Northridge
Boys - Girls
2014 - 2015 - 2016
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State Rank #18
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #2
Elkhart Central Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 19th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.4%
Top 10 at State Finals 5.9%
Advance to State Finals 95.7%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
48  Morgan Blyly 12 19:19
128  Mackenzie Adams 10 19:53
134  Mariah King 11 19:54
135  Jenna Miller 10 19:54
293  McKenzie Love 11 20:42
382  Molly Campbell 12 21:00
525  Katelyn Kilmer 12 21:23
553  Jenna Bradberry 9 21:29
Hanna Durbin 11 22:13
Jalyn Smith 10 23:25
DateRace Rating
08/22 Huntington Invitational 252
08/29 Penn Invitational 305
09/12 Elkhart/St. Joseph County Clash 298
09/19 New Prairie Invitational 269
09/26 Culver Invitational 263
10/03 Northern Lakes Conference 280
10/10 Elkhart Central Sectional 444
10/17 Elkhart Central Regional 310
10/24 New Haven Semi-State 276
10/31 State Finals 325




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 95.7% 17.2 402 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.1 5.5 6.2 8.0 9.7 10.1 11.1 10.0 7.7 6.0 3.7 1.9
Semi-State 100% 4.9 154 0.1 1.5 5.4 16.0 63.4 9.3 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.8 43 15.5 84.3 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 21 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Blyly 98.2% 55.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 57.0% 89.5%
Mackenzie Adams 95.7% 112.0 0.0% 19.6%
Mariah King 95.8% 113.6 0.5% 17.9%
Jenna Miller 95.7% 114.0 0.0% 17.8%
McKenzie Love 95.7% 176.4 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Campbell 95.7% 192.7 0.0% 0.0%
Katelyn Kilmer 95.7% 201.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Blyly 100% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.9 6.4 7.1 7.7 8.0 7.3 6.8 6.4 5.7 4.9 4.1 3.8 3.2 2.8 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.5 100.0%
Mackenzie Adams 100% 34.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.4 2.8 2.7 100.0%
Mariah King 100% 34.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.7 2.2 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.6 100.0%
Jenna Miller 100% 35.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.7 100.0%
McKenzie Love 100% 72.6 97.1%
Molly Campbell 100% 88.6 79.3%
Katelyn Kilmer 100% 107.3 30.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Blyly 100% 2.6 18.4 16.7 24.2 22.5 10.0 4.3 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Mackenzie Adams 100% 8.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 3.2 7.8 10.4 11.6 12.8 12.6 12.3 10.2 8.3 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Mariah King 100% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.6 7.0 9.7 11.6 12.0 12.0 12.4 10.8 9.5 6.5 3.0 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jenna Miller 100% 8.4 0.1 0.4 0.8 2.8 6.6 9.9 11.5 12.8 12.2 11.7 11.2 8.9 6.5 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
McKenzie Love 100% 17.3 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.5 7.2 10.4 12.0 11.9 9.5 8.6 6.9 5.3 4.6 3.7 3.1 2.4 100.0%
Molly Campbell 100% 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.6 3.8 4.8 6.1 5.9 6.5 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.4 100.0%
Katelyn Kilmer 100% 35.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Morgan Blyly 1.0 87.6 11.4 0.9 0.2
Mackenzie Adams 3.1 0.7 18.2 27.8 26.3 21.8 4.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Mariah King 3.3 0.7 15.9 25.8 27.7 24.2 4.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jenna Miller 3.3 0.7 16.1 25.6 27.2 24.3 5.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
McKenzie Love 7.5 0.0 0.4 14.0 23.3 23.9 14.1 8.4 5.1 3.8 2.6 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Molly Campbell 11.1 0.0 0.9 3.6 8.4 13.2 12.6 10.8 10.1 8.2 7.2 6.2 5.0 4.2 3.1 2.2 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1
Katelyn Kilmer 18.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 2.8 4.0 4.6 5.7 6.1 7.2 7.8 8.8 8.5 8.5 7.5 6.8 6.0 4.7 3.4