Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#170
Expected Predictive Rating-0.2#168
Pace72.0#82
Improvement-4.4#330

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#251
First Shot-4.2#291
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#86
Layup/Dunks-0.3#175
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#284
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#264
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement-1.3#257

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#109
First Shot+1.2#135
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#82
Layups/Dunks+1.9#110
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#128
Freethrows-3.9#354
Improvement-3.1#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 20 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 66 - 11
Quad 410 - 416 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 265   @ Middle Tennessee L 62-67 OT 59%     0 - 1 -7.8 -13.2 +5.7
  Nov 13, 2023 325   @ Northwestern St. W 96-70 76%     1 - 1 +18.2 +10.7 +4.9
  Nov 19, 2023 180   Loyola Marymount W 86-76 52%     2 - 1 +9.1 +9.1 -0.2
  Nov 20, 2023 53   Drake W 92-68 17%     3 - 1 +34.0 +23.3 +10.8
  Nov 21, 2023 52   Utah St. L 49-79 16%     3 - 2 -19.9 -20.9 +1.5
  Nov 29, 2023 134   Tarleton St. L 66-68 50%     3 - 3 -2.3 -6.3 +4.0
  Dec 02, 2023 204   @ Abilene Christian W 79-74 OT 47%     4 - 3 1 - 0 +5.3 -8.5 +12.8
  Dec 05, 2023 103   Louisiana Tech L 49-56 39%     4 - 4 -4.5 -22.3 +17.9
  Dec 09, 2023 151   @ Wyoming L 70-78 34%     4 - 5 -4.3 -4.4 +0.3
  Dec 19, 2023 280   New Mexico St. W 75-72 78%     5 - 5 -5.6 -4.3 -1.4
  Dec 29, 2023 343   New Orleans W 80-51 92%     6 - 5 +13.2 -12.2 +21.6
  Jan 04, 2024 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 85-78 79%     7 - 5 2 - 0 -1.7 +1.2 -3.6
  Jan 06, 2024 112   Texas Arlington W 92-73 44%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +20.0 +12.4 +6.2
  Jan 11, 2024 283   @ Utah Tech L 70-75 62%     8 - 6 3 - 1 -8.7 -4.1 -4.5
  Jan 13, 2024 246   @ Southern Utah W 84-82 55%     9 - 6 4 - 1 +0.4 +8.4 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2024 119   Seattle W 89-84 OT 46%     10 - 6 5 - 1 +5.5 +8.1 -3.2
  Jan 25, 2024 59   Grand Canyon L 51-53 24%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +4.8 -12.1 +16.7
  Jan 27, 2024 195   California Baptist L 79-81 65%     10 - 8 5 - 3 -6.4 +2.9 -9.2
  Feb 01, 2024 169   Utah Valley W 77-72 59%     11 - 8 6 - 3 +2.2 +8.8 -6.5
  Feb 03, 2024 134   @ Tarleton St. L 64-75 30%     11 - 9 6 - 4 -6.1 -7.1 +0.9
  Feb 08, 2024 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 92-84 89%     12 - 9 7 - 4 -5.9 +1.9 -8.9
  Feb 10, 2024 112   @ Texas Arlington L 63-71 OT 26%     12 - 10 7 - 5 -1.8 -12.6 +11.6
  Feb 17, 2024 204   Abilene Christian L 62-63 67%     12 - 11 7 - 6 -5.9 -5.2 -0.8
  Feb 22, 2024 119   @ Seattle L 49-69 28%     12 - 12 7 - 7 -14.3 -18.7 +4.4
  Feb 24, 2024 169   @ Utah Valley L 62-71 39%     12 - 13 7 - 8 -6.6 -2.4 -4.7
  Feb 29, 2024 195   @ California Baptist W 62-60 OT 45%     13 - 13 8 - 8 +2.8 -5.8 +8.7
  Mar 02, 2024 59   @ Grand Canyon L 58-80 13%     13 - 14 8 - 9 -10.0 -1.7 -11.0
  Mar 07, 2024 246   Southern Utah W 87-60 73%     14 - 14 9 - 9 +20.2 +4.0 +14.6
  Mar 09, 2024 283   Utah Tech W 84-71 79%     15 - 14 10 - 9 +4.1 +3.7 -0.4
  Mar 13, 2024 204   Abilene Christian W 60-57 57%     16 - 14 +0.7 -12.1 +12.8
  Mar 14, 2024 112   Texas Arlington L 78-109 35%     16 - 15 -27.4 +8.8 -37.0
Projected Record 16 - 15 10 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%