Citadel
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,478  Ross Jordan SR 34:23
1,481  Michael Lantz JR 34:23
1,837  James Cunningham JR 34:52
2,613  Matt Gill SR 36:43
2,741  Brian Cothran FR 37:16
2,856  Mustapha Elgazar FR 37:56
2,873  Eric Avalos FR 38:04
National Rank #257 of 312
Southeast Region Rank #39 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 36th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ross Jordan Michael Lantz James Cunningham Matt Gill Brian Cothran Mustapha Elgazar Eric Avalos
Upstate Invitational 10/01 1344 34:41 33:21 34:41 37:13 38:15
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 35:09 38:00 38:45 37:26
Southern Conference Championship 10/29 1320 33:56 34:56 34:31 36:43 36:49 37:21 38:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 36.6 1034 0.2 0.7 1.3 3.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ross Jordan 145.2
Michael Lantz 145.7
James Cunningham 179.5
Matt Gill 269.3
Brian Cothran 281.1
Mustapha Elgazar 291.1
Eric Avalos 292.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 0.2% 0.2 28
29 0.7% 0.7 29
30 1.3% 1.3 30
31 3.2% 3.2 31
32 4.9% 4.9 32
33 6.1% 6.1 33
34 7.6% 7.6 34
35 10.1% 10.1 35
36 12.6% 12.6 36
37 11.9% 11.9 37
38 12.5% 12.5 38
39 11.0% 11.0 39
40 9.2% 9.2 40
41 6.4% 6.4 41
42 2.6% 2.6 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0