Boys
-
Girls
Carmel Semi-State
2012
-
2013 -
2014
These are rankings of individuals and teams that feed into this semi-state. It is not a projected order of finish in the race.
Below the rankings is a
projection of this round of the tournament.
Semi-State Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Only teams that advanced out of the regional simulation for each trial were included in the semi-state simulation for that trial.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
School | Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score | Min Score | Max Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
---|
Carmel |
100.0% |
1.0 |
35 |
15 |
81 |
98.9 |
1.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Hamilton Southeastern |
100.0% |
2.5 |
85 |
31 |
215 |
0.9 |
59.8 |
33.2 |
5.3 |
0.8 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Avon |
100.0% |
2.8 |
95 |
39 |
207 |
0.2 |
36.4 |
50.1 |
10.5 |
2.5 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Westfield |
100.0% |
4.6 |
142 |
48 |
270 |
0.0 |
1.3 |
8.4 |
39.5 |
37.5 |
9.8 |
2.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Zionsville |
100.0% |
4.6 |
143 |
63 |
266 |
|
1.5 |
7.9 |
39.6 |
37.8 |
9.4 |
2.7 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Franklin Central |
100.0% |
6.7 |
197 |
98 |
342 |
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
3.0 |
11.5 |
37.5 |
24.5 |
12.9 |
7.4 |
2.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fishers |
99.8% |
7.2 |
212 |
103 |
337 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.6 |
6.3 |
23.5 |
28.9 |
21.5 |
11.6 |
5.1 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Oldenburg Academy |
100.0% |
8.3 |
236 |
124 |
368 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.6 |
9.4 |
18.5 |
26.5 |
25.3 |
13.8 |
3.7 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Center Grove |
100.0% |
8.3 |
239 |
126 |
370 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
1.8 |
8.5 |
17.8 |
25.0 |
27.3 |
13.5 |
4.3 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Noblesville |
88.2% |
9.6 |
270 |
149 |
387 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.6 |
4.6 |
10.5 |
19.0 |
31.6 |
13.8 |
5.3 |
1.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cathedral |
9.1% |
10.9 |
305 |
222 |
369 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Warren Central |
100.0% |
11.2 |
310 |
186 |
436 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.4 |
4.9 |
18.3 |
37.6 |
24.4 |
11.7 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
Lawrence Central |
2.0% |
11.2 |
314 |
219 |
392 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
North Central (Indpls) |
0.8% |
11.5 |
325 |
237 |
380 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pike |
100.0% |
12.0 |
332 |
191 |
460 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.4 |
7.4 |
21.1 |
30.7 |
29.9 |
6.7 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
Greenwood |
100.0% |
12.3 |
340 |
225 |
442 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
4.1 |
14.1 |
31.8 |
41.3 |
7.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Bishop Chatard |
0.0% |
12.0 |
345 |
345 |
345 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Guerin Catholic |
0.1% |
12.9 |
360 |
332 |
377 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Brebeuf Jesuit |
0.0% |
13.0 |
361 |
330 |
389 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Plainfield |
100.0% |
14.1 |
394 |
266 |
471 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.5 |
11.1 |
62.8 |
17.1 |
4.5 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
Batesville |
95.1% |
15.9 |
436 |
277 |
519 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.8 |
11.5 |
30.5 |
21.2 |
15.2 |
10.1 |
4.4 |
|
Mooresville |
87.4% |
16.5 |
450 |
338 |
534 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.5 |
4.9 |
17.4 |
21.7 |
20.0 |
15.2 |
7.8 |
|
Brownsburg |
100.0% |
16.6 |
451 |
350 |
537 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
3.7 |
20.6 |
26.3 |
23.2 |
16.4 |
9.6 |
|
Franklin Community |
15.2% |
16.9 |
458 |
380 |
529 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
2.0 |
3.8 |
4.3 |
3.3 |
1.6 |
|
Perry Meridian |
2.3% |
17.1 |
464 |
424 |
510 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
New Palestine |
100.0% |
17.7 |
473 |
349 |
555 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.8 |
5.6 |
12.5 |
19.5 |
29.1 |
32.5 |
|
Connersville |
100.0% |
17.9 |
478 |
368 |
557 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
4.9 |
9.3 |
15.9 |
25.1 |
43.9 |
|
Runner | School | Rating | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
Kelcy Welch |
Carmel |
17:57 |
100.0% |
1.0 |
59.6 |
21.9 |
11.3 |
4.5 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Malyka Abramson |
Avon |
18:07 |
100.0% |
1.7 |
26.8 |
33.0 |
18.6 |
9.4 |
5.0 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Rachel Nichwitz |
Hamilton Southeastern |
18:18 |
100.0% |
3.2 |
8.0 |
18.1 |
19.3 |
19.2 |
12.4 |
8.0 |
5.0 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
Taylor Nicholson |
Avon |
18:21 |
100.0% |
3.7 |
3.3 |
12.2 |
21.8 |
18.3 |
13.1 |
9.0 |
6.0 |
4.8 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
Haley Harris |
Carmel |
18:34 |
100.0% |
6.4 |
0.2 |
3.2 |
5.7 |
9.6 |
12.4 |
13.6 |
13.6 |
12.0 |
9.3 |
6.7 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Jessica King |
Hamilton Southeastern |
18:34 |
100.0% |
6.6 |
0.5 |
2.4 |
5.6 |
9.2 |
13.6 |
12.7 |
10.5 |
9.0 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
6.6 |
5.3 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Sarah Billingsley |
Oldenburg Academy |
18:34 |
100.0% |
6.7 |
1.0 |
3.9 |
6.5 |
9.2 |
11.1 |
11.1 |
9.8 |
8.6 |
7.1 |
7.3 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
Allie Dalton |
Greenwood |
18:38 |
100.0% |
7.5 |
0.6 |
2.6 |
4.6 |
7.8 |
9.2 |
10.5 |
9.9 |
8.8 |
8.7 |
7.5 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
5.2 |
3.6 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
Gina Genco |
Carmel |
18:40 |
100.0% |
8.1 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
3.0 |
4.7 |
7.0 |
9.4 |
10.7 |
12.5 |
11.5 |
10.2 |
8.8 |
6.8 |
4.4 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
Stacy Morozov |
Carmel |
18:43 |
100.0% |
9.0 |
|
0.7 |
1.5 |
3.3 |
5.1 |
7.4 |
9.5 |
11.2 |
11.5 |
11.7 |
10.6 |
8.2 |
5.9 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
Kelsey Harris |
Carmel |
18:46 |
100.0% |
10.0 |
|
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
5.0 |
7.5 |
8.6 |
10.9 |
11.9 |
11.7 |
10.8 |
7.7 |
5.4 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
Anna Schmitz |
Carmel |
18:46 |
100.0% |
10.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
3.4 |
5.0 |
7.3 |
8.4 |
10.3 |
11.3 |
12.1 |
11.0 |
7.8 |
5.9 |
4.4 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Katherine Free |
Cathedral |
19:01 |
100.0% |
14.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
5.4 |
7.3 |
9.2 |
9.3 |
8.7 |
7.9 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
Courtney Pfanstiel |
Hamilton Southeastern |
19:03 |
100.0% |
14.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
5.0 |
6.7 |
9.4 |
10.1 |
9.7 |
8.2 |
6.8 |
6.1 |
4.9 |
4.6 |
Samantha Woodford |
Plainfield |
19:07 |
100.0% |
16.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
4.8 |
6.8 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
7.6 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
5.0 |
Rebecca Uebele |
Zionsville |
19:07 |
100.0% |
16.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
6.8 |
8.0 |
8.8 |
8.4 |
8.2 |
7.0 |
6.2 |
5.3 |
Karli Koning |
Westfield |
19:11 |
100.0% |
17.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
6.2 |
6.8 |
7.7 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
Devon Leahy |
Westfield |
19:13 |
100.0% |
18.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
6.7 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
Samantha Mitchell |
Zionsville |
19:14 |
100.0% |
19.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
5.5 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
6.5 |
Rachael Weesner |
Carmel |
19:15 |
100.0% |
19.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
4.2 |
5.4 |
5.9 |
6.8 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
6.2 |
Sydney Meyers |
Zionsville |
19:17 |
100.0% |
20.4 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
6.6 |
Gabby Brown |
Westfield |
19:20 |
100.0% |
21.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.7 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
5.1 |
5.7 |
6.3 |
6.5 |
Hope Jones |
Warren Central |
19:26 |
100.0% |
24.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.2 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
Sabrina Bippus |
Hamilton Southeastern |
19:31 |
100.0% |
27.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
Kelsie Mothersead |
Avon |
19:31 |
100.0% |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
Danielle Muse |
Whiteland |
19:35 |
100.0% |
30.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
Delaney Bucker |
Southport |
19:35 |
100.0% |
30.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
Katie Wells |
Warren Central |
19:36 |
100.0% |
30.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
Abby Horn |
Fishers |
19:37 |
100.0% |
31.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
Kieran Casey |
Perry Meridian |
19:37 |
100.0% |
31.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
Abby Crouch |
Noblesville |
19:37 |
100.0% |
31.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
Kate Bernicke |
Avon |
19:39 |
100.0% |
32.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
Lauren Heeger |
Avon |
19:41 |
100.0% |
34.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
Megan Hoover |
North Decatur |
19:41 |
100.0% |
34.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
Shelby Wilson |
Westfield |
19:43 |
100.0% |
35.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
Sam Stensland |
Hamilton Southeastern |
19:43 |
100.0% |
35.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
Cailyn Adams |
Franklin Central |
19:46 |
100.0% |
38.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
Abby Tuttle |
Center Grove |
19:47 |
100.0% |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
Shelbi Dishman |
Center Grove |
19:47 |
100.0% |
39.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
Isabel Strobel |
Fishers |
19:48 |
100.0% |
40.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
Erin Crone |
Bishop Chatard |
19:49 |
99.8% |
40.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
Amy Carpenter |
Decatur Central |
19:49 |
100.0% |
40.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
Meredith Maier |
Oldenburg Academy |
19:49 |
100.0% |
41.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
Valerie Clark |
Center Grove |
19:50 |
100.0% |
41.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
Ellen Flood |
Cathedral |
19:51 |
99.7% |
42.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
Haley Welch |
Franklin Central |
19:52 |
100.0% |
42.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
Allison Lampert |
Pike |
19:53 |
100.0% |
44.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
Brooke Talhelm |
Franklin Central |
19:55 |
100.0% |
44.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Angelina Ellis |
Zionsville |
19:56 |
100.0% |
46.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Kayley Hodson |
Lawrence Central |
19:58 |
98.9% |
48.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
Emily Welch |
Franklin Central |
19:59 |
100.0% |
48.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |