @ Florida International W 77-75 53%     11 - 14 6 - 7 -1.3 +1.0 -2.3
  Feb 29, 2024 171   UTEP L 65-72 53%     11 - 15 6 - 8 -10.2 -3.8 -6.5
  Mar 02, 2024 280   New Mexico St. L 64-66 72%     11 - 16 6 - 9 -10.6 -7.7 -3.0
  Mar 09, 2024 138   @ Sam Houston St. L 73-81 26%     11 - 17 6 - 10 -3.6 +7.4 -11.5
  Mar 12, 2024 278   Florida International L 67-76 63%     11 - 18 6 - 11 -14.9 -5.0 -10.4
Projected Record 11 - 18 6 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10 100.0% 100.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%