Davidson
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
212  Sarah Sears SR 20:18
368  Caroline Yarbrough JR 20:39
576  Maddie Hunter SO 20:57
645  Laurel Sheffield SR 21:04
844  Sierra Ponthier SR 21:18
931  Susannah Cate SO 21:24
1,259  Allison Cheeseman SR 21:45
1,379  Sophia Mills JR 21:53
1,821  Katie MacTurk SO 22:21
2,259  Grace Falken SR 22:53
2,339  Audrey Grammel FR 23:00
2,452  Paige McKinney SO 23:11
2,492  Abby Fry JR 23:15
2,677  Emma Pettit SO 23:36
2,803  Anna Buser SR 23:54
3,212  Garnet Brown FR 25:55
National Rank #81 of 348
Southeast Region Rank #13 of 50
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.3%
Most Likely Finish 12th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.8%
Top 10 in Regional 33.6%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings



Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.



RaceDateTeam Rating Sarah Sears Caroline Yarbrough Maddie Hunter Laurel Sheffield Sierra Ponthier Susannah Cate Allison Cheeseman Sophia Mills Katie MacTurk Grace Falken Audrey Grammel
Louisville Classic (Gold) 09/30 982 20:16 20:40 21:28 21:14 21:05 21:34 22:05
Queen City Invitational 10/13 963 20:14 20:36 21:00 21:20 21:25 22:07 21:45 22:03 22:15 22:55 23:01
A10 Championship 10/28 852 20:09 20:37 20:42 20:40 21:30 21:14 21:54 21:24 22:09 23:11
Southeast Region Championships 11/10 829 20:12 20:34 20:33 20:43 21:03 21:23 21:50





NCAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.3% 29.3 717 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 11.4 327 0.2 0.6 0.9 2.5 5.8 10.1 13.6 16.0 17.8 16.6 10.3 4.1 1.1 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Sears 2.1% 122.5
Caroline Yarbrough 0.3% 145.5
Maddie Hunter 0.3% 205.0
Laurel Sheffield 0.3% 212.0
Sierra Ponthier 0.3% 233.0
Susannah Cate 0.3% 237.0
Allison Cheeseman 0.3% 248.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sarah Sears 28.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.5 2.7 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.7 3.9 4.3 3.5 4.1 3.3
Caroline Yarbrough 48.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.8
Maddie Hunter 72.0
Laurel Sheffield 79.0
Sierra Ponthier 98.6
Susannah Cate 106.8
Allison Cheeseman 140.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.2% 50.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 4
5 0.6% 18.2% 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 5
6 0.9% 0.9 6
7 2.5% 2.5 7
8 5.8% 1.7% 0.1 0.1 5.7 0.1 8
9 10.1% 10.1 9
10 13.6% 13.6 10
11 16.0% 16.0 11
12 17.8% 17.8 12
13 16.6% 16.6 13
14 10.3% 10.3 14
15 4.1% 4.1 15
16 1.1% 1.1 16
17 0.6% 0.6 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
50 50
Total 100% 0.3% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0 0.3




Points




At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.




Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Wake Forest 2.5% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0