Troy
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
1,845  Kara Coulter FR 22:22
1,861  Christie Caruana FR 22:23
1,985  Macki Walsh FR 22:31
2,792  Katherine Lowe SO 23:53
2,849  Erika Kulp SO 24:05
2,870  Michaela Ashley FR 24:08
2,871  Sarah Zylstra SR 24:08
2,900  Krystin Guirey JR 24:14
3,010  Claire Vaughn FR 24:38
National Rank #280 of 348
South Region Rank #35 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 36th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.0%
Top 20 in Regional 0.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Kara Coulter Christie Caruana Macki Walsh Katherine Lowe Erika Kulp Michaela Ashley Sarah Zylstra Krystin Guirey Claire Vaughn
Mountain to Sea Open 09/16 1341 22:13 21:58 21:59 23:44 24:26 24:08
Foothills Invitational 09/30 1530 24:25 24:11 24:01 23:42
Crimson Classic 10/13 1605 24:13 23:56 25:24 24:30 25:54
Sun Belt Championship 10/28 1385 22:32 22:54 23:11 23:59 24:01 24:06 24:00
South Region Championships 11/10 22:24





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 34.2 958 0.1 0.2 0.3 1.4 1.7 3.4 5.7



NCAA Tournament Simulation - Individual Results



RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kara Coulter 155.6
Christie Caruana 157.6
Macki Walsh 167.1
Katherine Lowe 238.7
Erika Kulp 244.8
Michaela Ashley 246.4
Sarah Zylstra 246.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 0.1% 0.1 25
26 0.2% 0.2 26
27 0.3% 0.3 27
28 1.4% 1.4 28
29 1.7% 1.7 29
30 3.4% 3.4 30
31 5.7% 5.7 31
32 7.3% 7.3 32
33 11.2% 11.2 33
34 16.6% 16.6 34
35 21.1% 21.1 35
36 24.1% 24.1 36
37 5.7% 5.7 37
38 1.1% 1.1 38
39 0.3% 0.3 39
40 0.1% 0.1 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0