American
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
392  Alaeldin Tirba SR 32:37
435  Matthew Rainey JR 32:42
648  Benjamin Doiron JR 33:06
950  Liam Purdy SR 33:34
1,239  Sam Doud SR 33:59
1,432  Thomas Sommer JR 34:13
2,061  Max Lustig FR 35:14
2,150  Gerard D'Ambrosio SO 35:25
National Rank #104 of 315
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #9 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 11th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.4%
Top 10 in Regional 44.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Alaeldin Tirba Matthew Rainey Benjamin Doiron Liam Purdy Sam Doud Thomas Sommer Max Lustig Gerard D'Ambrosio
Navy Invitational 09/09 990 33:31 32:11 32:24 33:42 33:49 34:16 34:54
Paul Short Gold 09/29 1041 32:45 32:54 32:41 33:27 34:13 34:18 36:11
George Mason Invitational 09/30 1375 35:23
Princeton Invitational 10/14 990 32:16 32:54 33:01 33:04 34:25 33:34 35:06 34:45
Patriot League Championship 10/28 962 32:16 32:26 32:48 33:23 33:57 33:53 35:12 35:25
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 1024 32:19 32:23 34:42 34:02 33:27 34:51 35:16





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 10.9 302 0.1 0.3 0.5 3.2 9.7 14.7 16.0 17.6 13.7 11.5 7.2 4.4 1.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alaeldin Tirba 2.6% 182.5
Matthew Rainey 1.1% 199.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alaeldin Tirba 26.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.0 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.5 2.5 2.9 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.3 2.5 2.2 3.2 2.8 2.7
Matthew Rainey 30.6 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.7 1.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.4 2.1 2.3 3.5 2.5 3.3 2.7 2.5 2.4 1.9
Benjamin Doiron 51.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4
Liam Purdy 79.1
Sam Doud 103.3
Thomas Sommer 116.6
Max Lustig 156.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.1% 0.1 4
5 0.3% 0.3 5
6 0.5% 0.5 6
7 3.2% 3.2 7
8 9.7% 9.7 8
9 14.7% 14.7 9
10 16.0% 16.0 10
11 17.6% 17.6 11
12 13.7% 13.7 12
13 11.5% 11.5 13
14 7.2% 7.2 14
15 4.4% 4.4 15
16 1.3% 1.3 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0