Carmel
Boys - Girls
2002 - 2003 - 2004
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State Rank #2
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #2
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Carmel Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 7.6%
Top 5 at State Finals 85.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.6%
Advance to State Finals 98.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
Joel Shaw 11 15:55
40  Michael Murphy 12 16:25
76  Tom Martin 11 16:36
89  Robbie Granger 11 16:41
92  Bryan Walker 12 16:41
104  Will Peters 10 16:45
Ben Peterson 11 16:59




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 98.1% 3.3 143 7.6 33.1 21.8 14.7 8.6 5.4 3.2 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.5 118 8.0 52.0 26.3 8.7 3.1 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.1 37 87.5 11.9 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 22 99.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Shaw 99.1% 7.8 0.2 6.8 7.7 8.2 8.0 7.0 6.6 6.0 5.2 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.6 3.2 2.7 2.6 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.3 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.9 1.1 50.0% 96.9%
Michael Murphy 98.1% 41.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.3 0.0% 19.5%
Tom Martin 98.1% 59.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.0% 2.7%
Robbie Granger 98.1% 68.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0% 0.8%
Bryan Walker 98.1% 69.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0% 0.7%
Will Peters 98.1% 74.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.3%
Ben Peterson 98.1% 100.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Shaw 100% 5.4 0.2 9.4 12.3 12.4 11.2 10.3 8.8 8.0 6.8 5.3 4.2 2.9 2.3 1.7 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Michael Murphy 100% 21.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.8 4.6 4.7 5.4 4.8 4.7 4.3 4.0 3.9 99.8%
Tom Martin 100% 32.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.5 2.4 2.7 2.8 3.1 92.5%
Robbie Granger 100% 39.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.9 1.9 80.5%
Bryan Walker 100% 39.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 78.5%
Will Peters 100% 43.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 66.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Shaw 100% 1.7 29.4 29.9 18.1 11.4 7.1 3.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Michael Murphy 100% 7.3 0.3 1.3 3.3 6.4 12.3 22.2 16.6 14.2 10.6 6.3 3.6 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tom Martin 100% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.8 4.3 9.6 11.3 12.7 13.4 12.8 11.1 8.5 5.9 3.9 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Robbie Granger 100% 12.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 3.4 6.5 8.2 11.0 12.5 13.3 12.7 10.7 9.0 5.3 2.9 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Bryan Walker 100% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 3.0 5.4 8.2 10.6 11.6 13.0 13.0 11.9 9.1 6.4 3.2 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Will Peters 100% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.0 5.3 7.2 9.7 11.9 13.7 13.1 13.1 8.9 5.7 3.1 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Joel Shaw 1.0 85.4 14.3 0.3 0.0
Michael Murphy 2.7 0.1 15.7 52.5 19.2 7.6 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Tom Martin 4.7 1.2 8.7 23.7 22.5 17.1 11.6 7.8 4.5 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Robbie Granger 6.2 0.3 2.5 10.0 15.2 18.6 18.4 14.2 10.6 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Bryan Walker 6.3 0.3 2.3 9.8 15.1 17.1 18.3 15.3 11.2 6.4 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Will Peters 7.2 0.1 1.0 4.6 8.7 14.2 17.9 18.3 15.8 11.0 5.6 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0