Pre-tourney Rankings
The Citadel
Southern
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#267
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#296
Pace64.4#294
Improvement-3.1#308

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#246
First Shot-2.4#250
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#179
Layup/Dunks-4.6#332
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#164
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement-0.7#220

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#265
First Shot-3.2#284
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks-1.3#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#213
Freethrows+2.1#46
Improvement-2.4#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 31 - 92 - 15
Quad 46 - 68 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 56   @ North Carolina St. L 59-72 6%     0 - 1 -0.8 -7.6 +6.3
  Nov 10, 2023 74   Boston College L 71-75 17%     0 - 2 +0.7 +4.7 -4.3
  Nov 13, 2023 273   @ Presbyterian L 64-71 41%     0 - 3 -10.2 -11.6 +1.5
  Nov 20, 2023 254   Idaho St. W 62-61 48%     1 - 3 -4.0 -4.0 +0.2
  Nov 21, 2023 260   NC Central W 67-61 48%     2 - 3 +0.9 -1.5 +3.1
  Nov 22, 2023 309   @ Campbell L 58-65 51%     2 - 4 -12.7 -3.0 -11.6
  Nov 28, 2023 316   Charleston Southern W 81-52 72%     3 - 4 +17.4 +5.4 +12.0
  Dec 02, 2023 347   @ N.C. A&T W 85-68 70%     4 - 4 +6.2 +10.5 -3.7
  Dec 14, 2023 100   @ College of Charleston L 71-86 11%     4 - 5 -7.2 -0.3 -6.9
  Dec 19, 2023 110   @ Notre Dame W 65-45 13%     5 - 5 +26.5 +1.8 +25.6
  Jan 03, 2024 121   Western Carolina L 71-80 28%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -8.5 +5.1 -14.5
  Jan 06, 2024 90   Samford L 64-80 19%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -12.2 -5.6 -7.3
  Jan 10, 2024 144   @ Furman L 68-82 19%     5 - 8 0 - 3 -10.0 -3.8 -6.5
  Jan 13, 2024 199   Wofford L 71-72 47%     5 - 9 0 - 4 -5.7 +2.4 -8.3
  Jan 17, 2024 154   @ UNC Greensboro L 67-73 20%     5 - 10 0 - 5 -2.7 +6.2 -10.0
  Jan 20, 2024 359   @ VMI L 63-70 79%     5 - 11 0 - 6 -21.2 -15.0 -6.0
  Jan 24, 2024 211   Mercer W 68-66 49%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -3.2 -2.7 -0.4
  Jan 27, 2024 147   @ Chattanooga L 62-90 19%     6 - 12 1 - 7 -24.2 -7.3 -18.6
  Jan 31, 2024 144   Furman L 79-82 OT 34%     6 - 13 1 - 8 -4.2 -2.0 -2.0
  Feb 03, 2024 186   @ East Tennessee St. L 60-62 25%     6 - 14 1 - 9 -0.5 -8.7 +8.2
  Feb 07, 2024 121   @ Western Carolina L 64-71 15%     6 - 15 1 - 10 -1.3 -1.5 -0.4
  Feb 10, 2024 199   @ Wofford L 64-77 28%     6 - 16 1 - 11 -12.5 -5.5 -7.9
  Feb 14, 2024 154   UNC Greensboro L 61-76 36%     6 - 17 1 - 12 -16.9 -7.5 -11.0
  Feb 17, 2024 359   VMI W 76-51 90%     7 - 17 2 - 12 +5.6 -4.2 +9.3
  Feb 21, 2024 211   @ Mercer L 78-87 30%     7 - 18 2 - 13 -9.0 +10.6 -20.3
  Feb 24, 2024 147   Chattanooga W 71-62 34%     8 - 18 3 - 13 +7.6 -1.0 +9.1
  Feb 28, 2024 186   East Tennessee St. L 63-81 43%     8 - 19 3 - 14 -21.7 -6.5 -16.1
  Mar 02, 2024 90   @ Samford L 80-92 9%     8 - 20 3 - 15 -3.0 +6.5 -9.0
  Mar 08, 2024 211   Mercer L 76-84 39%     8 - 21 -10.6 +0.8 -11.4
Projected Record 8 - 21 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%