Davidson
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
396  Ryan Phillips SR 32:47
538  Will Brewster JR 33:03
646  Daniel Samet SR 33:14
985  John Mogen JR 33:45
1,118  Dylan Carmack FR 33:57
1,391  Aaron Forburger SR 34:20
1,453  Ramsay Ritchie SO 34:26
1,512  Ian Robertson SO 34:31
1,992  Will Jones FR 35:19
2,002  Alex Herron JR 35:20
2,054  Michael Schroeder SO 35:27
National Rank #99 of 308
Southeast Region Rank #14 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 15th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 1.7%
Top 20 in Regional 99.6%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ryan Phillips Will Brewster Daniel Samet John Mogen Dylan Carmack Aaron Forburger Ramsay Ritchie Ian Robertson Will Jones Alex Herron Michael Schroeder
Charlotte Invitational 09/25 34:08 34:58
Greater Louisville Classic (Gold) 10/03 1071 32:38 33:19 32:55 34:21 33:22 34:18 34:07
Wake Forest Invitational 10/16 1205 33:49 33:47 34:09 34:54 34:21 36:09 35:32 35:23 35:05
Atlantic 10 Championships 10/31 1090 33:04 33:00 33:08 33:33 33:42 34:13 34:45 34:16 35:18 35:52
Southeast Region Championships 11/13 1039 32:43 32:23 33:20 33:33 35:10 34:10





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 15.1 439 0.2 1.5 4.0 7.8 11.3 14.1 16.1 15.9 14.9 9.2 3.6 1.3 0.4



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Phillips 52.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Will Brewster 67.4
Daniel Samet 78.6
John Mogen 109.4
Dylan Carmack 120.1
Aaron Forburger 141.8
Ramsay Ritchie 148.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.2% 0.2 9
10 1.5% 1.5 10
11 4.0% 4.0 11
12 7.8% 7.8 12
13 11.3% 11.3 13
14 14.1% 14.1 14
15 16.1% 16.1 15
16 15.9% 15.9 16
17 14.9% 14.9 17
18 9.2% 9.2 18
19 3.6% 3.6 19
20 1.3% 1.3 20
21 0.4% 0.4 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0