Chattanooga
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,279  Ryan Gebelein SO 34:02
1,425  Nathan Watson SO 34:13
1,441  John Payne JR 34:14
1,838  Mark Britt JR 34:51
1,940  Jake Ethridge FR 35:00
2,025  Richard Guiry JR 35:09
2,790  Joshua Topham FR 37:58
National Rank #215 of 315
South Region Rank #25 of 41
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 25th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 2.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Ryan Gebelein Nathan Watson John Payne Mark Britt Jake Ethridge Richard Guiry Joshua Topham
Falcon Classic 09/16 1214 34:08 34:20 33:42 35:15 34:41 35:49 38:08
Louisville Classic (Blue) 09/30 1225 33:57 34:36 34:12 34:40 34:44 35:09
Crimson Classic 10/13 1221 34:06 34:04 33:49 34:43 35:10 35:40 37:52
Southern Conference Championship 10/28 1232 33:55 34:17 34:39 34:51 35:22 34:52 37:58
South Region Championships 11/10 1229 34:08 33:47 34:27 34:52 35:08





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 24.3 670 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.7 8.0 14.7 23.5 26.1 16.1 5.6 1.4 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ryan Gebelein 111.5
Nathan Watson 122.2
John Payne 123.4
Mark Britt 152.0
Jake Ethridge 158.5
Richard Guiry 164.9
Joshua Topham 234.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 0.5% 0.5 19
20 1.3% 1.3 20
21 2.7% 2.7 21
22 8.0% 8.0 22
23 14.7% 14.7 23
24 23.5% 23.5 24
25 26.1% 26.1 25
26 16.1% 16.1 26
27 5.6% 5.6 27
28 1.4% 1.4 28
29 0.1% 0.1 29
30 0.1% 0.1 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0