Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#313
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#327
Pace65.0#279
Improvement+1.0#135

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#280
First Shot-3.0#268
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#243
Layup/Dunks-4.0#320
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#108
Freethrows+0.6#132
Improvement-3.3#330

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#331
First Shot-5.8#348
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#99
Layups/Dunks+1.9#113
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#300
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.6#340
Freethrows-1.6#286
Improvement+4.3#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 30 - 110 - 14
Quad 48 - 98 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2023 287   American W 75-56 51%     1 - 0 +9.8 -1.0 +11.5
  Nov 11, 2023 203   @ George Washington L 89-95 19%     1 - 1 -5.6 +1.9 -6.7
  Nov 16, 2023 261   Nebraska Omaha L 83-89 36%     1 - 2 -11.1 +4.0 -15.0
  Nov 17, 2023 244   @ Air Force L 71-80 OT 24%     1 - 3 -10.5 -2.5 -8.3
  Nov 19, 2023 356   Lindenwood L 60-71 74%     1 - 4 -26.6 -17.8 -8.9
  Nov 25, 2023 268   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 96-81 47%     2 - 4 +6.8 +14.9 -8.4
  Nov 28, 2023 245   @ Norfolk St. L 62-96 24%     2 - 5 -35.5 -8.3 -29.0
  Dec 02, 2023 88   @ Richmond L 69-88 6%     2 - 6 -9.9 +8.1 -19.4
  Dec 06, 2023 289   Old Dominion W 84-79 52%     3 - 6 -4.3 +14.0 -18.0
  Dec 21, 2023 196   @ Pepperdine L 59-71 19%     3 - 7 -11.4 -9.6 -2.8
  Dec 30, 2023 319   @ Navy L 65-77 41%     3 - 8 -18.7 -7.7 -11.3
  Jan 04, 2024 318   Elon W 77-70 61%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -4.8 +3.1 -7.3
  Jan 06, 2024 136   Drexel L 55-77 22%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -22.7 -11.9 -13.4
  Jan 11, 2024 338   @ Hampton W 73-61 53%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +2.4 +3.9 -0.4
  Jan 13, 2024 174   Stony Brook L 59-63 29%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -7.2 -13.9 +6.6
  Jan 18, 2024 309   Campbell L 64-77 58%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -23.9 -7.1 -18.5
  Jan 20, 2024 347   @ N.C. A&T L 69-76 58%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -17.8 -11.5 -6.0
  Jan 25, 2024 122   @ Hofstra L 55-64 10%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -3.5 -11.1 +7.0
  Jan 27, 2024 250   @ Northeastern W 72-68 25%     6 - 13 3 - 5 +2.1 +6.8 -4.1
  Feb 01, 2024 181   Delaware L 53-81 30%     6 - 14 3 - 6 -31.6 -15.7 -18.6
  Feb 03, 2024 100   College of Charleston L 83-84 14%     6 - 15 3 - 7 +1.6 +8.5 -6.9
  Feb 08, 2024 200   @ Monmouth L 64-68 19%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -3.5 -2.7 -1.2
  Feb 10, 2024 181   @ Delaware L 58-69 16%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -9.4 -6.0 -4.8
  Feb 15, 2024 150   Towson L 52-61 24%     6 - 18 3 - 10 -10.5 -9.9 -2.3
  Feb 19, 2024 100   @ College of Charleston L 57-65 7%     6 - 19 3 - 11 -0.2 -13.9 +13.7
  Feb 22, 2024 130   UNC Wilmington L 65-81 20%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -16.1 -3.7 -14.4
  Feb 24, 2024 174   @ Stony Brook L 62-75 16%     6 - 21 3 - 13 -11.1 -11.8 +1.1
  Feb 29, 2024 318   @ Elon L 71-76 41%     6 - 22 3 - 14 -11.6 +1.7 -13.9
  Mar 02, 2024 338   Hampton W 85-73 71%     7 - 22 4 - 14 -2.8 +6.7 -9.5
  Mar 08, 2024 347   N.C. A&T W 79-62 67%     8 - 22 +3.6 +4.8 -0.3
  Mar 09, 2024 150   Towson L 56-67 17%     8 - 23 -9.9 -5.2 -6.4
Projected Record 8 - 23 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%