Pre-tourney Rankings
Tarleton St.
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#134
Expected Predictive Rating+5.7#99
Pace66.3#246
Improvement+4.3#34

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#113
First Shot-1.8#229
After Offensive Rebound+4.0#11
Layup/Dunks+2.6#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#306
Freethrows-1.4#276
Improvement+4.3#21

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#170
First Shot-1.4#221
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#68
Layups/Dunks+0.4#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#72
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#277
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement+0.0#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 23 - 03 - 4
Quad 36 - 29 - 6
Quad 411 - 320 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 66   @ Virginia L 50-80 20%     0 - 1 -19.0 -9.0 -12.2
  Nov 09, 2023 278   @ Florida International W 82-65 70%     1 - 1 +13.7 +0.7 +11.6
  Nov 14, 2023 67   @ Bradley L 63-86 22%     1 - 2 -12.4 -2.5 -10.7
  Nov 20, 2023 222   Austin Peay W 66-59 70%     2 - 2 +3.9 -3.4 +8.3
  Nov 22, 2023 227   Cal St. Bakersfield W 59-40 71%     3 - 2 +15.7 +2.5 +18.5
  Nov 29, 2023 170   @ Stephen F. Austin W 68-66 50%     4 - 2 +4.2 +0.7 +3.6
  Dec 02, 2023 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-75 93%     5 - 2 1 - 0 -11.9 -4.0 -8.0
  Dec 18, 2023 207   Jacksonville St. L 62-65 76%     5 - 3 -8.0 -5.8 -2.5
  Dec 21, 2023 6   @ Tennessee L 46-65 5%     5 - 4 +2.1 -8.3 +7.7
  Dec 29, 2023 180   @ Loyola Marymount W 79-66 52%     6 - 4 +14.7 +16.6 +0.0
  Jan 04, 2024 112   Texas Arlington W 78-76 55%     7 - 4 2 - 0 +3.0 +3.6 -0.6
  Jan 11, 2024 195   @ California Baptist L 63-77 56%     7 - 5 2 - 1 -13.2 -1.0 -13.7
  Jan 13, 2024 59   @ Grand Canyon L 48-74 18%     7 - 6 2 - 2 -14.0 -12.4 -5.2
  Jan 18, 2024 204   Abilene Christian W 79-71 75%     8 - 6 3 - 2 +3.1 +8.8 -5.3
  Jan 20, 2024 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 77-73 85%     9 - 6 4 - 2 -4.7 -1.1 -3.8
  Jan 25, 2024 246   Southern Utah L 70-73 81%     9 - 7 4 - 3 -9.8 -5.4 -4.5
  Jan 27, 2024 283   Utah Tech W 86-68 85%     10 - 7 5 - 3 +9.1 +7.1 +1.3
  Feb 01, 2024 204   @ Abilene Christian W 76-73 OT 58%     11 - 7 6 - 3 +3.3 +2.7 +0.5
  Feb 03, 2024 170   Stephen F. Austin W 75-64 70%     12 - 7 7 - 3 +8.0 +3.7 +4.3
  Feb 08, 2024 169   @ Utah Valley W 72-61 50%     13 - 7 8 - 3 +13.4 +3.2 +10.0
  Feb 10, 2024 119   @ Seattle W 82-77 37%     14 - 7 9 - 3 +10.7 +14.8 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2024 112   @ Texas Arlington W 80-78 35%     15 - 7 10 - 3 +8.2 +8.9 -0.7
  Feb 22, 2024 59   Grand Canyon W 77-74 33%     16 - 7 11 - 3 +9.8 +7.3 +2.5
  Feb 24, 2024 195   California Baptist W 82-65 74%     17 - 7 12 - 3 +12.6 +16.1 -1.8
  Feb 29, 2024 283   @ Utah Tech W 85-74 72%     18 - 7 13 - 3 +7.3 +6.0 +0.5
  Mar 02, 2024 246   @ Southern Utah W 88-83 65%     19 - 7 14 - 3 +3.4 +10.7 -7.5
  Mar 07, 2024 169   Utah Valley L 60-63 69%     19 - 8 14 - 4 -5.8 -10.0 +4.1
  Mar 09, 2024 119   Seattle W 69-66 57%     20 - 8 15 - 4 +3.5 +1.3 +2.4
  Mar 15, 2024 112   Texas Arlington L 84-87 45%     20 - 9 +0.6 +17.2 -16.7
Projected Record 20 - 9 15 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%