Utah State
Men - Women
2015 - 2016 - 2017
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
102  Kashley Carter SO 20:03
211  Bailee Parker FR 20:20
515  Kelsey Yamauchi JR 20:57
526  Cierra Simmons SO 20:58
734  Tylee Newman JR 21:14
857  Tavia Dutson SO 21:23
999  Elli Eastmond FR 21:32
1,011  Jacqueline Heaps JR 21:32
1,025  LeAnn Larkin FR 21:33
1,408  Shannon Maloney SO 21:57
National Rank #60 of 344
Mountain Region Rank #9 of 20
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.4%
Most Likely Finish 9th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.1%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 1.9%
Top 10 in Regional 80.7%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kashley Carter Bailee Parker Kelsey Yamauchi Cierra Simmons Tylee Newman Tavia Dutson Elli Eastmond Jacqueline Heaps LeAnn Larkin Shannon Maloney
MSU Invite 09/17 955 20:19 20:59 21:04 20:53 21:25 21:25 22:46 21:29 20:49
Paul Short Invitational (Gold) 10/01 881 20:30 20:23 20:59 21:00 20:37 21:26 21:27 21:16 21:28
Steve Reeder Memorial Invitational 10/07 1249
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Open) 10/15 21:22 21:47 21:14
ISU adidas Pre Nationals (Blue) 10/15 845 20:03 20:11 20:53 21:03 21:30 21:43 22:27
Mountain West Championship 10/28 862 19:58 20:21 21:09 20:54 21:25 21:21 21:20 21:44 22:20
Mountain Region Championships 11/11 819 19:44 20:28 20:51 20:48 21:35 21:19 21:32





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.4% 24.6 572 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 8.8 244 0.1 0.6 1.3 5.6 18.3 18.7 20.2 16.1 12.9 5.3 1.1 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kashley Carter 38.2% 84.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3
Bailee Parker 6.7% 120.5
Kelsey Yamauchi 0.4% 185.5
Cierra Simmons 0.4% 188.5
Tylee Newman 0.4% 210.5
Tavia Dutson 0.4% 226.5
Elli Eastmond 0.4% 238.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kashley Carter 18.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.9 2.9 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.0 4.1 5.0 4.3 4.9 4.5 4.0 4.5 3.3 3.5 3.2
Bailee Parker 30.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.8 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.7 1.4 2.2 2.0 1.9 2.4 2.2 3.2 3.3 2.8 3.3
Kelsey Yamauchi 59.7 0.1 0.1 0.1
Cierra Simmons 60.3
Tylee Newman 74.6
Tavia Dutson 82.8
Elli Eastmond 90.8




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 3
4 0.6% 54.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 4
5 1.3% 7.7% 0.1 1.2 0.1 5
6 5.6% 5.6 6
7 18.3% 18.3 7
8 18.7% 18.7 8
9 20.2% 20.2 9
10 16.1% 16.1 10
11 12.9% 12.9 11
12 5.3% 5.3 12
13 1.1% 1.1 13
14 0.2% 0.2 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
Total 100% 0.5% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.0 0.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Furman 25.1% 1.0 0.3
Louisville 9.3% 1.0 0.1
Rice 5.9% 1.0 0.1
Dartmouth 0.8% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.6% 2.0 0.0
Elon 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Clemson 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Georgia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Iona 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 3.0