Boys - Girls
Manchester Semi-State
1999 - 2000 - 2001



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Natalie Ewing 12 Northridge 18:56 #13  
2  Aubrey Gaffer 12 Northrop 18:56 #14  
3  Nikki Jasperson 10 Bishop Luers 19:11 #20  
4  Katie Doehla Concordia Lutheran 19:16 #29  
5  Katy Pryor 11 New Castle 19:23 #33  
6  Megan Hardenbrook 11 Garrett 19:23 #34  
7  Christan Bahler 12 Western 19:29 #39  
8  Caitlin Baird 12 Yorktown 19:42 #53  
9  Hillary Barlow 12 Warsaw 19:42 #55  
10  Stephanie Eilar 12 Richmond 19:44 #59  
11  Emily Hernandez 12 Northrop 19:45 #62  
12  Natalie Shaffer 12 New Castle 19:46 #65  
13  Shadricka Burnett 10 Northrop 19:47 #67  
14  Christy Leonard 9 Homestead 19:48 #69  
15  Laura Lash 9 Tippecanoe Valley 19:49 #71  
16  Margaret Reyling 11 Bellmont 19:52 #77  
17  Jennifer Furge 11 Angola 19:52 #80  
18  Amy Rodeghero 11 Richmond 19:53 #82  
19  Megan Hawkins 11 DeKalb 19:57 #91  
20  Ashley Ritchey Leo 20:00 #96  
21  Leann Sarka 9 Homestead 20:02 #101  
22  Amy Radeghero Richmond 20:02 #103  
23  Carolyn Magley Carroll (FW) 20:03 #105  
24  Jessica Hein 11 Carroll (FW) 20:03 #106  
25  Rebekah Liechty East Noble 20:04 #108  
26  Angela Boggs Southwood 20:04 #111  
27  Jennifer Finch 11 Warsaw 20:05 #114  
28  Tricia Bohan 12 Northrop 20:05 #115  
RankNameRegionalRatingState Rank
1  Northrop Bellmont 259 #6  
2  DeKalb Elkhart Central 350 #11  
3  Northridge Elkhart Central 370 #13  
4  Bellmont Bellmont 371 #14  
5  Homestead Bellmont 379 #16  
6  Carroll (FW) Manchester 399 #19  

Other unranked teams:
Richmond Delta 417
Concordia Lutheran Bellmont 418
West Noble Elkhart Central 505
Warsaw Elkhart Central 506
Goshen Elkhart Central 538
Kokomo Manchester 564
Delta Delta 611
Huntington North Manchester 647
Northfield Manchester 665
East Noble Elkhart Central 669
Southwood Manchester 712
New Castle Delta 744



Semi-State Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Northrop 100.0% 1.2 71 18 196 86.4 9.8 2.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
DeKalb 100.0% 3.6 139 37 280 6.9 30.0 20.2 13.4 11.0 8.3 5.5 3.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
Bellmont 100.0% 4.4 155 42 295 3.1 20.0 17.6 15.8 13.1 10.8 9.3 6.1 2.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
Homestead 100.0% 4.4 156 55 296 2.1 18.6 19.6 16.7 13.4 11.2 8.9 5.4 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0
Northridge 99.9% 5.3 170 49 290 0.8 8.2 12.6 16.0 16.4 15.9 14.1 10.4 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Carroll (FW) 100.0% 5.7 178 47 319 0.5 7.7 11.8 12.8 13.9 14.8 13.9 12.4 7.3 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
Richmond 100.0% 5.9 180 70 337 0.2 3.4 9.6 14.4 17.0 17.1 16.0 12.1 6.4 2.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Concordia Lutheran 100.0% 6.7 194 53 319 0.1 2.2 5.6 8.8 11.6 15.1 17.9 19.6 12.1 4.8 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Warsaw 98.5% 9.1 237 129 354 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.7 3.8 7.6 15.8 29.6 23.8 11.1 3.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
West Noble 88.4% 9.8 252 99 407 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.1 4.4 8.2 17.5 24.4 17.0 8.0 2.7 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1
Goshen 78.3% 10.6 267 140 388 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.9 4.8 10.6 18.3 21.1 11.8 4.6 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.2
East Noble 34.8% 11.7 293 205 394 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 11.2 8.8 4.2 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1
Kokomo 100.0% 12.3 301 155 441 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.5 3.9 10.1 18.7 25.8 13.6 10.1 7.5 5.0 3.0
New Castle 100.0% 13.7 327 270 421 0.0 0.2 2.1 11.4 30.5 31.2 17.2 6.1 1.3
Delta 100.0% 14.2 334 185 460 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 2.5 6.5 12.0 15.9 15.3 15.6 15.4 16.0
Southwood 100.0% 15.0 349 226 444 0.0 0.5 2.0 5.8 10.8 15.1 22.0 23.4 20.5
Northfield 100.0% 15.1 353 206 458 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.5 5.8 8.2 12.3 19.2 27.2 23.9
Huntington North 100.0% 15.3 357 184 467 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 6.0 8.8 10.3 15.3 21.4 34.9


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Natalie Ewing Northridge 18:56 100.0% 1.4 39.6 28.6 14.5 8.2 4.3 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Aubrey Gaffer Northrop 18:56 100.0% 1.4 39.9 28.8 14.7 7.8 3.9 2.4 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nikki Jasperson Bishop Luers 19:11 100.0% 3.2 9.5 15.4 21.3 16.2 12.7 7.7 5.8 3.7 2.6 1.6 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Katie Doehla Concordia Lutheran 19:16 100.0% 4.1 5.3 10.8 16.3 16.3 14.3 10.0 7.6 5.3 3.4 2.8 2.0 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2
Katy Pryor New Castle 19:23 100.0% 5.4 2.0 6.4 10.3 12.8 13.3 12.3 9.6 7.7 5.5 4.3 3.8 2.4 2.1 1.5 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4
Megan Hardenbrook Garrett 19:23 100.0% 5.4 2.2 5.2 10.5 13.6 13.5 12.7 9.3 6.7 5.6 4.5 3.5 2.6 2.3 1.5 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.4
Christan Bahler Western 19:29 100.0% 7.0 1.1 2.6 5.1 9.0 11.0 10.9 10.3 8.5 7.4 6.2 4.5 4.1 3.3 2.7 2.3 1.9 1.5 1.4 1.1 0.9
Caitlin Baird Yorktown 19:42 100.0% 11.8 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.5 4.0 5.1 6.4 7.1 6.9 5.7 6.2 5.6 5.2 4.6 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.3 3.1 2.5
Hillary Barlow Warsaw 19:42 99.9% 11.6 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.5 3.8 5.0 6.7 7.1 6.7 6.7 6.2 5.3 5.4 4.7 4.5 3.9 3.4 3.4 2.8 2.6
Stephanie Eilar Richmond 19:44 100.0% 12.9 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.6 4.2 5.3 5.9 6.1 6.0 6.2 5.8 5.3 4.8 4.5 4.6 3.6 3.7 3.5 2.9
Emily Hernandez Northrop 19:45 100.0% 13.3 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.9 4.0 4.7 5.7 6.1 6.3 5.6 5.3 5.5 5.4 4.8 4.3 3.9 3.9 3.2 3.1
Natalie Shaffer New Castle 19:46 100.0% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.2 3.2 4.5 5.1 5.6 5.5 5.3 5.6 5.5 4.7 4.7 4.1 3.8 3.6 3.8 3.2
Shadricka Burnett Northrop 19:47 100.0% 14.3 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.3 4.0 5.2 5.0 5.4 5.7 5.2 5.6 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.8 2.9
Christy Leonard Homestead 19:48 100.0% 15.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.9 3.1 3.7 4.5 5.0 5.2 4.9 5.3 4.8 5.1 4.4 4.7 4.1 3.6 3.7 3.2
Laura Lash Tippecanoe Valley 19:49 100.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.8 3.6 4.2 4.5 5.2 4.8 4.6 4.8 4.9 4.7 3.9 4.4 3.9 3.6 3.6
Margaret Reyling Bellmont 19:52 100.0% 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.9 3.6 4.1 4.0 3.9 5.0 4.4 4.4 4.8 4.3 4.3 3.8 3.6 3.6
Jennifer Furge Angola 19:52 97.4% 17.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.3 3.9 4.0 3.8 3.7
Amy Rodeghero Richmond 19:53 100.0% 18.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.2 2.5 3.4 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.4 4.7 4.2 4.6 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.0
Megan Hawkins DeKalb 19:57 100.0% 21.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 4.0 3.8 3.6 4.2 3.4
Ashley Ritchey Leo 20:00 84.8% 21.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.9 2.5 2.9 3.2 3.2 2.9 3.3 3.3 3.3
Leann Sarka Homestead 20:02 100.0% 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.7 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2
Amy Radeghero Richmond 20:02 100.0% 25.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.3 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.2 3.6
Carolyn Magley Carroll (FW) 20:03 100.0% 26.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.3 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.3
Jessica Hein Carroll (FW) 20:03 100.0% 26.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 3.1 3.0 3.0
Rebekah Liechty East Noble 20:04 90.1% 25.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.6 2.9 2.6 2.5 2.7
Angela Boggs Southwood 20:04 100.0% 26.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.7 3.0 3.5
Jennifer Finch Warsaw 20:05 98.9% 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.0 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9
Tricia Bohan Northrop 20:05 100.0% 27.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.3 2.4 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0