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Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
311  Marc Steinsberger SR 32:29
386  Anton Harrsen FR 32:37
553  Kevin Lapsansky SO 32:56
593  Kristian Holm Jensen FR 33:01
724  Zach Seiger SO 33:15
895  Johnathan Condly JR 33:30
1,000  David Fitzgerald SO 33:38
1,161  Donovan Mears SO 33:52
1,556  Justin Yurchak SO 34:23
National Rank #81 of 315
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #7 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.1%
Most Likely Finish 7th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.4%
Top 5 in Regional 15.1%
Top 10 in Regional 96.8%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Marc Steinsberger Anton Harrsen Kevin Lapsansky Kristian Holm Jensen Zach Seiger Johnathan Condly David Fitzgerald Donovan Mears Justin Yurchak
Rider Invite 09/15 881 32:26 32:37 32:34 32:29 32:50 32:50 35:05 32:57 34:30
Joe Piane Invitational (Gold) 09/29 974 32:53 32:40 33:02 32:24 33:21 33:53 33:34 34:21
Princeton Invitational 10/14 969 32:21 32:43 32:59 33:02 33:10 33:48 33:25 34:42 34:24
AAC Championship 10/28 925 32:32 32:23 32:33 33:26 33:10 33:20 33:00 33:49 33:37
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 971 32:25 32:39 32:58 33:36 33:13 33:27 33:01





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.1% 30.4 834 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8
Region Championship 100% 7.0 204 0.4 0.8 1.4 3.7 9.0 19.5 34.7 15.4 8.1 4.0 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marc Steinsberger 10.1% 175.5
Anton Harrsen 3.4% 174.0
Kevin Lapsansky 1.1% 205.0
Kristian Holm Jensen 1.1% 215.7
Zach Seiger 1.1% 234.5
Johnathan Condly 1.1% 239.0
David Fitzgerald 1.2% 243.3


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Marc Steinsberger 18.7 0.4 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.8 2.9 3.7 3.8 3.3 4.5 2.9 3.5 4.4 3.1 2.9 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.2 2.7 1.9 2.7 1.9
Anton Harrsen 26.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.0 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.6 3.3 2.7 2.3 2.4 3.7 2.6 2.0 2.8 2.3
Kevin Lapsansky 43.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.7
Kristian Holm Jensen 46.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.8 1.2 0.9
Zach Seiger 59.2 0.2 0.1 0.1
Johnathan Condly 74.0
David Fitzgerald 82.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.4% 100.0% 0.4 0.4 1
2 0.8% 100.0% 0.8 0.8 2
3 1.4% 1.4 3
4 3.7% 3.7 4
5 9.0% 9.0 5
6 19.5% 19.5 6
7 34.7% 34.7 7
8 15.4% 15.4 8
9 8.1% 8.1 9
10 4.0% 4.0 10
11 1.7% 1.7 11
12 0.7% 0.7 12
13 0.6% 0.6 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.1% 0.1 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 1.1% 0.4 0.8 98.9 1.1 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Lipscomb 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0