Navy
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
930  Erin Mcdonnell SO 21:28
1,022  Mary Cate Scully SR 21:33
1,166  Allison Parks JR 21:43
1,396  Brenna McDannold SR 21:56
1,399  Caitlin Schmitt FR 21:56
1,448  Ali Valenti SO 21:59
1,778  Karla Mendoza FR 22:19
1,847  Erin Seiffert SR 22:24
1,868  Grace West FR 22:26
1,943  Evie Jansen JR 22:30
2,022  Kathryn Jan SR 22:34
2,197  Julie Candau SR 22:47
2,376  Piper Freed FR 22:59
National Rank #183 of 344
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #15 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 2.3%
Top 20 in Regional 98.8%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Erin Mcdonnell Mary Cate Scully Allison Parks Brenna McDannold Caitlin Schmitt Ali Valenti Karla Mendoza Erin Seiffert Grace West Evie Jansen Kathryn Jan
Salty Dog Invitational 09/10 1217 21:42 21:28 21:24 21:48 21:52 22:18 21:58 22:20 23:07 22:28 22:12
Roy Griak Invitational 09/24 1229 21:38 21:23 21:52 22:25 22:02 22:07 22:32 25:20 22:33 23:57
Paul Short Invitational (Brown) 10/01 1306 22:20
Army vs. Navy 10/15 1220 21:27 21:43 21:33 21:44 21:49 21:55 22:14 22:14 22:27 22:48
Patriot League Championship 10/29 1234 21:40 21:53 21:50 22:00 21:47 21:54 22:48 22:29 21:46 22:08 22:01
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/11 1213 21:15 21:28 21:41 21:51 22:11 21:55 21:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.8 458 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 5.4 10.3 15.5 14.9 15.1 12.2 10.0 6.9 4.4 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erin Mcdonnell 75.5 0.1
Mary Cate Scully 80.9
Allison Parks 93.0
Brenna McDannold 108.4
Caitlin Schmitt 109.0
Ali Valenti 112.7
Karla Mendoza 135.9




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 0.1% 0.1 8
9 0.6% 0.6 9
10 1.6% 1.6 10
11 5.4% 5.4 11
12 10.3% 10.3 12
13 15.5% 15.5 13
14 14.9% 14.9 14
15 15.1% 15.1 15
16 12.2% 12.2 16
17 10.0% 10.0 17
18 6.9% 6.9 18
19 4.4% 4.4 19
20 2.0% 2.0 20
21 0.9% 0.9 21
22 0.2% 0.2 22
23 0.1% 0.1 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0