Castle
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #96
Brown County Semi-State Rank #20
Pike Central Regional Rank #5
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 18th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.2%
Advance to Semi-State 73.9%
Advance to Regional 92.8%

RankNameGradeRating
600  Matt Gerst 10 17:42
696  Ethan Jones 10 17:50
753  Matt Scales 11 17:54
Logan Brown 10 18:03
Jack Cameron 10 18:06
Jeremy Server 12 18:34
George Economou 9 18:35
Chris Brake 10 18:40
Jacob Swanson 12 18:55
Austin Buettner 12 18:58
Zach Titzer 9 19:36
DateRace Rating
08/22 Forest Park Invitational
08/25 KY-IN Border Clash
08/27 South Spencer Invitational
08/29 Dennis Bays Warrior Invite at the Mounts
09/03 Alan Hopewell Classic
09/05 Terre Haute Savings Bank Invitational 641
09/12 Mater Dei Invitational
09/15 Lincoln Trails Invitational
09/19 South Knox Invitational
09/26 Pike Central Invitational
10/03 Southern Indiana Athletic Conference
10/10 Mater Dei Sectional
10/17 Pike Central Regional




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.2% 23.9 714 0.0 0.2
Semi-State 73.9% 16.4 375 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.0 2.8 3.4 4.6 5.5 8.2 11.1 12.9 11.3 8.3
Regionals 92.8% 3.7 106 12.5 14.6 17.5 16.1 13.2 10.8 7.9 0.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.7 92 25.8 28.9 18.5 11.7 7.9 4.6 2.5 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Gerst 0.2% 165.3 0.0% 0.0%
Ethan Jones 0.2% 180.3 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Scales 0.2% 185.5 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Brown 0.2% 190.3 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Cameron 0.2% 194.9 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Server 0.2% 203.4 0.0% 0.0%
George Economou 0.2% 203.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Gerst 78.5% 94.0 17.6% 44.3%
Ethan Jones 74.8% 106.5 3.4% 20.7%
Matt Scales 74.2% 111.9 1.1% 12.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Gerst 100.0% 20.4 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.0 4.0 4.4 5.1 5.3 5.9 5.6 5.7 5.6 6.0 5.6 5.2 99.9% 100.0%
Ethan Jones 99.9% 25.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.6 3.1 3.4 3.8 4.3 4.9 5.7 5.4 6.0 98.1% 99.8%
Matt Scales 99.5% 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.8 3.5 4.3 4.5 5.1 93.5% 99.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Matt Gerst 11.9 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.4 3.7 5.4 7.2 8.7 10.7 12.0 10.5 9.3 7.7 6.0 4.6 3.6 2.4 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2
Ethan Jones 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.4 5.4 7.3 8.3 9.9 10.0 9.4 8.5 7.3 6.1 5.0 4.0 2.9 2.1 1.8 1.2
Matt Scales 16.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.7 3.1 4.3 6.1 7.3 7.9 8.8 10.0 8.9 8.3 6.8 5.5 4.8 3.9 2.8 2.0