Boys - Girls
Manchester Semi-State
2001 - 2002 - 2003



These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a projection of this round of the tournament.


RankNameGradeSchoolRatingState Rank
1  Corey Drake 12 Northrop 15:59 #5  
2  Josh Wolfe 12 DeKalb 16:05 #12  
3  Matt Cummins 12 Elkhart Memorial 16:07 #13  
4  Chris Kempf 12 Carroll (FW) 16:14 #18  
5  Kyle Walsh 11 Western 16:18 #24  
6  Cody Hannie 12 Snider 16:18 #26  
7  Paul Perales 12 Wawasee 16:20 #29  
8  Jerad Craig 12 Northridge 16:26 #35  
9  Mark Stahl 11 DeKalb 16:27 #36  
10  Alex Harvey 12 Marion 16:27 #37  
11  Andy O'Connor 12 Homestead 16:28 #40  
12  Garrett Bradtmueller 12 Northrop 16:30 #44  
13  Troy Hileman 11 New Haven 16:33 #54  
14  Brennon Plotner 11 Northrop 16:35 #59  
15  Steve Thieme 12 Bellmont 16:35 #60  
16  Braxton Fritz 10 Northridge 16:35 #61  
17  Luke Stoffel 11 Wawasee 16:35 #62  
18  Ken Collins 10 Northridge 16:37 #67  
19  Matt Patterson 12 Alexandria 16:39 #76  
20  Joel Derby 12 New Haven 16:40 #78  
21  Robert Creighton Canterbury 16:41 #84  
22  Victor McHenry 12 Norwell 16:41 #86  
23  Joel Liechty 10 East Noble 16:42 #89  
24  Seth Lochmueller 12 Carroll (FW) 16:45 #93  
25  Tim Quandt 11 Northrop 16:45 #95  
26  Chris Gaffer 11 Northrop 16:46 #98  
27  Corey Gaffer 11 Northrop 16:46 #99  
RankNameRegionalRatingState Rank
1  Northrop Bellmont 248 #4  
2  New Haven Bellmont 357 #9  
3  Snider Bellmont 387 #13  
4  Northridge Elkhart Central 389 #15  
5  Concordia Lutheran Bellmont 432 #19  
6  DeKalb Elkhart Central 436 #21  
7  Marion Manchester 464 #25  
8  Carroll (FW) Manchester 468 #26  
9  Huntington North Manchester 487 #29  
10  Wawasee Elkhart Central 505 #30  
11  Bellmont Bellmont 508 #32  
12  West Noble Elkhart Central 550 #37  
13  Oak Hill Manchester 577 #39  



Semi-State Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.


SchoolAdvances to RoundAvg FinishAvg ScoreMin ScoreMax Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Northrop 100.0% 1.1 62 15 155 91.3 7.0 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
New Haven 100.0% 3.1 121 33 246 6.2 41.7 21.8 13.3 7.5 4.2 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Northridge 100.0% 4.1 138 55 254 0.8 20.6 26.1 20.4 12.1 8.0 4.8 3.2 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
Snider 100.0% 4.2 140 39 280 1.3 19.4 23.4 19.7 13.3 8.9 5.8 3.6 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1
Concordia Lutheran 100.0% 5.9 164 63 289 0.4 6.5 10.6 14.4 16.1 14.5 11.6 9.3 6.8 4.8 2.9 1.7 0.6
DeKalb 100.0% 6.6 173 79 266 0.0 1.6 5.6 10.7 16.0 16.9 15.2 12.5 9.4 6.8 3.5 1.6 0.2
Marion 100.0% 7.6 186 86 300 0.0 1.4 4.0 6.8 10.2 12.4 13.6 13.2 13.0 10.4 8.3 5.0 1.8
Carroll (FW) 100.0% 8.1 192 78 323 0.0 0.7 2.4 5.1 7.9 11.3 12.8 14.4 13.3 13.1 10.2 6.6 2.2
Huntington North 100.0% 8.6 199 80 345 0.0 0.7 2.4 4.3 6.6 8.6 10.8 12.4 13.5 13.3 11.7 10.0 5.7
Bellmont 100.0% 9.3 208 95 325 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.6 5.2 6.1 8.6 10.8 12.5 14.5 15.5 13.9 8.7
Wawasee 100.0% 9.5 209 108 309 0.1 0.7 1.6 3.1 5.6 8.5 11.1 14.1 15.9 18.3 14.7 6.4
West Noble 100.0% 10.9 233 106 358 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.6 4.1 5.3 7.8 10.8 16.3 23.3 27.4
Oak Hill 100.0% 11.7 251 121 358 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.9 4.8 7.5 11.8 22.7 46.8


RunnerSchoolRatingAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Corey Drake Northrop 15:59 100.0% 1.2 46.2 21.8 12.6 7.9 4.6 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Josh Wolfe DeKalb 16:05 100.0% 2.4 20.9 23.0 17.4 12.0 8.2 5.6 3.9 2.8 1.8 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
Matt Cummins Elkhart Memorial 16:07 100.0% 2.8 17.0 20.3 16.8 13.3 9.5 6.3 4.5 3.4 2.3 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Chris Kempf Carroll (FW) 16:14 100.0% 4.7 5.7 10.4 13.6 12.3 11.2 9.0 8.1 6.0 5.1 3.9 3.3 2.1 1.8 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.5
Kyle Walsh Western 16:18 100.0% 6.0 3.6 7.1 9.1 9.4 10.8 9.9 8.2 6.7 6.3 5.4 4.2 3.4 2.8 2.4 2.0 1.7 1.6 1.1 0.9 0.6
Cody Hannie Snider 16:18 100.0% 6.4 2.8 5.5 8.2 9.9 9.9 9.9 8.9 7.5 6.5 5.2 4.5 3.9 3.0 2.7 1.9 1.9 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.7
Paul Perales Wawasee 16:20 100.0% 6.9 1.9 4.7 6.9 9.5 9.5 9.5 8.9 7.9 6.9 5.9 4.8 3.9 3.4 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.2 0.9
Jerad Craig Northridge 16:26 100.0% 10.1 0.5 1.8 3.1 4.5 5.7 6.7 6.5 7.4 6.7 6.7 6.1 5.8 5.2 4.5 4.3 3.6 2.9 2.6 2.2 2.0
Mark Stahl DeKalb 16:27 100.0% 10.7 0.1 0.8 2.3 3.9 5.1 6.4 7.2 6.7 7.2 6.3 6.0 5.6 4.7 4.7 4.4 3.4 3.3 2.7 2.7 2.5
Alex Harvey Marion 16:27 100.0% 10.8 0.7 1.5 2.8 4.1 5.4 6.0 6.3 6.7 5.9 6.4 5.6 5.4 4.7 4.5 4.2 3.5 3.5 3.0 2.6 2.5
Andy O'Connor Homestead 16:28 98.0% 11.3 0.4 1.3 2.2 3.3 4.3 5.6 6.0 6.3 6.0 5.4 6.2 6.0 5.3 4.4 4.5 4.0 3.4 3.0 2.9 2.1
Garrett Bradtmueller Northrop 16:30 100.0% 13.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 3.3 3.8 4.9 4.9 5.6 5.9 6.0 5.6 5.5 5.3 4.4 4.8 4.1 3.7 3.7 3.4
Troy Hileman New Haven 16:33 100.0% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.2 2.7 3.6 4.4 4.3 4.9 5.1 5.5 5.2 4.9 5.1 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.6
Brennon Plotner Northrop 16:35 100.0% 16.5 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.7 3.4 3.4 4.0 4.1 5.0 5.2 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.8 4.4 4.2 3.8
Steve Thieme Bellmont 16:35 100.0% 16.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.8 4.3 4.1 4.6 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.6 4.4 4.4 3.5 4.1
Braxton Fritz Northridge 16:35 100.0% 16.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.5 3.1 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.4 5.0 5.1 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.0 3.7 3.9
Luke Stoffel Wawasee 16:35 100.0% 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.0 2.8 3.2 4.3 4.4 4.3 4.5 4.5 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.1 4.7 4.0 3.8
Ken Collins Northridge 16:37 100.0% 18.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.6 2.8 3.2 4.0 4.0 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.6 4.8 4.2 4.4 4.2
Matt Patterson Alexandria 16:39 99.8% 20.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.6
Joel Derby New Haven 16:40 100.0% 20.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.9 2.2 2.4 3.1 3.0 3.5 3.7 3.6 4.0 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.9
Robert Creighton Canterbury 16:41 81.4% 20.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.6 3.5 3.7 3.5
Victor McHenry Norwell 16:41 81.6% 20.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.7 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.1 3.2 3.5 3.6 3.4
Joel Liechty East Noble 16:42 99.0% 23.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.5 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.6
Seth Lochmueller Carroll (FW) 16:45 100.0% 26.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.7 1.8 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.5 3.0 3.3 3.2
Tim Quandt Northrop 16:45 100.0% 26.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.9 2.5 2.7 2.6 2.9 3.3 3.4
Chris Gaffer Northrop 16:46 100.0% 27.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.5 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.2 3.2
Corey Gaffer Northrop 16:46 100.0% 27.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.6 3.1 3.3