Texas
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
202  Nate Moore SR 32:14
210  Robert Uhr JR 32:16
302  Alex Rogers SO 32:31
392  Spencer Dodds FR 32:43
472  Connor Hendrickson JR 32:53
588  Allen Sumrall SR 33:06
611  John Rice FR 33:08
676  Eric Kroon SO 33:15
680  Pedro Nasta SO 33:15
916  Charles Mills SO 33:36
1,358  Garek Bielaczyc FR 34:13
National Rank #51 of 312
South Central Region Rank #2 of 35
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 56.7%
Most Likely Finish 31st at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 99.9%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Nate Moore Robert Uhr Alex Rogers Spencer Dodds Connor Hendrickson Allen Sumrall John Rice Eric Kroon Pedro Nasta Charles Mills Garek Bielaczyc
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/30 747 32:48 31:59 31:44 32:22 32:59 33:10 33:03 33:07
Penn State National Open 10/14 921 33:29 32:27 32:34 33:04 32:33 33:08 33:01 32:55 33:39 34:13
Big 12 Championship 10/29 864 32:35 32:21 32:42 32:47 32:22 33:11 33:03 32:54 33:22 33:34
South Central Region Championships 11/11 726 31:35 32:10 32:12 32:36 33:32 33:16 33:12





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 56.7% 29.7 747 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.9 4.3 6.5 12.6 27.4
Region Championship 100% 2.5 97 56.7 41.4 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Moore 70.1% 148.8
Robert Uhr 68.1% 150.4
Alex Rogers 58.6% 181.7
Spencer Dodds 56.9% 205.4
Connor Hendrickson 56.8% 218.9
Allen Sumrall 57.1% 233.4
John Rice 57.0% 235.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Moore 10.6 0.2 0.3 1.5 4.2 8.8 9.8 12.5 8.1 8.0 6.3 5.3 5.3 3.7 2.7 4.2 2.3 1.4 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.6 0.9
Robert Uhr 11.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.4 6.9 9.4 10.9 10.3 8.0 6.3 5.2 4.2 4.2 3.2 2.6 2.8 2.3 2.5 1.9 1.4 2.0 1.8 1.3
Alex Rogers 17.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.0 3.5 4.9 5.7 5.3 6.7 6.0 5.3 4.8 4.5 4.2 4.3 4.6 3.5 3.1 3.3 3.1 2.2
Spencer Dodds 22.4 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.5 2.6 3.2 4.0 4.6 4.8 4.6 4.1 4.2 5.0 4.5 4.5 4.4 3.2 3.7
Connor Hendrickson 28.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 2.1 2.1 2.6 2.6 3.5 4.0 3.6 4.5 3.5 3.9 3.6
Allen Sumrall 36.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.7 1.8 2.5 2.2 2.5
John Rice 37.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 2.5 2.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 56.7% 100.0% 56.7 56.7 2
3 41.4% 41.4 3
4 1.5% 1.5 4
5 0.3% 0.3 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
Total 100% 56.7% 56.7 43.3 56.7 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas A&M 43.0% 1.0 0.4
Florida State 14.8% 1.0 0.1
Alabama 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Baylor 0.2% 2.0 0.0
Kansas 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0