Penn
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #43
New Haven Semi-State Rank #13
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Riley Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 22.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
158  Colton Shail 10 16:49
304  Matt Evans 12 17:13
375  Chad Piatt 10 17:22
378  Curtis Cornell 10 17:22
399  Nick Scheel 11 17:24
485  Daniel Hardman 12 17:33
545  Cameron Nagle 10 17:38
662  Matthew Long 10 17:46
692  Chandler Neal 10 17:50
Reis Kennedy 11 17:57
Riley Vreeke 12 18:05
DateRace Rating
08/22 Northern Indiana Conference Stomp 538
08/29 Penn Invitational 451
09/05 Manchester Invitational 519
09/12 Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash 534
09/19 New Prairie Invitational 469
09/26 Culver Invitational 509
10/03 Northern Indiana Conference 472
10/10 Riley Sectional 489
10/17 Elkhart Central Regional 447
10/24 New Haven Semi-State 498




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 22.6% 21.0 518 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.3 4.7 6.0 3.6 0.8
Semi-State 100.0% 8.2 234 0.0 0.6 2.4 4.5 6.2 8.7 10.9 15.8 19.2 20.5 7.7 1.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.9 67 38.8 31.6 28.4 1.0 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.5 40 53.1 46.6 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colton Shail 25.1% 97.9 0.0 3.2% 8.3%
Matt Evans 22.6% 142.9 0.0% 0.0%
Chad Piatt 22.6% 158.3 0.0% 0.0%
Curtis Cornell 22.6% 158.4 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Scheel 22.6% 161.0 0.0% 0.0%
Daniel Hardman 22.6% 174.7 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Nagle 22.6% 182.0 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colton Shail 100% 33.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.9 100.0% 100.0%
Matt Evans 100.0% 62.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 98.9%
Chad Piatt 100.0% 75.9 0.0% 94.3%
Curtis Cornell 100.0% 76.0 0.0 0.0% 93.8%
Nick Scheel 100.0% 79.0 0.0 25.0% 91.8%
Daniel Hardman 100.0% 94.9 0.0% 75.4%
Cameron Nagle 100.0% 104.7 0.0% 59.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colton Shail 100% 5.0 0.7 8.2 12.4 14.2 14.4 13.4 11.6 8.8 6.2 4.0 2.8 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matt Evans 100% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 3.1 4.7 6.5 7.7 9.1 8.8 9.1 8.4 8.2 7.0 5.7 4.5 3.6 2.9 2.1 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.7 100.0%
Chad Piatt 100% 17.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.6 3.6 4.4 5.5 6.3 6.7 7.4 7.6 7.3 7.1 6.6 5.7 4.7 3.7 3.3 2.9 100.0%
Curtis Cornell 100% 17.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.6 3.5 4.2 5.1 6.3 7.3 7.4 7.9 6.9 6.8 6.2 5.8 5.1 4.1 3.3 2.6 100.0%
Nick Scheel 100% 18.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.4 2.6 3.1 4.6 5.3 6.0 7.1 7.0 7.8 7.0 6.7 6.2 5.1 4.7 3.7 3.2 100.0%
Daniel Hardman 100% 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.9 2.3 3.3 3.9 5.4 5.1 6.5 6.2 5.7 5.8 5.6 100.0%
Cameron Nagle 100% 28.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 2.0 2.4 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.6 5.2 5.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colton Shail 2.7 10.9 19.0 28.9 25.8 9.9 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.1
Matt Evans 6.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 5.3 15.9 18.8 16.9 14.3 10.8 7.1 4.4 2.5 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Chad Piatt 9.3 0.1 0.7 2.9 6.4 9.6 12.2 13.6 13.7 12.9 10.1 7.5 5.0 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Curtis Cornell 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.0 6.2 9.6 12.0 14.1 13.9 12.7 10.0 7.5 4.7 2.7 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Nick Scheel 9.9 0.1 0.3 1.8 4.6 7.6 10.1 12.1 14.3 13.3 12.2 9.2 6.2 4.4 2.3 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Daniel Hardman 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 3.8 6.1 9.7 11.9 14.6 15.0 13.0 8.9 6.3 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Cameron Nagle 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.3 4.5 7.2 10.8 14.0 15.5 14.7 11.5 8.3 5.3 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0