Northridge
Boys - Girls
2001 - 2002 - 2003
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State Rank #15
Manchester Semi-State Rank #4
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #1
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 10th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 42.5%
Advance to State Finals 80.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
35  Jerad Craig 12 16:26
61  Braxton Fritz 10 16:35
67  Ken Collins 10 16:37
Jon Stembel 12 17:24
Nick Ewing 12 17:32
Nate Stewart 11 17:43
David Sabo 11 17:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 80.1% 10.5 286 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.8 5.0 9.8 11.8 13.2 11.1 9.1 6.9 4.4 3.1 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 4.1 138 0.8 20.6 26.1 20.4 12.1 8.0 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.3 41 73.9 19.6 5.2 1.3
Sectionals 100% 1.1 31 85.4 14.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerad Craig 86.6% 35.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.8 2.2 2.0 33.0% 75.4%
Braxton Fritz 80.9% 50.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 4.0% 41.8%
Ken Collins 80.6% 54.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.4 2.5% 34.2%
Jon Stembel 80.1% 132.1 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Ewing 80.1% 140.3 0.0% 0.0%
Nate Stewart 80.1% 150.3 0.0% 0.0%
David Sabo 80.1% 150.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerad Craig 100% 10.1 0.5 1.8 3.1 4.5 5.7 6.7 6.5 7.4 6.7 6.7 6.1 5.8 5.2 4.5 4.3 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.2 0.8 100.0%
Braxton Fritz 100% 16.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.4 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.0 3.7 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.7 99.7%
Ken Collins 100% 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.6 2.8 3.2 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.2 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.7 3.2 2.7 99.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerad Craig 100% 4.1 2.7 7.8 17.3 20.2 19.4 15.3 8.8 4.6 2.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Braxton Fritz 100% 6.4 0.3 1.2 3.7 8.4 12.3 17.6 18.1 15.9 9.9 5.9 3.4 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Ken Collins 100% 6.9 0.2 0.8 2.1 5.4 10.5 13.8 18.2 17.8 12.9 8.2 4.6 2.6 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jerad Craig 2.5 7.4 25.8 30.6 22.8 9.4 3.5 0.5
Braxton Fritz 4.3 1.0 4.6 13.2 23.4 29.2 22.2 6.5
Ken Collins 4.6 0.4 2.9 9.0 19.4 29.2 28.4 10.7 0.0