Valparaiso
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,907  Kim Heiny SR 22:27
2,418  Katherine Germann SO 23:08
2,562  Sarah Caesar FR 23:22
2,703  Kate Mitchell SO 23:40
3,119  Nicole Berneche SO 25:14
3,137  Celia McGhiey SO 25:24
3,146  Kathleen Neal FR 25:27
3,161  Olivia Recker FR 25:34
3,274  Tayler Justison SO 26:45
National Rank #299 of 348
Great Lakes Region Rank #34 of 34
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 33rd at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kim Heiny Katherine Germann Sarah Caesar Kate Mitchell Nicole Berneche Celia McGhiey Kathleen Neal Olivia Recker Tayler Justison
MSU Spartan Invitational 09/15 1433 22:36 23:14 23:29 24:10 25:24 25:40 26:25 24:43 26:04
Joe Piane Invitational (Gold) 09/29 1417 22:21 23:08 23:25 23:37 25:32 25:30 25:00 25:21 27:18
Bradley Pink Classic 10/13 1377 22:25 22:51 22:56 22:49 25:40 25:13 25:30 26:08 26:37
Missouri Valley Championship 10/28 1398 22:29 22:56 23:31 23:44 24:20 25:40 25:15 26:01
Great Lakes Region Championships 11/10 1403 22:32 22:48 23:21 23:25 25:15 25:05 25:31





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 33.1 1048 0.1 0.5



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kim Heiny 177.4
Katherine Germann 205.9
Sarah Caesar 211.9
Kate Mitchell 219.7
Nicole Berneche 234.8
Celia McGhiey 235.7
Kathleen Neal 236.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 0.1% 0.1 30
31 0.5% 0.5 31
32 23.6% 23.6 32
33 42.9% 42.9 33
34 33.1% 33.1 34
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0