Pre-tourney Rankings
North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#247
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#251
Pace69.1#154
Improvement-1.1#236

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#180
First Shot+1.3#145
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#266
Layup/Dunks+0.6#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#254
Freethrows+1.6#69
Improvement+0.4#157

Defense
Total Defense-4.2#301
First Shot-3.6#298
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#238
Layups/Dunks-0.8#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#114
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#291
Freethrows-1.1#265
Improvement-1.5#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 412 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 328   Alabama A&M W 83-67 82%     1 - 0 +2.2 +2.0 -0.8
  Nov 14, 2023 30   @ Mississippi St. L 54-81 4%     1 - 1 -11.6 -15.7 +6.8
  Nov 18, 2023 207   Jacksonville St. W 61-59 53%     2 - 1 -3.0 -16.0 +12.8
  Nov 22, 2023 215   @ Tennessee Martin L 103-105 2OT 35%     2 - 2 -2.3 +4.6 -6.5
  Nov 26, 2023 121   @ Western Carolina L 63-81 18%     2 - 3 -12.3 -6.0 -6.7
  Nov 30, 2023 334   Tennessee Tech W 86-71 82%     3 - 3 +0.9 +11.5 -9.9
  Dec 02, 2023 62   @ Kansas St. L 74-75 OT 8%     3 - 4 +10.6 +3.7 +7.0
  Dec 10, 2023 128   Morehead St. L 77-86 34%     3 - 5 -9.0 +10.8 -20.7
  Dec 13, 2023 316   @ Charleston Southern W 76-64 58%     4 - 5 +5.6 +4.3 +1.5
  Dec 16, 2023 334   @ Tennessee Tech L 67-70 67%     4 - 6 -11.9 -6.7 -5.3
  Dec 21, 2023 82   @ Indiana L 66-83 11%     4 - 7 -7.6 +1.4 -9.7
  Jan 01, 2024 26   @ Texas Tech L 57-85 4%     4 - 8 -12.4 -2.7 -13.2
  Jan 06, 2024 337   Central Arkansas L 81-84 84%     4 - 9 0 - 1 -17.7 -2.5 -15.0
  Jan 11, 2024 312   Bellarmine W 69-53 75%     5 - 9 1 - 1 +4.8 +6.7 +1.9
  Jan 13, 2024 208   Eastern Kentucky L 72-81 53%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -14.1 -8.7 -5.0
  Jan 18, 2024 222   @ Austin Peay L 80-83 OT 36%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -3.5 -5.5 +2.3
  Jan 20, 2024 168   @ Lipscomb L 79-88 26%     5 - 12 1 - 4 -6.6 +6.5 -13.5
  Jan 24, 2024 264   @ Kennesaw St. W 90-84 44%     6 - 12 2 - 4 +3.2 +3.5 -1.0
  Jan 27, 2024 258   Queens W 90-84 63%     7 - 12 3 - 4 -1.6 +3.9 -6.1
  Feb 01, 2024 209   Stetson W 79-72 54%     8 - 12 4 - 4 +1.8 +3.5 -1.2
  Feb 03, 2024 228   Florida Gulf Coast W 70-69 57%     9 - 12 5 - 4 -5.0 +1.5 -6.3
  Feb 08, 2024 240   @ North Florida W 79-74 39%     10 - 12 6 - 4 +3.6 +4.5 -0.8
  Feb 10, 2024 270   @ Jacksonville L 63-67 45%     10 - 13 6 - 5 -7.0 -2.5 -5.0
  Feb 15, 2024 168   Lipscomb W 75-70 44%     11 - 13 7 - 5 +2.2 -3.7 +5.9
  Feb 17, 2024 222   Austin Peay L 79-87 56%     11 - 14 7 - 6 -13.7 +6.7 -21.1
  Feb 22, 2024 208   @ Eastern Kentucky L 72-75 34%     11 - 15 7 - 7 -2.9 -1.3 -1.7
  Feb 24, 2024 312   @ Bellarmine L 70-82 57%     11 - 16 7 - 8 -18.0 -2.6 -16.0
  Mar 01, 2024 337   @ Central Arkansas W 82-78 69%     12 - 16 8 - 8 -5.5 +6.0 -11.4
  Mar 05, 2024 168   @ Lipscomb W 77-75 26%     13 - 16 +4.4 +3.4 +1.0
  Mar 07, 2024 222   @ Austin Peay L 71-77 36%     13 - 17 -6.5 +1.2 -8.3
Projected Record 13 - 17 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%