Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#140
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#130
Pace72.2#77
Improvement-1.9#270

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#71
First Shot+3.1#88
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#91
Layup/Dunks+3.1#68
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#296
Freethrows+0.5#138
Improvement-1.9#280

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#255
First Shot-3.1#280
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks-2.4#276
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#243
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#241
Freethrows+1.2#98
Improvement+0.0#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 38 - 59 - 10
Quad 411 - 220 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 349   Detroit Mercy W 94-60 95%     1 - 0 +17.5 +9.2 +7.4
  Nov 11, 2023 153   Louisiana W 87-78 64%     2 - 0 +7.1 +14.6 -7.5
  Nov 14, 2023 156   @ Wright St. W 78-77 45%     3 - 0 +4.0 +5.2 -1.1
  Nov 21, 2023 24   New Mexico L 84-92 14%     3 - 1 +5.1 +5.3 +1.0
  Nov 22, 2023 77   UC Irvine L 71-77 30%     3 - 2 +1.1 +4.1 -3.1
  Nov 24, 2023 46   Indiana St. L 74-76 19%     3 - 3 +8.8 -1.0 +9.9
  Dec 02, 2023 101   George Mason L 77-86 47%     3 - 4 -6.5 +7.3 -14.0
  Dec 06, 2023 142   @ Oakland W 69-68 41%     4 - 4 +5.1 -1.2 +6.3
  Dec 09, 2023 111   Northern Iowa W 84-80 52%     5 - 4 +5.1 +8.7 -3.8
  Dec 13, 2023 236   Marshall W 88-87 78%     6 - 4 -5.3 +6.9 -12.3
  Dec 20, 2023 109   Vermont L 60-86 51%     6 - 5 -24.6 -9.9 -14.9
  Dec 23, 2023 129   @ West Virginia L 81-91 37%     6 - 6 -4.9 +6.0 -10.4
  Jan 02, 2024 143   @ Ohio W 86-77 41%     7 - 6 1 - 0 +13.0 +17.5 -4.1
  Jan 05, 2024 256   Miami (OH) W 68-64 81%     8 - 6 2 - 0 -3.6 +3.5 -6.5
  Jan 09, 2024 173   @ Kent St. W 89-75 49%     9 - 6 3 - 0 +16.0 +14.5 +1.1
  Jan 13, 2024 263   Ball St. W 77-72 82%     10 - 6 4 - 0 -2.8 +10.0 -12.1
  Jan 16, 2024 348   Buffalo W 77-66 94%     11 - 6 5 - 0 -5.1 -5.1 -0.2
  Jan 19, 2024 271   @ Central Michigan L 62-65 68%     11 - 7 5 - 1 -6.1 -10.6 +4.7
  Jan 23, 2024 306   @ Northern Illinois W 89-73 76%     12 - 7 6 - 1 +10.4 +12.7 -2.2
  Jan 27, 2024 234   Bowling Green W 88-72 78%     13 - 7 7 - 1 +9.7 +12.3 -2.6
  Jan 30, 2024 301   Western Michigan W 88-63 87%     14 - 7 8 - 1 +14.7 +12.2 +3.0
  Feb 02, 2024 123   @ Akron L 70-77 36%     14 - 8 8 - 2 -1.5 +0.9 -2.4
  Feb 06, 2024 324   @ Eastern Michigan W 91-87 81%     15 - 8 9 - 2 -3.5 +11.8 -15.4
  Feb 10, 2024 86   @ Appalachian St. L 104-109 2OT 24%     15 - 9 +4.3 +13.9 -8.5
  Feb 16, 2024 143   Ohio W 85-83 61%     16 - 9 10 - 2 +0.8 +10.5 -9.7
  Feb 20, 2024 123   Akron W 72-64 55%     17 - 9 11 - 2 +8.3 +2.7 +5.8
  Feb 23, 2024 234   @ Bowling Green L 68-76 61%     17 - 10 11 - 3 -9.1 -1.6 -7.9
  Feb 27, 2024 306   Northern Illinois L 72-75 88%     17 - 11 11 - 4 -13.8 -1.1 -12.9
  Mar 02, 2024 348   @ Buffalo W 85-79 88%     18 - 11 12 - 4 -4.9 +2.4 -7.6
  Mar 05, 2024 256   @ Miami (OH) W 97-63 66%     19 - 11 13 - 4 +31.6 +18.1 +11.1
  Mar 08, 2024 173   Kent St. W 86-71 68%     20 - 11 14 - 4 +11.8 +10.5 +1.2
  Mar 14, 2024 173   Kent St. L 59-67 59%     20 - 12 -8.6 -9.4 +0.1
Projected Record 20 - 12 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%