Arizona
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
130  Kristina Aubert SR 20:11
343  Molly Callahan JR 20:41
405  Clea Formaz SR 20:48
439  Amanda Russell SR 20:51
586  Stephanie Bulder SR 21:03
798  Hanna Peterson JR 21:19
819  Kate Penney JR 21:21
1,154  Daylee Burr JR 21:43
1,177  Claire Green FR 21:44
1,366  Kayla Ferron FR 21:56
National Rank #57 of 341
West Region Rank #10 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.0%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 2.2%
Top 10 in Regional 59.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kristina Aubert Molly Callahan Clea Formaz Amanda Russell Stephanie Bulder Hanna Peterson Kate Penney Daylee Burr Claire Green Kayla Ferron
Panorama Farms Invitational 09/26 785 19:33 20:56 20:35 21:18 20:29 21:20 21:22 21:44 22:17
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 888 19:59 20:54 21:25 20:47 20:47 21:38 21:17
Pac-12 Championships 10/31 899 20:30 20:33 20:50 20:41 21:51 20:58 21:11 21:20 21:55
West Region Championships 11/14 923 20:42 20:27 20:32 20:53 21:21 21:23 21:43





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.0% 26.8 621 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4
Region Championship 100% 10.0 305 0.5 1.7 3.8 7.1 11.5 17.4 17.1 15.5 11.1 7.6 4.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kristina Aubert 10.5% 84.3 0.0 0.0
Molly Callahan 2.0% 157.0
Clea Formaz 2.0% 163.5
Amanda Russell 2.0% 186.0
Stephanie Bulder 2.0% 207.0
Hanna Peterson 2.0% 229.0
Kate Penney 2.0% 229.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kristina Aubert 24.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.0 2.3 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.9 3.6 3.5 3.6 4.0 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.0
Molly Callahan 56.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2
Clea Formaz 64.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Amanda Russell 68.7 0.1
Stephanie Bulder 86.0
Hanna Peterson 110.8
Kate Penney 112.6




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.5% 74.1% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 4
5 1.7% 40.0% 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.7 5
6 3.8% 20.1% 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 3.0 0.8 6
7 7.1% 2.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.9 0.2 7
8 11.5% 11.5 8
9 17.4% 17.4 9
10 17.1% 17.1 10
11 15.5% 15.5 11
12 11.1% 11.1 12
13 7.6% 7.6 13
14 4.2% 4.2 14
15 1.6% 1.6 15
16 0.6% 0.6 16
17 0.2% 0.2 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 2.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 98.0 0.0 2.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Harvard 1.1% 1.0 0.0
Florida 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Auburn 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Utah 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Furman 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0