Brown
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
181  Taylor Worthy SR 20:16
184  Natalie Schudrowitz JR 20:17
469  Megan Ratcliffe JR 20:52
507  Jillian Turner FR 20:57
554  Emma Sloan SO 21:01
639  Lucy Van Kleunen SR 21:08
695  Clare Peabody JR 21:12
753  Quinn Bornstein JR 21:16
1,020  Ciciely Davy FR 21:32
1,129  Alexis Van Pernis JR 21:40
1,282  Mae Fullerton FR 21:49
1,372  Lucy Srour SO 21:54
1,633  Hannah Szapary SO 22:11
1,828  Allison Bellows SO 22:23
2,255  Jessica Bellows SO 22:51
2,286  Luci Cooke SR 22:53
2,470  Chloe Conway FR 23:07
2,918  Fiona Beltram JR 24:00
National Rank #61 of 344
Northeast Region Rank #5 of 43
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 2.9%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.2%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 40.6%
Top 10 in Regional 97.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Taylor Worthy Natalie Schudrowitz Megan Ratcliffe Jillian Turner Emma Sloan Lucy Van Kleunen Clare Peabody Quinn Bornstein Ciciely Davy Alexis Van Pernis Mae Fullerton
Shawn M. Nassaney Memorial Invitational 09/10 1260 21:45
Coast-to-Coast Battle in Beantown 09/16 954 20:22 21:09 20:46 20:53 20:56 21:22 21:26 21:40 21:24
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 874 20:19 20:15 20:52 20:57 21:10 21:20 21:17
NEICAAA Championship 10/08 1277 21:42
Rothenberg-Brown Invitational 10/14 1235 21:34 21:39 21:40
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Open) 10/15 21:13
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 880 20:21 20:16 20:39 21:17 21:30 21:28 21:12
Ivy League Championship 10/29 781 20:06 20:16 20:46 20:51 20:57 21:07 20:46 21:02 21:07 21:46 22:12
Northeast Region Championships 11/11 907 20:08 20:59 20:54 20:57 21:13 20:46 21:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 2.9% 26.8 633 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5
Region Championship 100% 6.2 197 0.6 4.3 15.7 20.1 18.9 17.0 11.1 6.4 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Worthy 22.0% 119.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Natalie Schudrowitz 20.3% 124.1 0.1 0.1
Megan Ratcliffe 2.9% 187.3
Jillian Turner 2.9% 202.9
Emma Sloan 2.9% 216.3
Lucy Van Kleunen 2.9% 222.5
Clare Peabody 2.9% 226.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Taylor Worthy 15.8 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.4 2.8 2.5 3.4 3.7 3.2 4.0 5.1 5.5 5.4 5.0 3.5 4.7 4.2 3.6 3.9 4.2 4.0 2.9 2.9 2.3 2.7
Natalie Schudrowitz 16.4 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.1 2.9 2.2 2.9 3.4 4.4 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.6 4.8 4.3 4.1 4.7 3.5 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.5 2.7 2.6
Megan Ratcliffe 49.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
Jillian Turner 55.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4
Emma Sloan 60.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Lucy Van Kleunen 69.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Clare Peabody 75.9 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.6% 100.0% 0.6 0.6 2
3 4.3% 50.0% 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 2.2 2.2 3
4 15.7% 1.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 15.5 0.2 4
5 20.1% 20.1 5
6 18.9% 18.9 6
7 17.0% 17.0 7
8 11.1% 11.1 8
9 6.4% 6.4 9
10 3.7% 3.7 10
11 1.8% 1.8 11
12 0.6% 0.6 12
13 0.2% 0.2 13
14 0.1% 0.1 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
Total 100% 2.9% 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 97.2 0.6 2.3




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Cornell 2.7% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.8% 2.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0