Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri St.
Missouri Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#149
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#136
Pace69.0#159
Improvement-1.7#263

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#210
First Shot+1.5#139
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#327
Layup/Dunks+0.5#149
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#93
Freethrows+0.4#143
Improvement-0.1#188

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#114
First Shot+3.4#66
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#292
Layups/Dunks+0.1#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#53
Freethrows+2.8#27
Improvement-1.6#257
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 5
Quad 22 - 33 - 8
Quad 35 - 58 - 13
Quad 49 - 317 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 129   @ West Virginia L 59-67 35%     0 - 1 -2.9 -6.5 +2.9
  Nov 13, 2023 274   Oral Roberts W 84-69 82%     1 - 1 +6.6 -4.3 +9.1
  Nov 17, 2023 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 70-61 67%     2 - 1 +5.6 +4.6 +2.1
  Nov 19, 2023 173   Kent St. W 56-52 57%     3 - 1 +3.4 -16.4 +19.9
  Nov 20, 2023 204   Abilene Christian W 87-69 63%     4 - 1 +15.7 +11.9 +3.2
  Nov 25, 2023 304   South Carolina St. W 92-74 86%     5 - 1 +7.4 +8.2 -2.1
  Nov 29, 2023 224   Evansville W 90-78 75%     6 - 1 +6.2 +5.5 -0.6
  Dec 02, 2023 53   @ Drake L 57-74 14%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -4.4 -11.2 +6.9
  Dec 05, 2023 265   @ Middle Tennessee L 73-77 OT 65%     6 - 3 -6.8 -2.2 -4.4
  Dec 09, 2023 138   Sam Houston St. W 69-60 57%     7 - 3 +8.2 -4.5 +12.5
  Dec 16, 2023 190   @ Tulsa L 72-73 50%     7 - 4 +0.1 +3.9 -3.8
  Dec 19, 2023 356   Lindenwood W 79-57 95%     8 - 4 +3.8 -4.7 +7.5
  Dec 23, 2023 21   @ St. Mary's W 69-64 9%     9 - 4 +21.1 +13.3 +8.3
  Jan 03, 2024 111   Northern Iowa L 62-64 50%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -0.9 -5.6 +4.6
  Jan 06, 2024 67   @ Bradley L 60-86 19%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -15.4 -8.8 -6.0
  Jan 10, 2024 161   Murray St. L 53-77 63%     9 - 7 0 - 4 -26.4 -18.6 -9.1
  Jan 13, 2024 224   @ Evansville W 74-64 57%     10 - 7 1 - 4 +9.4 +5.6 +4.3
  Jan 16, 2024 46   @ Indiana St. L 66-88 13%     10 - 8 1 - 5 -8.6 +7.1 -19.0
  Jan 20, 2024 182   Illinois St. L 60-69 68%     10 - 9 1 - 6 -12.6 -10.7 -2.2
  Jan 24, 2024 53   Drake W 83-80 2OT 27%     11 - 9 2 - 6 +10.4 +2.8 +7.2
  Jan 27, 2024 299   @ Valparaiso W 81-70 72%     12 - 9 3 - 6 +5.9 +3.2 +2.4
  Jan 31, 2024 125   @ Southern Illinois W 76-75 OT 34%     13 - 9 4 - 6 +6.3 +4.9 +1.5
  Feb 03, 2024 114   Belmont W 87-80 51%     14 - 9 5 - 6 +7.9 +9.2 -1.7
  Feb 07, 2024 111   @ Northern Iowa L 65-72 31%     14 - 10 5 - 7 -0.7 +1.1 -2.4
  Feb 10, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 71-73 25%     14 - 11 5 - 8 +6.2 -1.3 +7.6
  Feb 14, 2024 161   @ Murray St. L 72-82 43%     14 - 12 5 - 9 -7.2 +2.9 -10.5
  Feb 17, 2024 299   Valparaiso W 82-74 86%     15 - 12 6 - 9 -2.3 +2.5 -4.9
  Feb 21, 2024 67   Bradley L 62-86 34%     15 - 13 6 - 10 -18.6 -3.6 -16.7
  Feb 24, 2024 114   @ Belmont L 78-93 32%     15 - 14 6 - 11 -8.9 +2.1 -9.8
  Feb 28, 2024 182   @ Illinois St. L 74-75 48%     15 - 15 6 - 12 +0.6 +11.5 -11.0
  Mar 03, 2024 205   Illinois-Chicago W 69-59 72%     16 - 15 7 - 12 +5.1 -3.7 +8.8
  Mar 07, 2024 161   Murray St. W 60-35 53%     17 - 15 +25.2 -1.8 +31.8
  Mar 08, 2024 46   Indiana St. L 59-75 18%     17 - 16 -5.2 -11.9 +6.9
Projected Record 17 - 16 7 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%