Boys - Girls
Manchester Semi-State
1999 - 2000 - 2001




These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.



RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
Ryan Johnson 12 DeKalb 15:45 #3  
Bret Grover 12 Bluffton 15:45 #4  
Kaleb Van Ort 11 DeKalb 15:49 #6  
Josh Wolfe 10 DeKalb 16:08 #18  
Tom Wolfe 12 Fairfield 16:10 #22  
Rob Chalfant 12 Wawasee 16:14 #26  
Sean Threewits 11 Union City 16:15 #27  
Cody Brown 11 Central Noble 16:15 #28  
Brandon Reichert 12 Northrop 16:25 #39  
10  Paul Perales 10 Wawasee 16:25 #40  
11  Brian Mills 11 Richmond 16:29 #45  
12  Scott Borchelt 12 Concordia Lutheran 16:30 #46  
13  Matt Cummins 10 Elkhart Memorial 16:31 #47  
14  Mark Stahl 9 DeKalb 16:35 #58  
15  Ian Wilson 12 Homestead 16:36 #61  
16  Kyle Beck 12 Marion 16:38 #65  
17  Chris Brown 11 Bluffton 16:39 #68  
18  Chris Bayliss 12 Wabash 16:40 #73  
19  Ryan Stichter 10 Wawasee 16:41 #75  
20  Adam Klophenstein 10 New Haven 16:42 #80  
21  Adam Truex 11 Norwell 16:43 #82  
22  Josh Quintana 12 Bellmont 16:43 #83  
23  Kevin Yoder Northridge 16:44 #87  
24  Tim Heiman 12 East Noble 16:47 #99  
RankNameRegionalRatingState Rank
DeKalb Elkhart Central 231 #3  
Northrop Bellmont 407 #16  
Wawasee Elkhart Central 425 #18  
Northridge Elkhart Central 463 #22  
Norwell Bellmont 481 #23  
Bellmont Bellmont 519 #25  

Other unranked teams:
Northfield Manchester 520
Fort Wayne North Side Bellmont 531
Huntington North Manchester 549
Richmond Delta 549
Kokomo Manchester 550
Carroll (FW) Manchester 595



Semi-State Simulation




Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
DeKalb 100.0% 1.0 64 24 121 97.6 2.3 0.1
Northrop 100.0% 3.3 122 36 229 2.0 46.2 20.1 11.5 7.5 5.0 3.3 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2
Wawasee 100.0% 3.6 132 65 209 0.2 22.6 33.6 21.7 12.2 5.7 2.4 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Northridge 100.0% 5.3 149 50 294 0.1 13.8 15.6 16.1 13.9 11.5 8.3 6.9 5.5 4.0 2.6 1.6
Norwell 100.0% 5.9 157 64 261 0.1 6.9 11.5 14.6 15.3 13.7 11.3 9.3 6.9 5.4 3.3 1.7
Richmond 100.0% 7.4 174 102 270 0.7 2.9 7.3 10.4 14.0 15.3 16.1 13.5 10.2 6.5 3.2
Northfield 100.0% 7.4 174 85 277 2.2 4.9 7.9 11.0 11.9 12.8 12.5 12.7 10.5 8.1 5.5
Bellmont 100.0% 7.8 178 79 283 2.1 3.9 7.1 9.4 11.2 11.9 11.9 11.8 11.1 10.7 9.1
Fort Wayne North Side 100.0% 8.5 186 71 299 1.6 3.6 5.3 6.9 8.4 9.7 10.5 11.7 12.6 13.8 15.9
Kokomo 100.0% 8.8 191 81 303 0.8 1.8 3.6 5.7 8.4 10.1 11.1 12.2 14.2 15.3 16.9
Huntington North 100.0% 9.3 196 80 304 0.8 1.6 3.3 4.7 5.5 8.0 8.8 11.6 13.6 18.1 24.1
Carroll (FW) 100.0% 9.6 200 108 303 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.0 4.8 7.0 9.9 12.5 17.5 21.2 21.9


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Ryan Johnson DeKalb 15:45 100.0% 1.3 38.5 36.7 18.7 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bret Grover Bluffton 15:45 100.0% 1.3 43.1 20.2 24.6 7.8 2.6 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kaleb Van Ort DeKalb 15:49 100.0% 2.0 16.2 34.7 34.1 9.3 3.4 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Josh Wolfe DeKalb 16:08 100.0% 4.9 0.0 0.5 5.6 26.2 19.3 14.1 10.7 7.3 5.2 3.9 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
Tom Wolfe Fairfield 16:10 100.0% 5.4 0.9 3.1 5.9 16.1 17.8 14.3 11.7 8.5 6.3 4.5 2.9 2.4 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
Rob Chalfant Wawasee 16:14 100.0% 6.5 0.4 1.4 3.5 10.4 13.5 14.7 13.3 11.5 8.4 6.6 4.4 3.6 2.2 1.7 1.2 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3
Sean Threewits Union City 16:15 100.0% 6.6 0.4 1.5 3.4 9.8 13.5 14.2 12.8 10.1 8.3 6.6 5.3 3.7 2.4 2.1 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4
Cody Brown Central Noble 16:15 100.0% 6.8 0.4 1.4 2.8 9.5 13.1 13.3 12.2 10.3 9.5 6.5 4.9 4.0 3.2 2.2 1.4 1.3 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.4
Brandon Reichert Northrop 16:25 100.0% 10.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 2.2 4.3 5.5 7.4 8.9 9.4 8.4 8.2 7.1 6.1 5.0 4.9 4.1 3.3 2.3 2.2 2.0
Paul Perales Wawasee 16:25 100.0% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.9 5.6 7.5 8.8 9.5 9.2 8.7 7.8 6.8 5.9 4.9 3.7 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.9
Brian Mills Richmond 16:29 100.0% 12.5 0.1 0.2 1.1 1.8 3.7 4.8 5.8 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.0 6.3 5.8 5.1 4.6 3.4 3.4 3.2
Scott Borchelt Concordia Lutheran 16:30 99.9% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.3 6.1 6.7 7.5 7.7 7.1 7.0 6.6 5.7 5.1 4.5 3.9 3.6 2.7
Matt Cummins Elkhart Memorial 16:31 100.0% 13.4 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.7 2.7 3.4 5.1 6.1 6.7 6.8 7.0 7.0 6.3 5.8 5.3 4.6 3.7 4.0 3.2
Mark Stahl DeKalb 16:35 100.0% 15.7 0.0 0.7 1.3 2.0 3.1 3.9 5.2 5.5 6.2 5.9 6.1 5.8 5.8 5.4 4.8 4.1 4.4
Ian Wilson Homestead 16:36 99.5% 16.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.5 2.4 3.0 4.0 4.9 5.5 5.0 5.7 5.8 5.5 5.7 5.2 4.7 4.7
Kyle Beck Marion 16:38 100.0% 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.3 3.0 3.7 4.4 4.7 5.1 5.5 5.6 5.1 5.0 5.2 4.3 4.5
Chris Brown Bluffton 16:39 99.0% 18.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.0 4.0 4.3 5.0 4.6 5.3 5.1 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.7
Chris Bayliss Wabash 16:40 100.0% 19.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.8 3.4 3.8 4.3 5.0 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.3 5.0 4.4
Ryan Stichter Wawasee 16:41 100.0% 20.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 2.3 3.3 3.8 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.6 5.3 4.8 5.2 5.0
Adam Klophenstein New Haven 16:42 98.1% 21.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.3 4.7 4.6 4.8
Adam Truex Norwell 16:43 100.0% 21.4 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.9 4.6 4.2
Josh Quintana Bellmont 16:43 100.0% 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.1 3.3 3.8 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.5
Kevin Yoder Northridge 16:44 100.0% 23.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.6 3.9 3.9 4.3 4.4
Tim Heiman East Noble 16:47 99.8% 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.1 1.7 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.7 3.3