Duke
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
82  Sophia Parvizi-Wayne FR 19:57
383  Gabrielle Richichi SO 20:43
400  Lindsay Billings FR 20:45
683  Sheridan Wilbur SO 21:11
751  Liz Lansing SO 21:15
1,307  Olivia Gwynn SO 21:51
1,999  Sarah Armstrong FR 22:33
National Rank #68 of 344
Southeast Region Rank #9 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 3.2%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 21.2%
Top 10 in Regional 76.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Sophia Parvizi-Wayne Gabrielle Richichi Lindsay Billings Sheridan Wilbur Liz Lansing Olivia Gwynn Sarah Armstrong
Sycamore Invitational 09/10 1011 21:09 20:20 21:04 21:19 20:54 24:54
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 907 19:51 21:23 21:06 20:48 20:50 24:50
High Point Vert Invitational 10/14 1042 20:40 20:45 20:48 21:20 22:25
ACC Championships 10/28 954 20:05 20:54 20:42 22:36 21:16 21:54
Southeast Region Champioinships 11/11 1053 20:18 20:46 22:13 21:28 22:05





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 3.2% 29.4 682 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2
Region Championship 100% 8.1 258 3.2 4.5 6.0 7.5 10.4 9.7 11.8 12.1 11.6 9.7 6.3 3.9 2.0 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophia Parvizi-Wayne 24.7% 62.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3
Gabrielle Richichi 3.2% 176.1
Lindsay Billings 3.2% 176.5
Sheridan Wilbur 3.2% 223.5
Liz Lansing 3.2% 227.3
Olivia Gwynn 3.2% 247.3
Sarah Armstrong 3.2% 251.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sophia Parvizi-Wayne 10.2 1.5 3.1 3.5 5.1 5.2 6.3 6.3 6.0 5.8 6.4 6.2 4.4 4.6 5.2 5.1 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.0 2.0 1.9 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.7
Gabrielle Richichi 41.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.6 1.5 1.2 1.6
Lindsay Billings 42.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.0
Sheridan Wilbur 73.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Liz Lansing 80.6
Olivia Gwynn 138.5
Sarah Armstrong 191.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 3.2% 100.0% 3.2 3.2 2
3 4.5% 4.5 3
4 6.0% 6.0 4
5 7.5% 7.5 5
6 10.4% 10.4 6
7 9.7% 9.7 7
8 11.8% 11.8 8
9 12.1% 12.1 9
10 11.6% 11.6 10
11 9.7% 9.7 11
12 6.3% 6.3 12
13 3.9% 3.9 13
14 2.0% 2.0 14
15 1.0% 1.0 15
16 0.5% 0.5 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 0.1% 0.1 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 3.2% 3.2 96.9 3.2 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Oklahoma 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Wyoming 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0