Carmel
Boys - Girls
2003 - 2004 - 2005
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State Rank #7
Franklin Central Semi-State Rank #4
Noblesville Regional Rank #2
Carmel Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 2.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 40.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 86.8%
Advance to State Finals 88.1%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
20  Bridget Blair 10 19:07
51  Andrea Reifeis 9 19:39
65  Allie Mcmahon 11 19:50
66  Lauren Waterman 9 19:50
78  Sara Sharp 11 19:55
Brittany Rutledge 10 20:20
Meg Farrell 11 20:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 88.1% 5.7 180 2.0 5.1 9.1 11.4 13.1 13.9 12.5 9.9 7.2 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0
Semi-State 100% 3.9 106 4.9 11.7 20.9 31.2 19.3 9.6 2.2 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.7 34 30.8 69.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.7 33 30.3 69.7 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Blair 95.3% 19.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.9 3.4 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.8 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.3 3.4 2.9 60.7% 90.6%
Andrea Reifeis 88.2% 46.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.6% 20.1%
Allie Mcmahon 88.1% 59.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1% 5.7%
Lauren Waterman 88.1% 59.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1% 6.1%
Sara Sharp 88.1% 65.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0% 2.8%
Brittany Rutledge 88.1% 95.4 0.0% 0.0%
Meg Farrell 88.1% 109.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Blair 100% 7.5 1.6 5.7 7.7 7.7 7.7 8.0 7.8 7.7 7.4 7.2 6.0 5.6 4.1 3.8 2.7 2.4 1.8 1.4 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Andrea Reifeis 100% 20.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.3 1.8 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.6 4.1 4.9 5.0 5.4 5.2 4.9 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.4 4.0 100.0%
Allie Mcmahon 100% 27.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.5 3.1 3.0 3.4 3.8 3.5 4.1 4.2 99.8%
Lauren Waterman 100% 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.6 2.6 3.4 3.6 3.5 4.2 3.7 4.3 99.8%
Sara Sharp 100% 31.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.5 3.2 99.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Blair 100% 1.9 30.4 20.9 24.9 18.7 4.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Andrea Reifeis 100% 5.4 0.3 1.7 4.1 11.4 24.6 21.8 14.7 8.9 6.3 3.3 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Allie Mcmahon 100% 7.5 0.0 0.3 0.9 3.2 8.4 13.5 15.9 17.0 14.2 10.5 7.9 4.7 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Lauren Waterman 100% 7.5 0.3 1.0 2.8 8.2 13.0 15.8 17.3 14.7 11.2 7.5 4.8 2.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.9%
Sara Sharp 100% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.9 7.8 11.9 15.2 16.5 15.1 12.2 7.9 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bridget Blair 1.9 31.2 20.3 25.3 18.1 4.2 0.9 0.2 0.0
Andrea Reifeis 5.3 0.2 1.9 4.5 12.2 24.1 21.6 14.8 9.5 5.7 3.2 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Allie Mcmahon 7.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 3.2 8.3 13.6 16.8 17.2 14.8 11.7 7.8 3.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lauren Waterman 7.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.9 8.4 13.8 16.9 16.6 14.9 11.7 7.6 3.9 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sara Sharp 8.5 0.2 0.3 1.3 4.1 8.0 12.0 16.0 17.3 16.8 12.6 7.4 2.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0