Texas
Men - Women
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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RankNameGradeRating
179  Brady Turnbull SR 32:11
183  Jacob Pickle SO 32:12
386  Alex Rogers FR 32:46
428  Connor Hendrickson SO 32:49
431  Nate Moore JR 32:50
1,018  Eric Kroon FR 33:49
1,078  Chris Pietraskiewicz FR 33:53
1,337  Pedro Nasta FR 34:17
1,620  Logan Emery FR 34:42
National Rank #58 of 308
South Central Region Rank #3 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 38.6%
Most Likely Finish 2nd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 98.2%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Brady Turnbull Jacob Pickle Alex Rogers Connor Hendrickson Nate Moore Eric Kroon Chris Pietraskiewicz Pedro Nasta Logan Emery
Texas A&M Invitational 09/26 779 31:59 32:26 32:29 32:29 32:30 33:07 33:31 33:47 33:58
Longhorn Invitational 10/02 1025 32:48 32:32 33:03 33:56 33:19 34:18 33:23 34:20 35:03
D1 Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/17 782 32:00 32:26 32:26 32:41 32:25 33:12 33:48
Big 12 Championships 10/31 834 32:01 32:15 32:46 32:41 32:55 34:10 34:07 34:12 34:58
South Central Regional Championships 11/13 704 31:56 31:52 32:30 32:29 32:26 33:31 35:13
NCAA Championship 11/21 991 32:51 31:53 33:25 33:28 34:06 35:12 35:39





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 38.6% 29.7 718 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.4 4.7 8.6 18.6
Region Championship 100% 3.0 110 38.1 34.2 19.0 6.9 1.7 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Turnbull 65.9% 133.3
Jacob Pickle 66.0% 136.5
Alex Rogers 38.8% 200.2
Connor Hendrickson 38.7% 205.5
Nate Moore 38.6% 206.2
Eric Kroon 38.8% 246.2
Chris Pietraskiewicz 38.9% 247.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brady Turnbull 11.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 3.2 4.7 6.2 7.1 8.3 8.5 8.4 7.2 6.1 6.1 4.2 3.9 3.1 3.0 2.5 1.8 1.9 1.4 1.1 1.4 1.0
Jacob Pickle 11.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 2.9 4.3 6.3 7.3 8.4 8.4 8.3 7.2 6.6 5.7 4.7 4.0 3.0 2.8 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.0
Alex Rogers 23.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.6 2.1 3.3 3.8 3.8 4.5 5.1 5.5 5.3 4.9 4.5 4.7 4.3
Connor Hendrickson 25.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.6 4.4 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.1 4.3 5.0
Nate Moore 26.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.2 3.1 4.0 3.8 4.4 5.1 4.5 4.9 4.9 4.7
Eric Kroon 65.6
Chris Pietraskiewicz 69.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 38.1% 100.0% 38.1 38.1 2
3 34.2% 1.3% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 33.8 0.4 3
4 19.0% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.0 0.1 4
5 6.9% 6.9 5
6 1.7% 1.7 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 38.6% 38.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 61.4 38.1 0.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas A&M 50.0% 1.0 0.5
Minnesota 25.4% 1.0 0.3
Lamar 9.0% 1.0 0.1
Florida 8.5% 1.0 0.1
Georgia 6.3% 1.0 0.1
Stephen F. Austin 3.0% 2.0 0.1
Georgia Tech 2.3% 1.0 0.0
Purdue 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Iowa State 0.8% 1.0 0.0
North Texas 0.5% 2.0 0.0
Yale 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Duke 0.0% 1.0 0.0
San Francisco 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 1.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 6.0