Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Illinois
Ohio Valley
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#279
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#231
Pace62.9#327
Improvement+1.8#110

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#314
First Shot-4.9#308
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#242
Layup/Dunks-3.2#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#324
Freethrows+1.2#84
Improvement+0.3#164

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#178
First Shot+1.1#139
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#291
Layups/Dunks+1.3#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#354
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#57
Freethrows+1.1#107
Improvement+1.5#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 22 - 6
Quad 415 - 617 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 241   @ Texas San Antonio L 68-78 OT 33%     0 - 1 -11.4 -14.6 +4.1
  Nov 08, 2023 71   @ SMU L 53-90 7%     0 - 2 -26.8 -18.9 -4.7
  Nov 17, 2023 288   Southern W 88-80 OT 63%     1 - 2 -1.2 +0.9 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2023 299   @ Valparaiso L 66-73 47%     1 - 3 -12.1 -7.0 -5.3
  Nov 24, 2023 10   @ Illinois L 52-84 2%     1 - 4 -12.5 -17.4 +5.3
  Nov 27, 2023 19   @ Wisconsin L 49-71 3%     1 - 5 -5.4 -5.5 -5.4
  Dec 03, 2023 322   South Dakota L 68-70 72%     1 - 6 -14.0 -13.0 -1.1
  Dec 09, 2023 242   @ Green Bay W 68-59 33%     2 - 6 +7.5 +8.7 +0.8
  Dec 20, 2023 337   @ Central Arkansas W 65-54 63%     3 - 6 +1.5 -11.9 +13.4
  Dec 31, 2023 292   @ SIU Edwardsville W 78-70 44%     4 - 6 1 - 0 +3.5 +10.7 -6.5
  Jan 04, 2024 352   Southeast Missouri St. W 68-61 85%     5 - 6 2 - 0 -10.0 -2.9 -6.3
  Jan 06, 2024 356   Lindenwood W 68-57 87%     6 - 6 3 - 0 -7.2 -3.7 -2.2
  Jan 11, 2024 215   @ Tennessee Martin W 73-64 29%     7 - 6 4 - 0 +8.7 -0.1 +9.0
  Jan 13, 2024 321   @ Eastern Illinois W 63-60 53%     8 - 6 5 - 0 -3.7 -1.4 -1.8
  Jan 20, 2024 293   Tennessee St. L 57-58 64%     8 - 7 5 - 1 -10.7 -10.7 -0.1
  Jan 25, 2024 331   @ Southern Indiana W 73-68 61%     9 - 7 6 - 1 -3.8 +0.0 -3.6
  Jan 27, 2024 128   @ Morehead St. L 50-64 15%     9 - 8 6 - 2 -8.8 -14.0 +3.4
  Feb 01, 2024 356   @ Lindenwood W 79-71 75%     10 - 8 7 - 2 -5.0 +12.5 -16.4
  Feb 03, 2024 352   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 76-55 71%     11 - 8 8 - 2 +9.2 +7.4 +3.8
  Feb 08, 2024 193   Arkansas Little Rock L 60-63 44%     11 - 9 8 - 3 -7.3 -11.1 +3.6
  Feb 10, 2024 215   Tennessee Martin L 59-62 48%     11 - 10 8 - 4 -8.5 -15.0 +6.4
  Feb 15, 2024 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 62-55 61%     12 - 10 9 - 4 -1.9 -5.0 +4.1
  Feb 17, 2024 293   @ Tennessee St. W 68-61 45%     13 - 10 10 - 4 +2.5 +0.0 +3.0
  Feb 22, 2024 128   Morehead St. L 57-78 28%     13 - 11 10 - 5 -21.0 -10.4 -12.7
  Feb 24, 2024 331   Southern Indiana W 82-76 78%     14 - 11 11 - 5 -8.0 +0.3 -8.6
  Feb 29, 2024 321   Eastern Illinois W 70-66 72%     15 - 11 12 - 5 -7.9 -4.4 -3.4
  Mar 02, 2024 292   SIU Edwardsville W 76-65 64%     16 - 11 13 - 5 +1.3 +0.0 +1.5
  Mar 07, 2024 293   Tennessee St. W 61-59 55%     17 - 11 -5.1 -14.7 +9.6
  Mar 08, 2024 193   Arkansas Little Rock L 57-82 34%     17 - 12 -26.7 -16.1 -11.3
Projected Record 17 - 12 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%