Pre-tourney Rankings
New Mexico St.
Conference USA
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#280
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#234
Pace65.6#264
Improvement-0.9#224

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#288
First Shot-1.7#228
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#324
Layup/Dunks-2.5#281
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#277
Freethrows+0.7#124
Improvement+0.0#182

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#228
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#178
Layups/Dunks+2.8#77
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#290
Freethrows-5.3#360
Improvement-0.9#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 103 - 16
Quad 46 - 39 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 16   @ Kentucky L 46-86 3%     0 - 1 -22.6 -22.8 +0.0
  Nov 11, 2023 77   @ UC Irvine L 74-91 8%     0 - 2 -7.3 +3.2 -9.6
  Nov 18, 2023 206   Northern Colorado W 76-71 46%     1 - 2 +0.0 -9.6 +9.2
  Nov 21, 2023 213   Fresno St. L 76-81 OT 37%     1 - 3 -7.7 -2.5 -4.9
  Nov 22, 2023 125   Southern Illinois L 54-81 20%     1 - 4 -24.3 -12.6 -14.4
  Nov 26, 2023 179   @ Louisville L 84-90 OT 23%     1 - 5 -4.3 +4.4 -8.2
  Dec 02, 2023 24   @ New Mexico L 62-106 3%     1 - 6 -28.3 -2.0 -26.9
  Dec 15, 2023 24   New Mexico L 72-73 7%     1 - 7 +9.5 +1.2 +8.4
  Dec 19, 2023 170   @ Stephen F. Austin L 72-75 22%     1 - 8 -0.8 -0.5 -0.2
  Dec 22, 2023 190   @ Tulsa L 59-65 25%     1 - 9 -4.9 -11.4 +6.4
  Dec 30, 2023 195   California Baptist W 66-61 44%     2 - 9 +0.6 -10.4 +10.8
  Jan 04, 2024 171   UTEP W 63-53 39%     3 - 9 1 - 0 +6.8 +2.7 +5.6
  Jan 11, 2024 278   @ Florida International L 67-77 40%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -13.3 -5.9 -7.6
  Jan 18, 2024 127   Western Kentucky W 72-70 28%     4 - 10 2 - 1 +2.0 -4.7 +6.5
  Jan 20, 2024 265   Middle Tennessee W 73-62 58%     5 - 10 3 - 1 +3.0 -1.3 +4.2
  Jan 25, 2024 138   @ Sam Houston St. L 67-79 17%     5 - 11 3 - 2 -7.6 -1.9 -5.8
  Jan 27, 2024 103   @ Louisiana Tech L 53-73 11%     5 - 12 3 - 3 -12.3 -10.8 -3.1
  Feb 01, 2024 148   Liberty W 79-73 OT 33%     6 - 12 4 - 3 +4.6 -5.6 +9.4
  Feb 03, 2024 207   Jacksonville St. W 67-65 46%     7 - 12 5 - 3 -3.0 +3.9 -6.6
  Feb 10, 2024 171   @ UTEP L 49-74 22%     7 - 13 5 - 4 -23.0 -18.5 -4.2
  Feb 15, 2024 265   @ Middle Tennessee L 69-76 38%     7 - 14 5 - 5 -9.8 +4.9 -15.5
  Feb 17, 2024 127   @ Western Kentucky L 58-72 15%     7 - 15 5 - 6 -8.8 -5.5 -4.7
  Feb 22, 2024 138   Sam Houston St. L 58-79 31%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -21.8 -10.1 -13.2
  Feb 24, 2024 103   Louisiana Tech L 58-67 21%     7 - 17 5 - 8 -6.5 -2.5 -5.5
  Feb 29, 2024 148   @ Liberty L 58-83 18%     7 - 18 5 - 9 -21.2 -4.2 -21.0
  Mar 02, 2024 207   @ Jacksonville St. W 66-64 28%     8 - 18 6 - 9 +2.2 -1.0 +3.3
  Mar 09, 2024 278   Florida International W 77-70 60%     9 - 18 7 - 9 -1.5 +0.7 -2.1
  Mar 14, 2024 127   Western Kentucky L 69-89 21%     9 - 19 -17.4 -2.9 -14.1
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%