Vermont
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
851  Gavin Schmeck SO 33:27
874  Tyler Marshall FR 33:29
926  Aaron Lucci SR 33:32
1,182  Jack Carmody SO 33:54
1,408  Will Hopkins SR 34:11
1,566  Luke Petela SO 34:24
1,649  Will LaCroix JR 34:33
1,810  John Benner SO 34:48
1,979  Matt Hynes FR 35:04
2,091  Ross Elkort SO 35:17
2,159  Kasey Gelfand SO 35:26
2,208  Isaac Grosner SO 35:34
2,301  Paul Moore JR 35:48
2,343  Ian Denis FR 35:56
2,345  Dawson Adams FR 35:56
2,401  Patrick Kitchen FR 36:06
2,493  Brian Wilson SO 36:22
2,560  Calvin McClellan FR 36:38
2,569  Matt Ciminella SR 36:42
National Rank #174 of 315
Northeast Region Rank #25 of 42
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 20th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.1%
Top 20 in Regional 57.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Gavin Schmeck Tyler Marshall Aaron Lucci Jack Carmody Will Hopkins Luke Petela Will LaCroix John Benner Matt Hynes Ross Elkort Kasey Gelfand
Coast-To-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/22 1153 33:16 33:29 33:37 33:50 34:20 34:27 35:13 35:31
Brown-Rothenberg Meet 10/13 1164 33:17 34:04 33:27 33:46 34:24 34:11 34:31 34:40 35:03 34:51 35:20
America East Championship 10/28 1169 33:31 33:43 33:49 33:52 33:46 34:58 33:59 35:08 34:55 35:18
Northeast Region Championships 11/10 1148 32:48 33:17 34:31 34:14 34:34 34:21





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 20.1 578 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.0 4.1 8.7 10.0 9.8 10.8 11.6 8.9 8.3 6.3 5.7 4.8 3.8 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gavin Schmeck 92.0
Tyler Marshall 93.0
Aaron Lucci 97.7
Jack Carmody 130.8
Will Hopkins 153.2
Luke Petela 172.9
Will LaCroix 183.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 0.1% 0.1 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 0.3% 0.3 12
13 0.7% 0.7 13
14 2.0% 2.0 14
15 4.1% 4.1 15
16 8.7% 8.7 16
17 10.0% 10.0 17
18 9.8% 9.8 18
19 10.8% 10.8 19
20 11.6% 11.6 20
21 8.9% 8.9 21
22 8.3% 8.3 22
23 6.3% 6.3 23
24 5.7% 5.7 24
25 4.8% 4.8 25
26 3.8% 3.8 26
27 2.1% 2.1 27
28 1.2% 1.2 28
29 0.7% 0.7 29
30 0.3% 0.3 30
31 0.2% 0.2 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0