Chesterton
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #28
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #9
New Prairie Regional Rank #3
Chesterton Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.2%
Advance to State Finals 4.0%
Advance to Semi-State 96.2%
Advance to Regional 99.1%

RankNameGradeRating
37  Jakob Kintzele 10 16:16
212  Lucas Rhed 12 16:59
248  Andrew Smenyak 10 17:05
321  Gage Wilborn 11 17:15
442  Emmett Sullivan 12 17:28
546  Parker Whitmore 12 17:38
719  Henry Hoham 10 17:52
Jon Bach 11 17:58
Dylan Olson 10 18:06
Connor Dailey 11 20:31
DateRace Rating
08/22 Northern Indiana Conference Stomp 534
08/25 Jack Bransford Classic 421
09/05 Artesian Classic 351
09/12 Bob Thomas Invitational 427
09/19 New Prairie Invitational 430
10/03 Duneland Athletic Conference 359
10/10 Chesterton Sectional 447
10/17 New Prairie Regional 442
10/24 New Prairie Semi-State 495




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 4.0% 15.3 381 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 96.2% 9.1 261 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 3.0 16.9 17.8 19.0 17.0 11.9 6.4 2.4 0.6 0.2 0.1
Regionals 99.1% 3.6 94 0.1 2.6 55.6 26.7 11.1 2.9
Sectionals 100% 3.3 93 0.2 2.5 71.3 21.1 4.0 0.9



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jakob Kintzele 89.1% 41.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.7 1.5 88.7% 89.1%
Lucas Rhed 4.3% 106.7 0.3% 0.6%
Andrew Smenyak 4.0% 119.8 0.0% 0.1%
Gage Wilborn 4.0% 139.3 0.0% 0.0%
Emmett Sullivan 4.0% 160.8 0.0% 0.0%
Parker Whitmore 4.0% 174.7 0.0% 0.0%
Henry Hoham 4.0% 188.7 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jakob Kintzele 100% 12.4 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.4 6.1 6.0 6.6 5.6 6.0 5.3 4.9 4.4 4.4 3.6 3.0 2.7 2.4 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.4 100.0% 100.0%
Lucas Rhed 99.8% 60.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 95.5% 99.4%
Andrew Smenyak 99.0% 69.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 74.5% 97.1%
Gage Wilborn 97.1% 82.8 23.2% 85.4%
Emmett Sullivan 96.3% 97.7 1.6% 51.2%
Parker Whitmore 96.2% 108.9 0.0% 23.0%
Henry Hoham 96.2% 125.1 0.0% 3.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jakob Kintzele 100% 3.4 4.9 16.2 22.5 17.3 11.4 7.9 5.9 4.1 2.8 2.1 1.6 1.1 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Lucas Rhed 100% 20.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.9 4.1 4.6 5.8 7.0 7.7 8.4 10.0 9.7 8.4 7.6 5.6 100.0% 100.0%
Andrew Smenyak 100% 22.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.5 3.8 5.0 6.6 7.3 9.0 10.0 10.4 9.8 100.0% 100.0%
Gage Wilborn 100% 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.5 5.2 6.7 8.8 100.0% 100.0%
Emmett Sullivan 100.0% 32.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.5 97.8% 99.9%
Parker Whitmore 99.9% 38.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 90.0% 99.3%
Henry Hoham 99.3% 45.6 26.7% 93.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jakob Kintzele 2.9 5.3 19.2 29.2 15.6 9.5 6.6 4.6 3.2 2.6 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Lucas Rhed 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.5 2.2 3.0 3.7 5.5 7.2 8.5 10.6 11.4 11.6 10.1 8.2 5.6 3.4 2.0 1.3
Andrew Smenyak 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.5 2.2 3.4 5.2 6.7 8.8 10.9 12.8 12.3 11.0 8.2 5.8 3.5
Gage Wilborn 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.6 4.2 5.9 8.3 11.4 12.6 12.4 11.3
Emmett Sullivan 27.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 2.4 4.6 6.1 8.2
Parker Whitmore 31.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.4
Henry Hoham 37.1 0.0 0.1