Carmel
Boys - Girls
2012 - 2013 - 2014
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State Rank #1
Carmel Semi-State Rank #1
Brebeuf Jesuit Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 97.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
Kelcy Welch 12 17:57
10  Haley Harris 11 18:34
14  Gina Genco 12 18:40
16  Stacy Morozov 10 18:43
20  Kelsey Harris 11 18:46
21  Anna Schmitz 11 18:46
53  Rachael Weesner 12 19:15
57  Samantha Dauby 12 19:21
62  Megan Kress 10 19:27
66  Claire Corvari 11 19:30
73  Diana Gorin 11 19:34
115  Sarah Leinheiser 9 19:49
118  Daphne Boom 9 19:50
120  Emily Ashburn 9 19:50
138  Christina Geisler 9 19:56
Lucy Allan 11 20:10
Sarah Kalthoff 11 20:17
Ellison Willard 10 20:29
Jessica Lecher 12 20:30
Brittany Langland 9 20:31
Samantha Miller 10 20:40
Ciara Pickering 12 20:45
Chandler Dykstra 10 20:47
Christel Richard 11 20:57
Kenzi Wilson 9 20:58
Mithu Chakrabarti 11 21:00
Hannah Klineman 10 21:01
Celia McGhiey 10 21:10
Elizabeth Borlik 9 21:14
DateRace Rating
08/24 Carmel Classic 5k
08/31 Western invitational 118
09/03 Hamilton County Meet 63
09/14 Eagle Classic 117
09/21 Trinity/Valkyrie Invitational 54
09/28 Culver Invitational (Elite) 39
09/28 Culver Invitational (Reserve) 241
10/09 Metropolitan Interscholastic Conf. 62
10/15 Noblesville Sectional 100
10/19 Brebeuf Jesuit Regional 102
10/26 Carmel Semi-State 99
11/02 State Finals 90
11/17 NXN Midwest 66
11/30 Foot Locker Midwest
12/07 NXN Finals




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.0 56 97.0 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.0 35 98.9 1.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 22 99.1 0.9
Sectionals 100% 1.0 22 99.2 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelcy Welch 100% 1.2 45.2 21.2 12.8 7.3 4.3 3.4 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Haley Harris 100% 12.4 0.0 1.2 2.1 2.8 3.8 4.1 5.3 5.3 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.7 5.3 4.8 4.8 4.1 3.8 3.7 3.1 2.9 2.3 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.5 100.0%
Gina Genco 100% 16.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.1 3.1 3.9 4.1 4.8 4.8 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.7 4.2 4.0 3.7 3.5 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.4 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 18.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.6 3.2 3.6 3.7 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.2 3.7 3.8 3.5 3.3 3.3 2.8 100.0%
Kelsey Harris 100% 20.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.7 2.0 2.6 3.2 3.1 4.0 3.7 4.2 4.4 3.7 3.9 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.1 100.0%
Anna Schmitz 100% 20.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.3 3.0 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.0 3.6 3.4 3.5 3.1 100.0%
Rachael Weesner 100% 48.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.9 90.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelcy Welch 100% 1.0 59.6 21.9 11.3 4.5 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Haley Harris 100% 6.4 0.2 3.2 5.7 9.6 12.4 13.6 13.6 12.0 9.3 6.7 4.5 3.2 2.3 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Gina Genco 100% 8.1 0.0 1.1 3.0 4.7 7.0 9.4 10.7 12.5 11.5 10.2 8.8 6.8 4.4 3.1 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 9.0 0.7 1.5 3.3 5.1 7.4 9.5 11.2 11.5 11.7 10.6 8.2 5.9 4.4 2.9 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Kelsey Harris 100% 10.0 0.5 1.0 1.8 3.2 5.0 7.5 8.6 10.9 11.9 11.7 10.8 7.7 5.4 4.4 2.9 2.2 1.5 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Anna Schmitz 100% 10.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.4 5.0 7.3 8.4 10.3 11.3 12.1 11.0 7.8 5.9 4.4 3.0 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Rachael Weesner 100% 19.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 4.2 5.4 5.9 6.8 7.2 6.9 6.8 6.2 6.2 5.2 4.8 4.3 3.6 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelcy Welch 100% 1.0 85.0 12.0 2.9 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Haley Harris 100% 3.7 0.2 13.9 21.1 22.0 16.2 10.7 7.3 4.4 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Gina Genco 100% 4.9 0.1 5.2 11.8 17.1 16.8 15.2 12.6 10.1 5.8 2.7 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Stacy Morozov 100% 5.6 0.0 3.7 7.4 12.3 15.8 16.5 15.9 12.3 7.8 3.9 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kelsey Harris 100% 6.4 0.0 1.9 5.1 9.0 12.2 15.6 16.5 16.2 10.6 6.0 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Anna Schmitz 100% 6.5 2.0 4.8 8.2 11.6 15.4 17.2 16.8 10.9 5.8 3.5 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Rachael Weesner 100% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.1 7.4 11.9 13.2 12.8 12.6 11.9 9.2 6.7 4.1 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kelcy Welch 1.0 84.4 12.6 2.8 0.2 0.0
Haley Harris 3.6 0.3 13.5 21.3 23.2 15.9 11.2 7.4 4.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Gina Genco 4.8 0.1 6.1 11.6 17.3 18.6 16.1 13.7 8.9 4.3 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0
Stacy Morozov 5.5 0.0 3.5 8.2 12.8 16.5 17.6 16.3 13.3 6.4 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kelsey Harris 6.2 1.9 5.6 9.4 12.9 16.8 18.5 17.5 9.0 4.1 2.0 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Anna Schmitz 6.3 0.0 1.8 4.7 8.5 12.9 16.2 18.4 18.2 9.8 4.6 2.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Rachael Weesner 11.2 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.9 11.9 17.5 13.9 13.8 13.4 9.5 6.5 4.6 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0