Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#211
Expected Predictive Rating-2.3#208
Pace65.4#268
Improvement+4.4#31

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#205
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#216
Layup/Dunks-0.5#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#103
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#146
Freethrows-2.2#321
Improvement+5.0#10

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#229
First Shot-2.5#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#103
Layups/Dunks-1.5#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#63
Freethrows-3.8#353
Improvement-0.6#210
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 22 - 42 - 6
Quad 33 - 55 - 11
Quad 49 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 297   @ Chicago St. W 66-61 58%     1 - 0 +0.2 -2.6 +3.2
  Nov 14, 2023 128   @ Morehead St. L 66-74 23%     1 - 1 -2.8 -5.4 +2.7
  Nov 17, 2023 13   @ Alabama L 67-98 3%     1 - 2 -12.3 -5.4 -5.3
  Nov 24, 2023 293   Tennessee St. W 60-59 67%     2 - 2 -6.1 -11.1 +5.1
  Nov 25, 2023 301   Western Michigan L 66-72 69%     2 - 3 -13.7 -3.7 -10.6
  Dec 01, 2023 84   @ Georgia L 69-80 13%     2 - 4 -1.7 +3.3 -5.3
  Dec 06, 2023 220   South Alabama L 62-83 61%     2 - 5 -26.6 -14.3 -12.1
  Dec 09, 2023 216   Georgia St. W 64-60 61%     3 - 5 -1.5 -2.9 +2.0
  Dec 16, 2023 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 70-65 63%     4 - 5 -1.0 +6.7 -6.8
  Dec 19, 2023 258   Queens W 84-65 69%     5 - 5 +11.4 +5.0 +6.1
  Jan 03, 2024 186   @ East Tennessee St. L 69-80 34%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -9.5 +0.7 -10.4
  Jan 06, 2024 359   @ VMI W 86-64 86%     6 - 6 1 - 1 +7.8 -0.8 +5.9
  Jan 10, 2024 199   @ Wofford L 73-74 38%     6 - 7 1 - 2 -0.5 +3.7 -4.3
  Jan 13, 2024 121   Western Carolina L 52-64 38%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -11.5 -16.6 +4.1
  Jan 17, 2024 147   Chattanooga L 60-74 45%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -15.4 -10.1 -6.5
  Jan 20, 2024 90   @ Samford L 80-87 14%     6 - 10 1 - 5 +2.0 +4.5 -2.0
  Jan 24, 2024 267   @ The Citadel L 66-68 51%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -4.9 -3.7 -1.4
  Jan 27, 2024 154   @ UNC Greensboro W 70-64 28%     7 - 11 2 - 6 +9.3 +1.6 +8.0
  Jan 31, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. L 49-54 54%     7 - 12 2 - 7 -8.7 -15.1 +5.6
  Feb 03, 2024 359   VMI W 90-69 93%     8 - 12 3 - 7 +1.6 +7.3 -6.6
  Feb 07, 2024 144   Furman W 78-69 44%     9 - 12 4 - 7 +7.8 +1.0 +6.6
  Feb 10, 2024 121   @ Western Carolina L 46-79 21%     9 - 13 4 - 8 -27.3 -23.9 -3.7
  Feb 14, 2024 199   Wofford L 60-73 58%     9 - 14 4 - 9 -17.7 -7.0 -12.8
  Feb 17, 2024 90   Samford W 88-84 27%     10 - 14 5 - 9 +7.8 +10.2 -2.7
  Feb 21, 2024 267   The Citadel W 87-78 70%     11 - 14 6 - 9 +0.9 +16.3 -14.7
  Feb 24, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro W 86-72 47%     12 - 14 7 - 9 +12.1 +14.4 -1.8
  Feb 28, 2024 147   @ Chattanooga L 75-84 27%     12 - 15 7 - 10 -5.2 +8.6 -14.5
  Mar 02, 2024 144   @ Furman W 82-75 26%     13 - 15 8 - 10 +11.0 +14.3 -2.9
  Mar 08, 2024 267   The Citadel W 84-76 61%     14 - 15 +2.5 +7.3 -4.9
  Mar 09, 2024 90   Samford L 57-70 20%     14 - 16 -6.6 -7.5 -0.5
Projected Record 14 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%