Rice
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
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RankNameGradeRating
103  Katie Jensen SR 20:03
158  Abigail Cartwright SO 20:12
166  Cali Roper SR 20:13
425  Elsa Racasan JR 20:48
644  Khayla Patel FR 21:08
991  Hannah Kay SR 21:31
1,552  Fabiola Andujar-Perez JR 22:06
1,565  Anna Figuerora SO 22:07
1,824  Abby Halm JR 22:23
National Rank #36 of 344
South Central Region Rank #4 of 36
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 8.3%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.1%


Regional Champion 0.5%
Top 5 in Regional 98.4%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Katie Jensen Abigail Cartwright Cali Roper Elsa Racasan Khayla Patel Hannah Kay Fabiola Andujar-Perez Anna Figuerora Abby Halm
Texas A&M Invitational 09/24 630 19:43 19:37 20:11 21:01 21:18 21:47 21:55 22:19
Rim Rock Classic 10/01 654 19:40 19:39 20:15 21:09 21:22 21:49 22:29 21:57 22:20
Houston Baptist Invitational 10/07 1277 21:37 22:19 21:54
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 919 20:02 20:22 21:00 21:42 22:21 21:49
Conference USA Championship 10/29 961 20:40 21:00 20:23 20:56 21:12 21:26 22:14 22:02 22:24
South Central Region Championships 11/11 623 19:54 20:00 20:04 20:36 21:14 21:26 22:24





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 8.3% 22.2 532 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2
Region Championship 100% 4.0 110 0.5 5.4 25.3 35.7 31.5 1.7



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Jensen 65.7% 90.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Abigail Cartwright 39.4% 111.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Cali Roper 37.8% 112.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Elsa Racasan 8.3% 192.0
Khayla Patel 8.3% 226.4
Hannah Kay 8.3% 244.3
Fabiola Andujar-Perez 8.3% 250.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Katie Jensen 8.8 1.0 3.1 3.4 5.3 6.3 8.0 7.9 9.0 7.5 6.6 6.1 5.9 4.7 4.6 3.6 3.9 3.3 2.9 2.4 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.6 0.4
Abigail Cartwright 12.8 0.4 0.8 1.1 2.4 3.0 3.3 4.4 5.0 5.8 6.7 5.3 6.7 6.4 5.8 6.5 5.6 6.1 5.6 4.8 4.0 2.8 1.9 2.0 1.3 1.1
Cali Roper 13.2 0.4 0.3 0.7 2.2 2.7 3.5 3.9 5.1 5.9 5.6 5.8 6.8 6.3 5.5 6.6 6.2 5.1 5.3 4.6 4.6 3.7 2.2 2.4 1.8 0.7
Elsa Racasan 29.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.2 4.7 4.6 5.4 4.6
Khayla Patel 41.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.9
Hannah Kay 56.2
Fabiola Andujar-Perez 79.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 0.5% 100.0% 0.5 0.5 1
2 5.4% 100.0% 5.4 5.4 2
3 25.3% 9.3% 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 22.9 2.4 3
4 35.7% 0.1% 0.1 35.7 0.1 4
5 31.5% 31.5 5
6 1.7% 1.7 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
Total 100% 8.3% 0.5 5.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 91.7 5.9 2.4




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Baylor 99.2% 1.0 1.0
Kentucky 11.3% 1.0 0.1
Kansas 5.6% 1.0 0.1
Total 1.2
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0