Carmel
Boys - Girls
2010 - 2011 - 2012
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State Rank #3
Carmel Semi-State Rank #3
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #2
Noblesville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 9.5%
Top 5 at State Finals 80.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.8%
Advance to State Finals 99.1%
Advance to Semi-State 99.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
21  Patrick Appleton 11 15:57
33  Charlie Watson 11 16:06
47  Bobby Browning 10 16:16
60  Daniel Williams 11 16:20
85  Eric Kinn 12 16:30
94  Michael George 10 16:33
95  Brian Coleman 12 16:34
122  Cole Cisneros 12 16:40
160  Jaedon Wilson 11 16:50
185  Collin McMahon 10 16:55
187  Kyle Hook 10 16:55
Aaron Crull 12 16:56
Jacob Vahle 12 16:56
Ben Anderson 10 16:59
Davis Thompson 12 17:04
Elliot Browning 12 17:05
Connor Hitchcock 11 17:11
Tim Wellman 12 17:16
John Evelo 12 17:21
Elijah St. Angelo 9 17:25
Josh Horowitz 10 17:30
Michael Lukovic 9 17:42
Andrew Kalthoff 9 17:43
Daniel Sechuga 10 17:50
DateRace Rating
09/03 State Meet Preview 316
09/24 Culver Invitational (Open) 133
09/24 Culver Invitational (Fr/So) 527
10/05 Metro Interscholastic Conference 165
10/11 Noblesville Sectional 137
10/15 Brebeuf Jesuit Regional 199
10/22 Carmel Semi-State 187
10/29 State Finals 174




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 99.1% 3.7 157 9.5 24.1 22.9 14.3 10.0 6.7 4.2 3.1 1.9 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 99.5% 3.0 92 9.9 27.9 33.7 17.1 7.6 2.9 0.4 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.1 72 33.4 36.6 18.0 8.0 3.5 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.8 53 37.8 49.3 12.3 0.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrick Appleton 99.1% 20.8 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.4 2.3 2.4 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.5 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.2 2.8 3.3% 70.1%
Charlie Watson 99.1% 32.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.8 0.0% 36.9%
Bobby Browning 99.1% 47.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.0% 8.5%
Daniel Williams 99.1% 54.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.0% 4.0%
Eric Kinn 99.1% 72.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 0.3%
Michael George 99.1% 77.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.1%
Brian Coleman 99.1% 78.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrick Appleton 99.7% 11.5 2.1 3.2 3.7 4.3 4.5 5.7 5.6 5.9 6.0 6.3 5.7 6.5 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.4 4.1 3.5 2.9 2.3 1.7 1.7 1.0 0.8 44.0% 96.8%
Charlie Watson 99.5% 17.3 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.1 4.0 4.4 4.5 5.3 5.2 5.5 5.5 5.9 5.9 5.5 5.4 5.1 4.4 3.9 3.0 8.0% 81.9%
Bobby Browning 99.5% 24.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.5 3.3 3.4 4.2 4.5 4.6 5.5 6.1 5.9 5.9 0.0% 42.1%
Daniel Williams 99.5% 27.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.6 3.2 3.8 4.1 4.9 5.3 5.6 0.0% 27.2%
Eric Kinn 99.5% 35.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.5 0.0% 5.1%
Michael George 99.5% 37.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.5 0.0% 3.0%
Brian Coleman 99.5% 38.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.3 1.4 0.0% 2.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrick Appleton 100% 6.2 7.3 9.4 10.9 10.9 9.9 9.5 8.0 7.2 6.5 5.6 4.4 3.2 2.3 1.7 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Charlie Watson 100% 10.4 0.6 2.2 3.8 4.5 6.0 7.1 7.2 7.2 8.2 7.8 7.6 7.1 6.7 6.1 4.7 3.7 2.5 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 98.7%
Bobby Browning 100% 16.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.1 2.9 3.4 4.4 5.0 6.1 7.0 7.5 7.3 7.4 7.0 6.5 5.7 4.9 4.2 2.9 2.6 2.3 86.6%
Daniel Williams 100% 18.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.0 2.7 3.3 4.1 5.4 5.9 6.8 7.4 7.2 6.7 6.7 6.3 5.8 5.0 4.2 3.5 75.5%
Eric Kinn 100% 24.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.1 3.2 3.7 4.4 4.9 5.6 5.7 6.7 6.2 5.9 33.5%
Michael George 100% 26.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.6 4.5 5.0 5.1 5.5 6.2 23.0%
Brian Coleman 100% 26.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.4 3.0 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.9 5.5 5.8 22.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Patrick Appleton 4.3 7.4 11.5 13.1 13.8 12.8 12.2 9.9 7.5 5.6 3.3 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Charlie Watson 7.3 0.8 2.7 4.4 6.7 8.7 10.6 12.1 12.7 13.2 10.6 7.1 4.2 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Bobby Browning 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.6 3.0 4.0 6.9 8.6 11.8 13.7 12.7 10.0 7.3 5.6 4.1 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Daniel Williams 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.4 3.6 5.3 8.1 11.4 12.3 12.1 10.0 7.8 6.2 5.3 4.2 3.0 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2
Eric Kinn 16.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.5 4.7 6.8 8.0 8.6 9.4 8.8 8.8 7.7 7.2 6.0 5.1 4.8 3.4 2.0
Michael George 18.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.3 2.6 4.4 5.8 7.3 8.4 8.5 9.1 7.9 8.2 7.3 7.1 5.8 4.8 3.8
Brian Coleman 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.2 4.0 5.8 7.5 7.4 8.3 8.8 8.1 8.2 7.9 7.3 6.3 5.3 3.6