Pre-tourney Rankings
N.C. A&T
Colonial Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#347
Expected Predictive Rating-11.5#331
Pace69.1#152
Improvement+0.3#163

Offense
Total Offense-7.4#335
First Shot-5.4#317
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#295
Layup/Dunks-4.7#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#94
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#268
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement-5.0#354

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#347
First Shot-5.8#346
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#215
Layups/Dunks-6.6#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#95
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#226
Freethrows+0.8#134
Improvement+5.3#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 9
Quad 30 - 60 - 15
Quad 47 - 107 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 33   @ Pittsburgh L 52-100 1%     0 - 1 -33.6 -17.7 -13.1
  Nov 10, 2023 154   @ UNC Greensboro L 78-94 7%     0 - 2 -12.7 +3.0 -15.1
  Nov 14, 2023 66   @ Virginia L 51-80 2%     0 - 3 -18.0 -5.6 -15.8
  Nov 22, 2023 237   Merrimack L 73-96 18%     0 - 4 -26.8 -5.0 -19.1
  Nov 24, 2023 323   Alabama St. L 73-88 37%     0 - 5 -25.0 -0.4 -24.5
  Nov 25, 2023 90   @ Samford L 83-101 3%     0 - 6 -9.0 +3.9 -10.8
  Dec 02, 2023 267   The Citadel L 68-85 30%     0 - 7 -25.1 -6.8 -18.9
  Dec 08, 2023 124   @ High Point L 62-75 5%     0 - 8 -7.6 -7.7 -1.0
  Dec 12, 2023 260   NC Central L 62-67 29%     0 - 9 -12.7 -15.1 +2.3
  Dec 16, 2023 281   Texas Southern W 85-79 24%     1 - 9 -0.1 +12.5 -12.5
  Dec 17, 2023 317   Jackson St. L 60-68 34%     1 - 10 -17.1 -16.3 -1.0
  Dec 21, 2023 307   @ Coastal Carolina W 85-82 23%     2 - 10 -2.7 +7.1 -9.8
  Dec 30, 2023 101   @ George Mason L 69-94 4%     2 - 11 -17.3 -0.2 -16.9
  Jan 04, 2024 309   Campbell W 76-62 40%     3 - 11 1 - 0 +3.1 +4.5 +0.0
  Jan 06, 2024 318   @ Elon L 59-77 26%     3 - 12 1 - 1 -24.6 -14.9 -10.7
  Jan 11, 2024 136   Drexel L 63-67 12%     3 - 13 1 - 2 -4.7 -4.9 -0.1
  Jan 15, 2024 338   @ Hampton W 81-80 35%     4 - 13 2 - 2 -8.6 +6.8 -15.3
  Jan 18, 2024 250   Northeastern W 72-65 27%     5 - 13 3 - 2 -0.1 -1.6 +1.9
  Jan 20, 2024 313   William & Mary W 76-69 42%     6 - 13 4 - 2 -4.5 -6.3 +1.5
  Jan 25, 2024 181   @ Delaware L 71-90 9%     6 - 14 4 - 3 -17.4 -1.3 -15.8
  Jan 27, 2024 136   @ Drexel L 47-62 6%     6 - 15 4 - 4 -10.5 -19.3 +7.4
  Feb 01, 2024 338   Hampton W 59-58 55%     7 - 15 5 - 4 -13.8 -9.7 -3.9
  Feb 03, 2024 318   Elon L 65-69 44%     7 - 16 5 - 5 -15.8 -8.2 -8.0
  Feb 08, 2024 100   @ College of Charleston L 58-80 4%     7 - 17 5 - 6 -14.2 -12.2 -2.5
  Feb 10, 2024 122   Hofstra L 49-81 10%     7 - 18 5 - 7 -31.7 -19.7 -14.4
  Feb 15, 2024 130   @ UNC Wilmington L 54-73 5%     7 - 19 5 - 8 -13.9 -12.0 -4.6
  Feb 17, 2024 181   Delaware L 54-62 18%     7 - 20 5 - 9 -11.6 -11.8 -0.9
  Feb 22, 2024 174   @ Stony Brook L 64-80 8%     7 - 21 5 - 10 -14.1 -7.0 -7.3
  Feb 24, 2024 200   @ Monmouth L 67-83 10%     7 - 22 5 - 11 -15.5 -6.5 -9.1
  Feb 29, 2024 150   Towson L 58-84 13%     7 - 23 5 - 12 -27.5 -14.6 -12.3
  Mar 02, 2024 309   @ Campbell L 62-64 23%     7 - 24 5 - 13 -7.7 -8.5 +0.6
  Mar 08, 2024 313   William & Mary L 62-79 33%     7 - 25 -25.9 -12.1 -14.8
Projected Record 7 - 25 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%