Navy
Men -
Women
2015
-
2016 -
2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
152 |
Lucas Stalnaker |
SR |
32:02 |
289 |
Ryan McCoy |
SR |
32:28 |
344 |
Cory Donley |
JR |
32:37 |
350 |
Jake Brophy |
FR |
32:38 |
370 |
Ryan Speir |
SR |
32:40 |
421 |
Mitchell Pratt |
SR |
32:46 |
486 |
Harry Bullen |
SR |
32:54 |
510 |
Samuel Williams |
SR |
32:56 |
522 |
Kevin Murray |
FR |
32:57 |
706 |
Gabriel Collison |
JR |
33:18 |
1,266 |
Samuel Pershall |
SR |
34:05 |
1,626 |
Michael Karls |
SO |
34:35 |
2,178 |
Jacob Shewbert |
FR |
35:31 |
|
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
1.0% |
Regional Champion |
10.8% |
Top 5 in Regional |
99.9% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Lucas Stalnaker |
Ryan McCoy |
Cory Donley |
Jake Brophy |
Ryan Speir |
Mitchell Pratt |
Harry Bullen |
Samuel Williams |
Kevin Murray |
Gabriel Collison |
Samuel Pershall |
Navy Invitational |
09/10 |
901 |
32:30 |
32:38 |
32:45 |
32:53 |
32:37 |
32:41 |
32:51 |
33:20 |
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33:27 |
UMES Cappy Anderson Invitational |
09/17 |
786 |
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32:20 |
32:20 |
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32:19 |
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32:20 |
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Roy Griak Invitational |
09/24 |
757 |
31:53 |
32:25 |
32:32 |
32:32 |
32:32 |
32:18 |
32:57 |
33:52 |
33:03 |
34:02 |
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Mason Invitational |
10/01 |
1359 |
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Paul Short Invitational (Gold) |
10/01 |
837 |
32:16 |
32:26 |
32:30 |
32:40 |
32:41 |
32:40 |
33:07 |
32:59 |
32:57 |
33:11 |
|
Army vs. Navy |
10/15 |
649 |
31:42 |
32:05 |
32:20 |
32:12 |
33:04 |
33:11 |
33:08 |
32:22 |
33:01 |
32:53 |
33:31 |
Patriot League Championship |
10/29 |
777 |
31:47 |
32:21 |
32:55 |
32:46 |
32:30 |
33:08 |
|
32:34 |
32:49 |
33:34 |
34:07 |
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships |
11/11 |
854 |
32:21 |
32:28 |
32:32 |
32:38 |
32:41 |
32:53 |
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32:37 |
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|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
41.0% |
28.3 |
702 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
8.2 |
9.3 |
8.0 |
Region Championship |
100% |
2.8 |
91 |
10.8 |
27.2 |
32.7 |
28.3 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Lucas Stalnaker |
72.6% |
118.2 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
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Ryan McCoy |
44.1% |
173.2 |
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Cory Donley |
41.6% |
193.2 |
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Jake Brophy |
41.4% |
193.4 |
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Ryan Speir |
41.3% |
199.5 |
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Mitchell Pratt |
41.2% |
208.5 |
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Harry Bullen |
41.0% |
219.8 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Lucas Stalnaker |
6.1 |
1.2 |
8.6 |
12.2 |
9.5 |
10.5 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
6.3 |
4.9 |
4.0 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
Ryan McCoy |
16.7 |
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0.1 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
4.5 |
5.0 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
Cory Donley |
21.8 |
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0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
Jake Brophy |
22.4 |
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0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
4.3 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
Ryan Speir |
23.8 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
3.3 |
Mitchell Pratt |
27.5 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.7 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
Harry Bullen |
32.6 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
10.8% |
100.0% |
10.8 |
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10.8 |
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1 |
2 |
27.2% |
100.0% |
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27.2 |
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27.2 |
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2 |
3 |
32.7% |
9.2% |
| |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
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29.7 |
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3.0 |
3 |
4 |
28.3% |
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28.3 |
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4 |
5 |
1.0% |
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1.0 |
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5 |
6 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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6 |
7 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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7 |
8 |
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8 |
9 |
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9 |
10 |
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10 |
11 |
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11 |
12 |
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12 |
13 |
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13 |
14 |
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14 |
15 |
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15 |
16 |
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16 |
17 |
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17 |
18 |
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18 |
19 |
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19 |
20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
33 |
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33 |
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Total |
100% |
41.0% |
10.8 |
27.2 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
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59.0 |
38.0 |
3.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.