Mississippi
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
55  Michaela Quinn FR 19:48
120  Haley Cutright JR 20:08
243  Sophie Linn FR 20:29
557  Kayleigh Skinner SR 21:03
577  McKenna Coughlin JR 21:04
599  Annie Kelly FR 21:06
724  Amy McCrory SR 21:15
1,222  Saga Barzowski FR 21:47
1,283  Mary Alex England FR 21:51
1,781  Scarlett Fox FR 22:21
2,591  Kacy Smith FR 23:13
National Rank #32 of 340
South Region Rank #3 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 17.1%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 52.1%
Top 10 in Regional 99.9%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Michaela Quinn Haley Cutright Sophie Linn Kayleigh Skinner McKenna Coughlin Annie Kelly Amy McCrory Saga Barzowski Mary Alex England Scarlett Fox Kacy Smith
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 876 19:57 20:17 21:12 21:14 21:09 21:37 21:35
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 681 19:42 19:59 20:35 20:55 20:54 21:26 20:51
SEC Championships 11/01 882 19:56 20:27 21:10 20:58 21:13 21:15 22:02 21:34 22:21 23:14
South Region Championships 11/15 888 20:22 20:25 20:58 21:17 20:40 21:17 22:06





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 17.1% 28.9 716 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.4 4.3
Region Championship 100% 5.5 195 6.1 11.9 16.3 17.8 17.1 13.4 10.0 6.0 1.5 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haley Cutright 46.9% 93.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Sophie Linn 18.3% 139.8
Kayleigh Skinner 17.1% 219.8
McKenna Coughlin 17.1% 222.1
Annie Kelly 17.1% 224.1
Amy McCrory 17.1% 234.4
Saga Barzowski 17.2% 250.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Haley Cutright 9.6 0.1 0.7 1.4 3.1 4.6 7.8 8.1 8.5 9.8 9.1 7.9 7.3 6.1 5.0 4.3 3.7 2.6 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4
Sophie Linn 20.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.8 3.1 3.4 4.6 4.5 4.7 5.8 4.6 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.5 3.9 4.0 3.4
Kayleigh Skinner 52.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5
McKenna Coughlin 55.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3
Annie Kelly 56.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Amy McCrory 66.7 0.0 0.0
Saga Barzowski 105.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 6.1% 100.0% 6.1 6.1 2
3 11.9% 47.3% 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 6.3 5.6 3
4 16.3% 31.6% 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 11.1 5.1 4
5 17.8% 1.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17.7 0.2 5
6 17.1% 0.1% 0.0 17.1 0.0 6
7 13.4% 13.4 7
8 10.0% 10.0 8
9 6.0% 6.0 9
10 1.5% 1.5 10
11 0.1% 0.1 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 17.1% 6.1 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.7 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 82.9 6.1 11.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Kentucky 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Miss State 2.1% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.3
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0