Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.6#112
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#126
Pace75.1#35
Improvement+6.6#11

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#119
First Shot-1.1#207
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#20
Layup/Dunks+1.0#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#169
Freethrows+1.2#88
Improvement+5.2#8

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#130
First Shot-1.1#204
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#16
Layups/Dunks+2.1#105
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#315
Freethrows-0.1#200
Improvement+1.4#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 21 - 21 - 8
Quad 34 - 55 - 13
Quad 413 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 274   Oral Roberts W 75-71 87%     1 - 0 -4.4 -3.4 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2023 24   @ New Mexico L 80-82 13%     1 - 1 +13.7 +10.2 +3.7
  Nov 19, 2023 5   @ Arizona L 56-101 5%     1 - 2 -22.9 -13.2 -4.9
  Nov 22, 2023 303   Alcorn St. W 82-69 90%     2 - 2 +2.5 +5.7 -2.4
  Nov 25, 2023 187   Texas St. L 66-73 76%     2 - 3 -10.7 -6.6 -4.0
  Nov 29, 2023 204   Abilene Christian W 86-71 79%     3 - 3 +10.1 +8.8 +0.7
  Dec 02, 2023 59   @ Grand Canyon L 69-76 21%     3 - 4 0 - 1 +5.0 +1.1 +4.0
  Dec 16, 2023 244   Air Force W 76-73 77%     4 - 4 -1.1 -5.4 +4.1
  Dec 21, 2023 26   @ Texas Tech L 66-77 13%     4 - 5 +4.6 -3.8 +8.9
  Dec 23, 2023 78   @ North Texas L 52-78 28%     4 - 6 -16.3 -7.1 -12.9
  Jan 01, 2024 23   @ Texas L 62-79 13%     4 - 7 -1.2 -0.1 -2.6
  Jan 04, 2024 134   @ Tarleton St. L 76-78 45%     4 - 8 0 - 2 +2.9 +2.7 +0.3
  Jan 06, 2024 170   @ Stephen F. Austin L 73-92 56%     4 - 9 0 - 3 -16.8 -1.8 -13.6
  Jan 11, 2024 169   Utah Valley W 83-69 73%     5 - 9 1 - 3 +11.2 +6.5 +3.7
  Jan 13, 2024 119   Seattle W 80-75 62%     6 - 9 2 - 3 +5.5 +9.8 -4.3
  Jan 18, 2024 330   UT Rio Grande Valley W 91-73 94%     7 - 9 3 - 3 +4.1 +4.6 -2.1
  Jan 20, 2024 204   @ Abilene Christian L 67-78 63%     7 - 10 3 - 4 -10.7 -12.5 +3.2
  Jan 27, 2024 59   Grand Canyon L 61-67 38%     7 - 11 3 - 5 +0.8 -13.7 +15.0
  Feb 01, 2024 246   @ Southern Utah W 76-68 69%     8 - 11 4 - 5 +6.4 -5.2 +11.0
  Feb 03, 2024 283   @ Utah Tech W 87-66 76%     9 - 11 5 - 5 +17.3 +8.0 +7.8
  Feb 08, 2024 195   @ California Baptist L 63-64 61%     9 - 12 5 - 6 -0.2 -5.3 +5.1
  Feb 10, 2024 170   Stephen F. Austin W 71-63 OT 74%     10 - 12 6 - 6 +5.0 -7.2 +11.4
  Feb 15, 2024 134   Tarleton St. L 78-80 65%     10 - 13 6 - 7 -2.3 +2.7 -5.0
  Feb 17, 2024 330   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 89-70 87%     11 - 13 7 - 7 +10.3 +6.6 +2.2
  Feb 22, 2024 246   Southern Utah W 90-85 84%     12 - 13 8 - 7 -1.8 +7.2 -9.2
  Feb 24, 2024 283   Utah Tech W 89-78 88%     13 - 13 9 - 7 +2.1 +11.2 -9.4
  Feb 29, 2024 119   @ Seattle W 82-62 42%     14 - 13 10 - 7 +25.7 +18.8 +8.1
  Mar 02, 2024 169   @ Utah Valley W 78-65 55%     15 - 13 11 - 7 +15.4 +9.8 +5.5
  Mar 07, 2024 195   California Baptist W 71-57 78%     16 - 13 12 - 7 +9.6 -3.3 +12.9
  Mar 14, 2024 170   Stephen F. Austin W 109-78 65%     17 - 13 +30.6 +41.4 -10.0
  Mar 15, 2024 134   Tarleton St. W 87-84 55%     18 - 13 +5.3 +18.8 -13.3
  Mar 16, 2024 59   Grand Canyon L 74-89 29%     18 - 14 -5.6 -3.7 +0.0
Projected Record 18 - 14 12 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%