Davidson
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
473  John Mogen SR 32:53
570  Will Brewster SR 33:02
710  Dylan Carmack SO 33:19
945  Sam Thomas FR 33:39
1,611  Ramsay Ritchie JR 34:34
1,895  Will Jones SO 34:58
1,980  Michael Schroeder JR 35:06
2,349  Alex Hazan FR 35:53
2,792  Bailey Autry FR 37:31
National Rank #126 of 312
Southeast Region Rank #15 of 48
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 14th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 1.7%
Top 20 in Regional 99.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating John Mogen Will Brewster Dylan Carmack Sam Thomas Ramsay Ritchie Will Jones Michael Schroeder Alex Hazan Bailey Autry
Commadore Classic 09/17 1149 32:55 33:21 33:23 34:47 34:22 35:49 36:12
Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/01 1044 32:56 32:19 33:03 33:57 34:30 34:36 34:49
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 1244 32:54 35:09 35:15 34:48 35:54 38:04
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/29 1106 32:21 33:30 33:39 33:51 34:54 35:38 35:58 37:57
Southeast Region Championships 11/11 1157 32:55 33:49 33:22 33:28 35:35 36:47





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.2 457 0.1 0.7 1.0 2.6 7.0 12.8 17.1 16.2 14.4 11.4 8.3 6.2 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
John Mogen 49.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9
Will Brewster 59.9 0.1 0.1 0.1
Dylan Carmack 76.3 0.1
Sam Thomas 99.0
Ramsay Ritchie 156.8
Will Jones 186.1
Michael Schroeder 194.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.7% 0.7 9
10 1.0% 1.0 10
11 2.6% 2.6 11
12 7.0% 7.0 12
13 12.8% 12.8 13
14 17.1% 17.1 14
15 16.2% 16.2 15
16 14.4% 14.4 16
17 11.4% 11.4 17
18 8.3% 8.3 18
19 6.2% 6.2 19
20 1.9% 1.9 20
21 0.6% 0.6 21
22 0.1% 0.1 22
23 0.1% 0.1 23
24 0.1% 0.1 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0