Monmouth
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
638  Kyle Mueller JR 33:05
1,066  Ryan Mitchell JR 33:43
1,300  Ryan Rafferty SO 34:04
1,472  Jake Howell SR 34:17
1,521  Nick McFarland JR 34:21
1,724  Bryan Cabral JR 34:39
1,758  Henry Sappey SO 34:42
1,899  Rob DeFalco SR 34:56
2,055  Matt Farrell JR 35:14
2,059  Evan Jerolaman SO 35:14
2,366  Evan Pron SO 36:00
2,617  Mark Nelson FR 36:54
National Rank #177 of 315
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #18 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 17th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 99.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kyle Mueller Ryan Mitchell Ryan Rafferty Jake Howell Nick McFarland Bryan Cabral Henry Sappey Rob DeFalco Matt Farrell Evan Jerolaman Evan Pron
Fordham Fiasco Invitational 09/09 34:15
Paul Short Gold 09/29 1165 33:04 34:13 34:09 34:00 33:55 34:46 35:11 34:41 35:38
Princeton Invitational 10/14 1160 33:06 33:44 33:45 33:56 34:43 34:27 34:50 35:17 34:59 34:55 36:53
MAAC Championship 10/28 1084 32:36 32:44 34:08 34:33 34:02 34:58 34:18 34:54 35:49 37:20
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 1181 33:16 33:19 34:25 34:49 34:45 34:09 34:49





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 17.2 489 0.2 0.5 1.5 4.7 16.2 43.0 21.1 10.1 2.8 0.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kyle Mueller 50.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7
Ryan Mitchell 86.2
Ryan Rafferty 108.1
Jake Howell 118.9
Nick McFarland 122.7
Bryan Cabral 136.2
Henry Sappey 138.3




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 0.2% 0.2 12
13 0.5% 0.5 13
14 1.5% 1.5 14
15 4.7% 4.7 15
16 16.2% 16.2 16
17 43.0% 43.0 17
18 21.1% 21.1 18
19 10.1% 10.1 19
20 2.8% 2.8 20
21 0.2% 0.2 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0