Towson
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,117  Erica Israel SO 21:35
1,468  Emily Johnson SR 21:58
1,611  Abby Gauthier JR 22:07
2,401  Shelby Bobbie JR 23:07
2,573  Paige Keefer FR 23:23
2,711  Alise Montgomery SO 23:41
2,977  Kara Mueser SR 24:31
3,162  Melissa Graham SO 25:35
National Rank #255 of 348
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #25 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 24th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 3.3%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erica Israel Emily Johnson Abby Gauthier Shelby Bobbie Paige Keefer Alise Montgomery Kara Mueser Melissa Graham
Salty Dog Invitational 09/09 1275 21:35 22:01 22:27 22:31 23:22 24:41 26:14
Paul Short Gold 09/29 1277 21:32 22:03 22:12 23:22 22:38 23:30 24:26 24:29
Princeton Invitational 10/14 1302 21:28 21:54 21:59 23:22 23:35 23:44 25:05 25:08
CAA Championship 10/28 1284 21:37 21:29 21:55 23:17 23:16 23:44 25:47
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 1305 21:43 22:09 22:05 22:59 23:56 23:44





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 23.3 702 0.1 0.6 2.7 9.0 17.3 22.6 23.3 22.5 2.0 0.2



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erica Israel 88.4
Emily Johnson 115.9
Abby Gauthier 126.6
Shelby Bobbie 181.1
Paige Keefer 190.1
Alise Montgomery 199.0
Kara Mueser 221.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 18
19 0.6% 0.6 19
20 2.7% 2.7 20
21 9.0% 9.0 21
22 17.3% 17.3 22
23 22.6% 22.6 23
24 23.3% 23.3 24
25 22.5% 22.5 25
26 2.0% 2.0 26
27 0.2% 0.2 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0